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June 14, 2019
Surveillance: U.S. Rates Near 0% in 5 Years, Crescenzi Says
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist and Portfolio Manager, sees U.S. rates collapsing toward 0% over the next five years. In a banking roundtable, Gerard Cassidy, Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy for RBC Capital Markets defends the profitability of U.S. investment banks, while Jonathan Tyce, Bloomberg Intelligence European Banking Analyst, says Barclays is better than Europe but still lagging its American peers. Alexia Howard, Bernstein Analyst, recently downgraded Beyond Meat because she saw the valuation get overstretched too quickly. Bill Keenan, Author & Retired Professional Ice Hockey Player, talks the transition from professional hockey to Wall Street.
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33 min
June 13, 2019
Surveillance: Golden Age for Security Selection With Kantor
Anthony DiPaola, Bloomberg Middle East Energy Markets Reporter, updates us on the attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Jason Gammel, Jefferies Energy Research Analyst, says both demand and supply concerns together are driving volatility in oil prices. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says the golden age for stock-picking is when factors drive underlying securities. Kathy Jones, Schwab Center for Financial Research Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says credit spreads remain narrow on expectations of Fed easing. And Bloomberg Businessweek Reporters, Max Abelson and Rebecca Greenfield, report parental leave is easier to get than to take for Wall Street dads.
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31 min
June 12, 2019
Surveillance: Paul Tudor Jones on Making Money with 'Just Capital'
Karen Leigh, Bloomberg China Government Editor, explains what sets the current protests in Hong Kong apart from previous demonstrations. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the trends in Hong Kong's autonomy are not going in the right direction. Spencer Dale, BP Group Chief Economist & Former BOE Official, says BP needs to shift from being an oil and gas company to an energy company. Paul Tudor Jones, Founder of Tudor Investment Corporation and Robin Hood Foundation, details the concept of 'just' company rankings and how those rankings translate into stock performance. And David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, says if the instability in Hong Kong continues to lower pricing, there could be buying opportunities.
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31 min
June 11, 2019
Surveillance: Goldman's Currie Calls for Cheaper Oil
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34 min
June 10, 2019
Surveillance: The UTX and Raytheon Deal With Heymann
Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says the idea of one or two rate cuts by year end is starting to make sense. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist, expects the Chinese renminbi to break through the 7.00 level within the next three months. Ben LaBolt, Obama 2012 Presidential Campaign Press Secretary, says Democrats need to attack the notion that immigration is affecting the average worker's job. Nick Heymann, William Blair Co-Group Head–Global Industrial Infrastructure, says Raytheon and United Tech are targeting an audience beyond institutional investors.
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32 min
June 7, 2019
Surveillance: Moving Forward on Tariffs, Says CEA's Hassett
Jason Furman, Former Council of Economics Chair, says issues with Mexico might be more important than the tensions with China. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President and Founder, says prime age participation in the labor force has room to grow. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Financial Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says the ECB will have to continue to support the euro-area with perpetual negative interest rates. And Kevin Hassett, White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the President is set to weigh his options on Mexico tariffs.
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32 min
June 6, 2019
Surveillance: Conservatives Are Without Party, Says George Will
Today's episode begins with a conversation from Bloomberg TV with Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York, on the 75th Anniversary of D-Day. Following, Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says that Mexico may fold to the U.S. in trade negotiations. George Will, "The Conservative Sensibility" Author, says conservatives are an orphan without a political party. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Investment Banking Reporter, characterizes Wall Street's mood for the summer as "bored." Austan Goolsbee, Former White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, discusses the late Alan Krueger's book, "Rockonomics: A Backstage Tour of What the Music Industry Can Teach Us about Economics and Life."
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40 min
June 5, 2019
Surveillance: Trade Talks Are Unpredictable, Hewson Says
David Page, AXA Investment Managers U.S. & U.K. Senior Economist, says there is a small risk of a Fed cut in two weeks. Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, updates us on trade negotiations between the U.S. and Mexico. Victoria Hewson, Institute of Economic Affairs Senior Counsel, International Trade and Competition Unit, says President Trump is using powers not related to day-to-day trade policy. Jim Caron, Fixed-Income Portfolio Manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses his latest note, "What is the Rates Market Telling Us." And David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, previews his upcoming episode of "Peer to Peer Conversations" with Melinda Gates.
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31 min
June 5, 2019
Surveillance Fed Special: Low Inflation Nerves with Evans
Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent, sits down with two Federal Reserve Presidents. First, Robert Kaplan of the Dallas Fed says the yield curve reflects heightened trade tensions. And Charles Evans of the Chicago Fed says he is "a little bit nervous" about low inflation. Following, Simon Kennedy, Bloomberg News Executive Editor of Economics, says the center of gravity has moved towards a rate cut. And Yelena Shulyatyeva, Bloomberg Economics Senior U.S. Economist, says in the U.S. economy, key cyclical momentum is still there.
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41 min
June 4, 2019
Surveillance: Johnson & Trump Dissimilar, Diamond Says
Jenny Leonard, Bloomberg Trade Reporter, and David Merritt, Bloomberg Senior Executive Editor, discuss what a trade deal could look like between the U.S. and a post-EU U.K. Mike Ryan, UBS Wealth Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the notion of fixing the issues between U.S. and China in the coming months is a little naïve after decades in the making. Guy Johnson, Bloomberg TV & Radio Anchor, provides insight into the press conference with President Trump and Prime Minister May. Bob Diamond, Atlas Merchant Capital CEO, says the financial services community want Brexit certainty.
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37 min
June 3, 2019
Surveillance: Yen Stands to Benefit from Trade War, Says Barth
Marvin Barth, Barclays Head of FX Strategy, believes that the dollar is ultimately the beneficiary of a volatile, global environment. Lorenzo Codogno, LSE Visiting Professor & Former Italian Treasury Chief Economist, says the government framework of Europe is still unfinished. Margaret Talev, Bloomberg White House Correspondent, discusses President Trump's tweets on London Mayor Sadiq Khan this morning. And Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, thinks the President's tariffs on Mexico also have to do with immigration at the border.
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28 min
May 31, 2019
Surveillance: U.S. Is Now A Service Economy, Treyz Says
Eric Farnsworth, Council of Americas Vice President, says the U.S. is going down a path that requires Mexico to react negatively. Laura Rosner, Macropolicy Perspectives Senior Economist, expects inflation to revert back to 2% over the next 6-12 months. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, recommends stacking up on avocados, in case the U.S. increases tariffs on Mexico. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, advises to buy utility stocks today because they have "relative immunity" to trade war fears.
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27 min
May 31, 2019
The Age of Disruption with PIMCO
In conversation with Bloomberg Surveillance and The Open's Jonathan Ferro, PIMCO CEO and CIO present their bearish view of corporate credit and what they expect when it comes to volatility and long term returns.
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24 min
May 30, 2019
Surveillance: Fed Vs. The Markets With MUFG's Rupkey
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, previews Fed Vice Chair Clarida's speech, saying it's the Fed versus the markets right now. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of Credit Research, reacts to PIMCO's Scott Mather's call that this is "probably the riskiest credit market ever." Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research & Strategy Operations, says the U.S. restrictions on Huawei caught Beijing by surprise. And Democratic presidential candidate Gov. Steve Bullock (D-Montana) tells us he's the best candidate to win in Trump country.
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29 min
May 29, 2019
Surveillance: Big Risks In Manufacturing Sector, Sweeney Says
James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist & Americas CIO, sees big risks in the U.S. manufacturing sector. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO MD & Head of Short Term Portfolio Management, says the movement in rates seems to indicate that a recessionary environment is on the rise. Beth Maclean, PIMCO EVP Portfolio Manager, offers investment advice for high risk environments. Hugo Rogers, Deltec CIO, thinks China is in a weaker position than the U.S. in the trade war.
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25 min
May 28, 2019
Surveillance: China Can Stand Tariffs' Shock, Weinberg Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, doesn't expect any agreement between the U.S. and China. Jacob Kirkegaard Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, thinks a second Brexit referendum is "on the table." Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says consumer spending is not matching consumer confidence. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy, shares tips for finding cheap flights to Europe.
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31 min
May 24, 2019
Surveillance Special: Telecom in 2019
Rich Greenfield, BTIG Managing Director & TMT Analyst, says SNAP is their single best buy on the long side. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Managing Director & TMT Analyst, says Sprint and T-Mobile want Trump to see the deal as a way to beat China to 5G. Craig Moffet, MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, discusses cable video losses.
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25 min
May 24, 2019
Surveillance: Americans Are Underinvested In EM, Santos Says
Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, says he has no doubt the American economy will continue to grow throughout the year. Anna Edwards, Bloomberg TV & Radio Anchor, says bringing together the Conservative will be the first challenge for their next leader. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, thinks that structurally, 10% of portfolios should be EM.
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23 min
May 23, 2019
Surveillance: Market Gives Trump Slack With China, Marangi Says
Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, advises to be more cautious with companies that have exposure in China. Sonia Meskin, Standard Chartered U.S. Economist, says this Fed understands the interconnectedness of the U.S. and global economy. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Co-Founder, says Tesla's demand is unknown in the near term. Don Gimbel, Sr. VP and Investment Professional for CIBC Private Wealth Management, says the U.S. will survive the trade war.
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29 min
May 22, 2019
Bloomberg and Wondery Present: The Shrink Next Door
Marty Markowitz had his share of problems. His parents had recently died. He had troubles at work. A failing relationship. He needed someone to help him through this rough patch in his life. So he decided to get some professional help from a psychiatrist. What he did not count on, was what happened in his life over the next twenty-nine years. This is a story about power, control, and turning to the wrong person for help.  Listen now at bloomberg.com/shrinknextdoor
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11 min
May 22, 2019
Surveillance: Europe Disappeared From Investors Map, Gallo Says
Daragh Maher, HSBC Securities US Head of FX Strategy, says outside of the U.S., there's no appetite for fiscal stimulus. Kathy Jones, Schwab Center For Financial Research Chief Fixed Income Strategist, expects inflation to stay “pretty stable even with tariffs.” Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Portfolio Manager, says Europe has disappeared from the map of many investors. Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says governing a minority government has been the main reason she can’t get her deal passed. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Washington Correspondent, says Democrats will continue pushing for Trump's tax records to be released.
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34 min
May 21, 2019
Surveillance: China Is Not A Small Player Anymore, Kelly Says
Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Co-CIO, says as the trade war escalates, the probability of a rate hike decreases. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says we are almost at a bipolar world in terms of economic spheres of influence. Bob Diamond, Atlas Merchant Capital CEO, says Deutsche Bank lacks a strong domestic retail business. Seema Shah, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Consumer Analyst, says its an unknown for Home Depot if they will be impacted by tariffs.
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35 min
May 20, 2019
Surveillance: Fed's Bostic Doesn't Foresee Rate Hike
Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief US Equity Strategist, says the likelihood of a recession is very low. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Investment Banking Reporter, discusses the possibility of a leadership change at Deutsche Bank. Bill Schneider, George Mason Professor & Author, "Standoff: How America Became Ungovernable", thinks Joe Biden's candidacy represents a return to normal. Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President, does not see a rate cut this year.
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29 min
May 17, 2019
Surveillance: China Is Overconfident, Carr Says
Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Head of FX and Macro Trading Strategy, sees a permanent dollar shortage in China. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, thinks China is overconfident about how little tariffs impact their economy. Kate Bedingfield, Biden Deputy Campaign Manager, discusses Joe Biden's middle class roots. Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management Global CIO and Head of Global Fixed Income, notes the amount of money in money market funds is the highest since the financial crisis. Amy Myers Jaffe, CFR Senior Fellow for Energy & the Environment and Director of the Program on Energy Security & Climate Change, says the oil market is too relaxed for the current level of risk.
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40 min
May 16, 2019
Surveillance: A Trade War Isn't Inflationary, Emanuel Says
Ann Cairns, Mastercard Vice Chair, says it's important to introduce girls to STEM careers. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says a trade war is not inflationary. Joe Feldman, Telsey Senior Research Analyst, says Walmart is less exposed than other retailers to tensions with China. Paul Donovan, UBS Global Chief Economist, thinks the slowdown in 2018 was somewhat caused by trade tensions. Gabriel Felbermayr, Kiel Institute for the World Economy President, posits that, although a "tariff pass-through"takes time to occur, a full pass-through to the American consumers would be highly unusual.
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43 min
May 15, 2019
Surveillance: Possible Outcomes of Trade Talks With Spence
Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley Chief Economist & Global Head of Economics, thinks trade tensions were the cause of China's slowdown. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, expects modest earnings growth in 2019. Emma Ross-Thomas, Bloomberg Brexit Editor, brings us a Brexit update. Mike Spence, NYU Professor, says it's confusing what the U.S. and China really want.
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30 min
May 14, 2019
Surveillance: Trade Should Be Enhanced, Mann Says
Catherine Mann, Citigroup Global Chief Economist, says closing the door to trade doesn't enhance an economy. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, analyzes the trade dispute's impact on the renminbi. Mark Lehmann, JMP Securities President, says China has more to lose than the U.S. and Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, discusses actions taken by retailers to alleviate the impact of tariffs.
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29 min
May 13, 2019
Surveillance: Tariffs Are Attacks On Importers, Roach Says
Michael Purves, Weeden Chief Global Strategist, says credit spreads have yet to back up. Stephen Roach, Yale Professor, Former Morgan Stanley Asia Chairman and Author of "Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China", says tariffs are attacks on importers and the U.S. is the importer. Keyu Jin, London School of Economics & Political Science Professor, thinks U.S. tariffs have caused a surge of nationalism in China. Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, Author of "Failure to Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind in the Global Economy", says Trump's complaints about China are legitimate but his tactics aren't.
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28 min
May 10, 2019
Surveillance: China Will Retaliate If No Deal Today, Woo Says
Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says the burden of tariffs will fall on U.S. consumers. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO & Founder, says Uber will have to rise prices soon. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed is keeping a close eye on inflation. Devin McDermott, Morgan Stanley Executive Director and Head of North American Exploration & Production and Integrated Oil Research, sees nice opportunities for synergies at Anadarko. David Woo, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Rates & FX Strategy, thinks different markets priced in different probabilities of a U.S.-China deal.
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30 min
May 9, 2019
Surveillance: Being Against China Is Popular, Treyz Says
Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research, thinks it's unlikely that China or the U.S. will back off. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Policy Research, says being against China is "extraordinarily popular" in the U.S. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief Economist & Managing Director, says trade deals never solve trade deficit problems. Haran Segram, NYU Stern Professor, says it's not advisable to compare Uber with Amazon or Facebook for its valuation.
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28 min
May 8, 2019
Tariffs Are A Job Killer, PIIE's Lovely Says
Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, says U.S. businesses are negatively impacted by the tariffs imposed on China. David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff Chief Economist & Strategist, says there's way too much risk in the market. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, doesn't foresee a recession in the data. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg Iran Reporter, says the U.S. and Europe are on different sides when negotiating with Iran.
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30 min
May 7, 2019
Surveillance: Nobody Wins A Trade War, Adm. Stavridis Says
Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the full package of sanctions on China would be in nobody's interest. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy and Operations, expects onward tariffs and confrontation after a U.S.-China deal. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, sees chances of a recession in 2020. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Carlyle Group Advisor & Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says when studying European history, he learned nobody wins a trade war.
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31 min
May 6, 2019
Surveillance: Equity Markets Still Pretty Good, Patel Says
Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, thinks it's impossible to make an investment decision off of a tweet. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Center For Effective Public Management Director, discusses Trump's negotiating tactics with China. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says the outlook for equity markets is still pretty positive. And Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, analyzes Amazon's challenges.
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27 min
May 3, 2019
Surveillance: Capitalism Works, Langone Says
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, offers insights on output gap measurements. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Economics Professor, says professionalism is key in the Fed. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, thinks it's a relief that Stephen Moore's nomination was pulled. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock’s Systematic Fixed Income Team Senior Portfolio Manager, says today's jobs data continues a sequence of strong reports. Ken Langone, Author of "I Love Capitalism" & Home Depot Co-Founder, says capitalism can be brutal but it works.
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48 min
May 2, 2019
Surveillance: A Long Way To Full Employment, Blanchflower Says
Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head of FX, says the Fed's inflation forecast record isn't brilliant. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Portfolio Management, expects the next Fed move to be higher in rates. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, says there's still quite a long way to full employment. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, expects a slowdown in the labor market.
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28 min
May 1, 2019
Surveillance: People Are No Longer With Maduro, O'Neil Says
Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, believes we will avoid an earnings recession this year. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Managing Director, says Apple will make new highs over the coming months. Shannon O'Neil, CFR Senior Fellow for Latin American Studies, highlights that the military is not fully under Maduro's control. Randy Kroszner, Univ. of Chicago Professor & Former Fed Governor, says the Fed being under political pressure is nothing new.
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33 min
April 30, 2019
Surveillance: Venezuelans Want Regime Change, Jimenez Says
Joe Quinlan, Head of CIO Market Strategy for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, sees signs of hope in European eco. Maryhen Jimenez Morales, Oxford University Politics Lecturer, says 90% of Venezuelans want a peaceful regime change. Alex Conant, Former Marco Rubio Presidential Campaign Communications Director, says the political unrest in Venezuela is destabilizing for the region. Brooke Sutherland, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, brings us an update on GE. Michael Purves, Weeden & Co-Chief Global Strategist, says that solid (but not spectacular) earnings and GDP growth have become the new normal.
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31 min
April 29, 2019
Surveillance: The U.S. Is Still The Driest Towel, Chandler Says
Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Foreign Exchange Chief Market Strategist & Managing Partner, says the U.S. is still the driest towel in the global economy. Catherine Yeung, Fidelity Investment Director, says the Belt and Road Initiative aims at increasing China's soft power. Alastair Newton, Alavan Business Advisory Director, says the Spanish populist party is eurosceptic but not anti-European. Dr. Peter Hotez, Dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine, discusses the anti-vaccine movement and measles. Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, says no one else can follow Disney's strategy because no one else has the advantages of being Disney.
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36 min
April 26, 2019
Surveillance: GDP, Not That Positive Under The Hood, Greene Says
Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO, says the last decade has been "a magical time" for companies to raise capital. George Bory, Wells Fargo Head of Fixed Income Research, says there's a real conundrum in the bond market. Eileen Burbidge, Passion Capital Partner, says Twitter's success will depend on their ability to control abusive behavior on their platform. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Global Chief Economist, thinks GDP data are not as positive as the headline might suggest.
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25 min
April 25, 2019
Surveillance: Dollar Strength Is Unsustainable, Tirupattur Says
Matt Miller, Bloomberg TV & Radio Anchor, says most German politicians were against the Deutsche Bank-Commerzbank merger. Jonathan Tyce, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior European Banks Analyst, thinks it makes sense to consolidate small domestic banks. Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley Head of Fixed Income Research & Director of Quantitative Research, says dollar strength is unsustainable. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist, says Joe Biden will be the centrist of the 2020 race. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks Facebook still has many privacy challenges ahead. And Scott Galloway, Leonard Stern School of Business Marketing Professor, discusses the tech earnings bonanza.
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34 min
April 24, 2019
Surveillance: Progressive Capitalism With Joseph Stiglitz
Marcus Ashworth, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Fed is absolutely on hold. Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate and Author of "People, Power and Profits," says the government has a role in progressive capitalism. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says it's not all sunshine and roses in corporate earnings. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Securities Oil & Gas Analyst and Managing Director, offers his insights on Occidental's purchase of Anadarko. Paul Smith, CFA Institute President & CEO, says we need to reattach finance to a sense of purpose.
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32 min
April 23, 2019
Surveillance: I Don't Think Inflation Is Dead, Hatzius Says
Jose Rasco, HSBC Chief Investment Strategist at HSBC Private Bank Americas, expects the Fed to remain on hold this year. Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist & Head of Global Economics and Markets Research, doesn't think inflation is dead. Dan Tannebaum, PwC United States Principal and Global Sanctions Leader, thinks it's unlikely that Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, predicts negative economic growth in 2020.
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19 min
April 22, 2019
Surveillance: The U.S. Economy Is Strong, Rupkey Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, says the U.S. economy is strong. Todd Mariano, Eurasia Group U.S. Director, discusses next steps in the Mueller investigation. Liz Young, BNY Mellon Investment Management Director of Market Strategy, expects earnings and U.S. growth to be heavier in the end of the year. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, argues that in labor force terms, unemployment claims are at all time lows.
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29 min
April 18, 2019
Surveillance: Justice Dept Highly Politicized, Valliere Says
Taylor Riggs, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses JPMorgan's succession plans. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manager & CEO, doesn't think the Mueller report will have an impact on trade talks. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor and Peter G. Peterson Chair, says Trump's foreign policy isn't sustainable or effective. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist, says the justice department is a highly politicized agency.
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28 min
April 17, 2019
Apple Settlement Validates Qualcomm's IP: Srinivasan
Anand Srinivasan, Senior Semiconductor and Hardware Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, on the Qualcomm-Apple settlement and what it means for chip stocks. Doug Duncan, Chief Economist at Fannie Mae, on the spring buying season, outlook for mortgage rates, and consumer attitudes on housing. Tuna Amobi, CFRA Research’s media and entertainment analyst, on Netflix and big media earnings. Jitendra Waral, Senior Analyst: Internet & Consumer Products for Bloomberg Intelligence, on Pinterest's IPO.
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29 min
April 17, 2019
Surveillance: Europe Is The Catch Up Trade, Fowler Says
Yalman Onaran, Bloomberg Senior Writer, analyzes Morgan Stanley's earnings report. Gerry Fowler, Aberdeen Standard Investments Multi-Asset Strategist, says Europe is the Catch-up trade. Simon Johnson, MIT Sloan School of Management Global Economics Professor, highlights the need of spreading opportunities out of the coastal cities. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst of Media, thinks Netflix results show fairly significant pricing power. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, doesn't expect to see a Democratic nominee until late spring or summer.
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30 min
April 16, 2019
Surveillance: Notre Dame's Past & Future
Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says banks doesn't thrive in a flattening yield curve environment. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy and Large Cap Bank Analyst, thinks that technology will complement, not substitute the human component on the banking sector. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Media Analyst, predicts Netflix and Disney will emerge as winners in the streaming sector. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist, says 2% GDP growth is the new normal. Bloomberg's Bob Moon says Notre Dame has always managed to rise again.
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30 min
April 16, 2019
Surveillance: Paying Tribute to Notre Dame
The mood in Paris today is somber after a fire ripped through the Notre Dame Cathedral. The iconic structure took more than 200 years to build and just a few hours to burn. It's rich with history, serving as a setting to crown kings and celebrate the liberation of Paris from the Nazis. As French authorities assess the damage and craft plans to rebuild the monument, Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Bob Moon and Annmarie Hordern reflect on the moment.
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10 min
April 15, 2019
Surveillance: Trump Doesn't Impact Powell, Bremmer Says
Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says Fed Chairman Powell is a "capable, qualified and independent" chief. Fred Cannon, KBW Global Director of Research, will focus on net interest margins during this bank earnings season. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Banking Reporter, talks banking and IPOs. Diane Swonk, Grant Thorton Chief Economist, says the Federal Reserve Board hasn't always been as strong as it is now.
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33 min
April 12, 2019
Surveillance: JPMorgan Is Fairly Valued, Whalen Says
Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, and Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Head of EM Sovereign Credit, discuss China's latest economic data. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says low interest rates in Europe are the scariest development in bond markets he has ever seen. Chris Whalen, RC Whalen Global Advisers, thinks JPMorgan is fairly valued. Adrienne Elrod, Democratic Strategist & Clinton 2016 Campaign Director of Strategic Communications, says Bernie Sanders is the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination.
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26 min
April 11, 2019
Surveillance: I Want Openness & Sunlight On The Fed, Moore Says
Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner & Senior Portfolio Management, sees a higher probability of a Fed cut than a hike. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks & Diversified Finance Research, expects weak numbers in this banks earnings season. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says that Europe is the last place he would invest. Stephen Moore, Heritage Foundation Distinguished Visiting Fellow, wants "openness and sunlight on the Fed" if he joined the board. Representative Debbie Dingell, Democrat from Michigan, points out the lack of a regulatory framework for autonomous vehicles in the U.S.
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38 min
April 10, 2019
Surveillance: "Wait And See" Mode After Draghi, Coronado Says
Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, expects two Fed rate cuts and stocks to go higher in 2019. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Head of FX and Macro Trading Strategy, thinks the Euro will move to the downside. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder, thinks markets were not expecting Draghi to deliver a lot-and he didn't. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Analyst, says it's time to increase the effectiveness of bank regulations.
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27 min
April 9, 2019
Surveillance: Tech Is Keeping Inflation Muted, Rosner Says
Drew Matus, Metlife Investment Management Chief Market Strategist, says it's very difficult to drive the U.S. into a recession from overseas. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, thinks protecting NAFTA is the main priority of the business community. Laura Rosner, Macropolicy Perspectives Senior Economist, says technology is keeping inflation muted. Martin Indyk, Council on Foreign Relations Distinguished Fellow & Former Ambassador to Israel, says whoever wins the Israeli elections will need a coalition with small parties to govern. Sarah McGregor, Bloomberg U.S. Economic Policy Team Leader, says the silver lining in the IMF report is that it highlights that things will potentially improve in the second half of next year.
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34 min
April 9, 2019
Surveillance: NATO Is A Transatlantic Bridge With Stavridis
Vasileios Gkionakis, Banque Lombard Odier Global Head of FX Strategy, says the Fed has maintained its full independence. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar is behaving as a safe heaven. Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, says it's good value for the U.S. to stay in NATO. Roland Rudd, Finsbury Public Relations Founder and Chairman of Business for News, says recently, Parliament has reaffirmed its authority.
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28 min
April 8, 2019
Surveillance: Everyone Is Scrambling For Yield, Michele Says
Davide Serra, Algebris Investments CEO, says there are too many banks in Europe. Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of FX Analysis, doesn't think this is a "dollar-sell" environment. Catherine Barnard, Cambridge University Professor, believes it would have been smart to have cross-party discussions since the Brexit referendum. Bob Michele, JP Morgan Chief Investment Officer, sees everyone scrambling for yield right now.
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28 min
April 5, 2019
Surveillance Special: Views From The Ambrosetti Spring Workshop
Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua host from the Ambrosetti Spring Workshop in Cernobbio, Italy. In this episode, we feature our TV & Radio interviews with: Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates CEO, Jacob Frenkel, JPMorgan Chase International Chairman, Luigi Zingales, Chicago Booth School Professor, and Jim O'Neill, Chatham House Chair.
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31 min
April 5, 2019
Surveillance: U.S. Economy Really Coming Back, Kudlow Says
Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, does not think wage growth is translating into inflation. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, sees solid job growth without signs of overheating. Larry Kudlow, U.S. National Economic Council Director, says the U.S. economy is "really coming back." Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, highlights the improvements in labor market participation.
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36 min
April 4, 2019
Surveillance: We Must Take The Yield Curve Seriously, Fels Says
Joachim Fels, PIMCO Global Economic Advisor, says the yield curve predicts and also causes recessions. Derek Halpenny, MUFG European Head of Global Markets Research, says central banks have a significant appetite for the Euro. Kristina Hooper, Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist, considers it hyperbolic to say we are going into an earnings recession. Brian Deese, BlackRock Global Head of Sustainable Investing, talks climate change and risks to investors.
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32 min
April 2, 2019
Surveillance: U.S. Treasuries Look Cheap Globally, Major Says
Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of FI Research, thinks U.S. bonds look cheap globally. Emma Ross-Thomas, Bloomberg Brexit Editor, updates us on Parliament's plans to avoid a no-deal Brexit. David Page, AXA Investment Managers Senior Economist U.S. & U.K., expects some euro appreciation. Jim Paulsen, The Leuthold Group Chief Investment Strategist, thinks this is a good environment for stocks. 
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29 min
April 1, 2019
Surveillance: FX Market Has Become Very Political, Bloom Says
Lord Andrew Adonis, Former U.K. Secretary of State For Transport, speaks in favor of a second referendum. David Bloom, HSBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says the FX market has become very political. Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management Global CIO & Head Of Global Fixed Income, thinks the Fed is holding rates for the next two years. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Senior Economist, foresees U.S. growth bouncing back in the coming months. And Matt Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Interest Rate Strategy, says he's currently neutral on the bond market.
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31 min
March 29, 2019
Surveillance: I'm Not A Buy And Hold Advocate, Shiller Says
Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, thinks sentiment is too extreme with the long bond call. Robert Shiller, Yale Professor, says he is not a buy and hold advocate. Catherine Barnard, Cambridge University Professor & 'The UK in a Changing Europe' Sr. Fellow, says there are parties within parties in U.K. Parliament. Logan D. Green and John Zimmer, Lyft Inc Co-Founders, see a shift from the car ownership to the sharing model.
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42 min
March 28, 2019
Surveillance: Monetary Policy Tools Are Ineffective, Kelly Says
David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says monetary policy tools are ineffective. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, expects a recession in 2020. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, is cautious about EM. Max Nisen, Bloomberg Opinion Healthcare Columnist, says 20 million people would lose coverage if Obamacare is struck down.
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28 min
March 27, 2019
Surveillance: Investing in Lyft With NYU’s Segram (Correct)
Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, talks bank mergers and the benefits of being "too big to fail." Haran Segram, NYU Leonard N. Stern School of Business Professor, says Lyft investors are paying for the future instead of the current state of affairs of the company. Brooke Sutherland, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, talks about the latest developments in the Boeing investigation.(Corrects to remove segment on Chatham Asset Management)
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26 min
March 27, 2019
Surveillance: Equality in Hollywood With Giese
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says commodity prices are too volatile a measure to use to judge the economy. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says interest rates have some room to raise. Maria Giese, Feature Film Director, Activist & TEDx Speaker, “The Battle for Women’s Voices in Entertainment Media," says equal employment laws in Hollywood lack enforcement. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Americas Oil & Gas Analyst & Managing Director, notes Saudi Arabia is discussing a price range for oil. Ida Liu, Citi Private Bank Senior Private Banker, says many of her clients are interested in gender lens investing.
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39 min
March 26, 2019
Surveillance: Global Economic Data Will Hold Up, Hooper Says
David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank Head of Research and Group Chief Economist, says Europe needs a unified banking system. Bloomberg's Anna Edwards discusses the U.K. Parliament's next steps. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says there's slower demand for copper and other base metals in China. Kristina Hooper, Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist, expects global economic data to hold up.
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25 min
March 25, 2019
Surveillance: New Political Focus After Mueller, Hormats Says
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, says it's not improbable that interest rates will stay low until 2030. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chair, thinks U.S. political focus will shift following the release of the Mueller's report. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, discusses the pressures that Xi Jinping confronts domestically. Doug Thornell, Former DNC Senior Adviser, says Democrats should keep the focus on kitchen table issues.
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30 min
March 22, 2019
Surveillance: Dynamic Ownership With RTR's Hyman
Greg Daco, Oxford Economics Chief U.S. Economist, doesn't see much momentum upward for yields going forward. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General for the U.S., says there's no more important trade partnership for the U.K. than the one it has with North America. Jenn Hyman, Rent The Runway CEO, says her company is more often linked with the sharing economy than retail. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, expects the U.S. and China negotiations to focus on the details of goods trading rather than China's business practices.
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28 min
March 21, 2019
Surveillance: The Economy Is Shifting Gears, Piegza Says
Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says although the business community want tariffs to end, D.C. politicians are comfortable with them. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Chief U.S. Interest Rates Strategist, and Jeanna Smialek, Bloomberg Economy Reporter, highlight the Fed's cautiousness. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, thinks the economy is shifting gears but it's at a very early stage. Francine Lacqua, Bloomberg Surveillance Anchor, updates us on Brexit talks from Brussels at the European Leaders Summit.
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32 min
March 20, 2019
Surveillance: Defaults Are A Necessary Evil, Kong Says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Equity Strategist, says the opportunity in equities is on quality. Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Economics Chief U.S. Economist, and Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Policy Correspondent, share their expectations for today's Fed meeting. Theresa Kong, Matthews Asia Head of Fixed Income & Portfolio Manager, says Chinese defaults will slowly increase but they are a necessary evil. Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the option of a no-deal Brexit is still on the table at the end of June.
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29 min
March 19, 2019
Surveillance: Alan Krueger's Economic Legacy
Remembering Princeton University's Alan Krueger with Dartmouth Professor of Economics Danny Blanchflower, Bloomberg International Economics & Policy Correspondent Michael McKee, University of Michigan Associate Professor for Public Policy & Former U.S. Department of Labor Chief Economist Betsey Stevenson, and Bloomberg Businessweek Economics Editor Peter Coy.
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22 min
March 15, 2019
Surveillance: This AI Cycle Is Different, NYU's Dhar Says
Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Bond Portfolios, says investors must calibrate expectations taking into account higher volatility. Brian Wieser, GroupM Global President of Business Intelligence, talks the future of the ad industry. Vasant Dhar, NYU Stern Professor, explains why this AI cycle is different. Viviana Hurtado, Bloomberg Reporter, details exciting new developments from New York City's new Hudson Yards. Barry Strauss, Cornell Professor of History, discusses his book "Ten Caesars" on the Ides of March.
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40 min
March 14, 2019
Surveillance: U.K. Unprepared For No-Deal Brexit, Dimon Says
Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses his three U.K. bank shorts. Patricia Mosser, Columbia University Economic Policy Management Program Director, says China and Europe are slowing the U.S. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chairman and CEO, says trade imbalances could cause a financial recession. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, says there's no evidence that going to elite schools will make children do better in life. Ambassador William J. Burns, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace President, discusses his new book "The Back Channel: A Memoir of American Diplomacy and the Case for Its Renewal."
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45 min
March 13, 2019
Surveillance: EM Valuations Are Very Cheap, Memani Says
Raghuram Rajan, Former RBI Governor and University of Chicago Booth School of Business, says the college admissions scandal is a "blow to the system". Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says he is starting to see stabilization in Chinese growth. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO, says EM investing is about companies rather than geographies. Laura Francis, Bloomberg Law Senior Legal Editor, says it's highly unlikely that the budget bill passes Congress. Christina Boris, OppenheimerFunds Client Research Head, says most of their clients are focused on long term investment.
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32 min
March 12, 2019
Surveillance: RBC Open To Tactical Acquisitions, McKay Says
Dave McKay, RBC President & CEO, says the company is open to "tactical" acquisitions. Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, believes that orders of the Boeing 737 MAX 8 will remain intact. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says wage growth came too little and too late. Christopher Jasper, Bloomberg European Transportation Deputy Team Leader, explains the differences between the Boeing 737 MAX 8 and previous models.
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28 min
March 11, 2019
Surveillance: Trade Spat Impact Is Overstated, Weinberger Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, doesn't think the trade spat is directly behind China's slow economic growth. Nick Lardy, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, highlights that consumption is now the major source of growth in China. Chris Bryant, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says it's unclear if the cause of the Ethiopian crash was a Boeing design flaw. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, doubts that fair trade will be negotiated between the U.S. and China.
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27 min
March 8, 2019
Surveillance: Household Survey Was Up, Kudlow Notes
Lawrence Kudlow, White House National Economic Council Director, joins Jonathan Ferro to discuss this month's surprising jobs report.
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15 min
March 8, 2019
Surveillance: Labor Force Growth Is Slowing, Joseph Cohen Says
To celebrate International Women's Day, Bloomberg Surveillance brings you top voices in the worlds of finance, economics and international affairs. Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors Director & U.S. Investment Strategist, says at some point, Europe could become interesting from a dividend perspective. Kathy Jones, Schwab Center for Financial Research Chief Fixed Income Strategist, expects 10-year Treasury yields to go below 2.5%. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says service sector dynamics can be resilient in the next global slowdown. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, says women remain "dramatically underrepresented" in universities. And Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Senior Fellow, discusses candidates in the presidential race.
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45 min
March 7, 2019
Surveillance: The EU Needs A Weaker Euro, Rosenberg Says
David Rosenberg, Gluskin Scheff Chief Economist & Strategist, says the EU needs a weaker euro to stimulate the manufacturing sector. Bill Lee, Milken Chief Economist, says global equity markets would crash if President Trump walked away from a deal with China. David Owen, Jefferies International Chief European Financial Economist, talks the challenges of the "large and fragmented" EU banking sector. Louise Yamada, Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors, feels more constructive about gold.
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28 min
March 6, 2019
Surveillance: Fed Tightening May Be Back In 2019, Dudley Says
Vince Cable, U.K. Liberal Democrat Party Leader, says India will overtake China. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the ECB has its hands tied. William Dudley, Princeton Senior Research Scholar & Former Federal Reserve Bank Of New York President, thinks Fed tightening might be on the table in the second half of 2019. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, notes financial conditions are the easiest since last October. Saleha Mohsin, Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Department Reporter, says markets and China want a deescalation of tariffs. 
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39 min
March 5, 2019
Surveillance Special: China's Economic Slowdown
Elizabeth Economy, CFR Senior Fellow & Director for Asia Studies, says there's a sense of political malaise in China. David Ingles, Bloomberg Markets Reporter, joins us from Beijing to report on China's lowering of its growth target. Marianne Petsing-Schneider, Chatham House U.S. Geo-Economics Fellow for U.S. and the Americas Programme, says the U.S. is now in a stronger negotiating position for trade talks with China. Daniel Katzive, BNP Head of FX Strategy North America, says the renminbi is increasingly more market determined. Steve Wieting, Global Chief Investment Strategist, discusses China's moves to reinvigorate its economy.
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33 min
March 4, 2019
Surveillance: Europe Remains Our Weak Sister, Chandler Says
Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Team Portfolio Manager, is concerned about companies with business models dependent on a growing economy. Liz Young, BNY Mellon Investment Management Director of Market Strategy, thinks we have overdone this rally "a little bit." Liz McCormick, Bloomberg News FX & Bonds Reporter, discusses modern monetary theory. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist & Managing Partner, says Europe remains the weak sister. Haran Segram, NYU Leonard N. Stern School of Business Professor, breaks down how he valuates a tech company.
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37 min
March 1, 2019
Surveillance: The Fed Is Probably Not Done Hiking, Dudley Says
Willam Dudley, Former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President, thinks the Fed is probably not done yet with hiking. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, recommends to keep duration risk light. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, doesn't think there is a do-over in Amazon coming to New York City. Bill Gross, Janus Capital Management Fund Manager, tells Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker how having Asperger's syndrome has helped him in his career.
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34 min
February 28, 2019
Surveillance: Far From Denuclearization, Collins Says
Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, brings us an update from Hanoi. Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, says for growth, China needs stimulus and a trade deal. Lisa Collins, Center for Strategic & International Studies Fellow, highlights the challenges ahead for Kim Jong Un as he aims to open up his country. Katherine Moon, Wellesley College Professor of Political Science & Brookings Institution Nonresident Senior Fellow, thinks the Hanoi summit was not a failure but it was constructive. And Alejandro Werner, IMF Monetary Fund Director of the Western Hemisphere Department, updates us on the economic situation in Venezuela. ------
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32 min
February 27, 2019
Surveillance: Solving The Nuclear Problem With Adm. Stavridis
Todd Mariano, Eurasia Group U.S. Director, and Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Head of FX & Macro Trading Strategy, discuss their expectations for the Trump and Kim summit. Iain Marlow, Bloomberg South Asia Government Reporter, says India is unlikely to engage in talks with Pakistan. Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Economics Chief U.S. Economist, and Jeanna Smialek, Bloomberg Fed Reporter, update us on what to look for in Powell's second day of testimony. James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Carlyle Group Advisor & Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, says the chances of Kim Jong Un giving up his nuclear weapons are equal to [as slim as] Mexico paying for the wall. And June Grasso, Bloomberg Radio Host, says "fasten your seat belts" for Michael Cohen's hearing today.
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42 min
February 26, 2019
Surveillance: My View Of Capitalism Is Localism, Rajan Says
Raghuram Rajan, Author of "The Third Pillar" and Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, advocates for pushing decision making back to the local level. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity and Derivatives Strategist, wants a break in the rally because we could get a performance chase. Diane Swonk, Grant Thorton Chief Economist, says there is a blind faith in China's ability to provide growth and command. Taylor Riggs, Bloomberg News Reporter, brings us an update from the JPMorgan Investor Day.
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29 min
February 25, 2019
Surveillance: EM Could Outperform DM, Greg Boutle Says
Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas U.S. Head of Equity and Derivative Strategy, explains the confluence of factors that could lead EM to outperform DM. Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Industrials Analyst, says selling Danaher solves a big chunk of GE's debt problem. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, expects another flattening of the dot plot in the March Fed's meeting. Jean Case, "Be Fearless" Author, talks the role of failure in success stories.
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28 min
February 22, 2019
Surveillance: Not Trade War But Tech Theft, Feldstein says
Marty Feldstein, Harvard University Professor of Economics, says China is focused on trade deficits to divert from trade theft. Tara LaChapelle, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, blames Kraft Heinz's fall on the company's short-sighted strategy. Kathy Jones, Schwab Center for Financial Research Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says we're still not clear about what the Fed is doing. Anne Mathias, Vanguard Group Senior Strategist of Global Rates & FX, says trade disputes are a proxy for worries about global growth. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO, Founder & Chief Research Officer, says next week, investors will focus on inventory levels at department stores.
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33 min
February 21, 2019
Surveillance: The Equity Market Can Rally, Calvasina Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says Chinese numbers are more stable than ours [in the U.S.]. John Micklethwait, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief, discusses his latest piece on the end of the Anglosphere, the global influence of the U.S. and Britain. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor, says we are still in a bull market. Lori Calvasina, RBC Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, thinks there is still "a little bit of room" in equity markets.
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28 min
February 20, 2019
Surveillance: We Will See More Volatility, Warne Says
Andreas Utermann, Allianz Global Investors CEO, and David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, debate active and passive investment. Philippe Reines, Former Hillary Clinton Adviser, says Republicans are now less focused on social values and more on economics. Mark Connors, Credit Suisse Managing Director and Global Head of Portfolio & Risk Advisory, discusses upcoming challenges for hedge funds. Kate Warne, Edward Jones Investment Strategist, sees more investment opportunities outside of the U.S.
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31 min
February 19, 2019
Surveillance: Nothing As Cheap As European Stocks, Kelly Says
Ruchir Sharma, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Chief Global Strategist & "Democracy on the Road" Author, discusses India's sociopolitical landscape. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says "nothing in the world" is as cheap as European stocks in terms of risk assets. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg's Chief Washington Correspondent, thinks Bernie Sanders is front runner for the 2020 election. Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, remembers Chanel's Karl Lagerfeld as a "taste maker." Jim Suva, Citi Managing Director, joins us to talk tech.
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33 min
February 15, 2019
Surveillance: EM Story Isn't Overplayed, Santos Says
Gabriela Santos, JPM Asset Management Global Market Strategist, doesn't think the EM story is overplayed. Bipan Rai, CIBC Head of North American Foreign-Exchange Strategy, thinks the dollar is overvalued 12% to 15%. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Director of Policy Research, highlights that both China and the U.S. are incentivized to continue negotiations. Amaka Anku, Eurasia Group Practice Head of Africa, says no candidate in the Nigerian elections is tackling the problem of revenue generation.
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31 min
February 14, 2019
Surveillance Special: David Herro On Patience & Investment
David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, highlights the importance of patience in investing, especially in periods like last year when certain sectors got highly devalued. He also discusses the merger of Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank and how he expects this to help European banks from a price perspective.
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9 min
February 14, 2019
Surveillance: Quite Muted Growth In 2019, Marangi Says
Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, says growth will be quite muted in 2019. Carolynn Look, Bloomberg Economy & ECB Reporter, says fundamentals are still strong in Europe. Matt Freund, Calamos Advisors Head of Fixed Income Strategies & Co-CIO, says it is not just one bond market but a market of bonds. Mona Mahajan, Allianz U.S. Investment Strategist, says the December pullback had to do with U.S. recession fears.
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34 min
February 13, 2019
Surveillance: U.S.-China, A New Cold War, Buiter Says
Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the trade relationship between the U.S. and China is part of a wider new Cold War. George Goncalves, Nomura Securities Managing Director & Head of Americas Fixed Income Strategy, thinks the bond market is nervous about a downturn. Laura Davison, Bloomberg Tax Reporter, says only Democrats in the North East are addressing the new limit on federal deductions for state and local tax payments. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, sees a greater risk of an earnings recession than an economic recession.
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25 min
February 12, 2019
Surveillance: Risks of Silly Leftism & Silly Rightism With Rose
Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, and Edmund Shing, BNP Paribas Global Head of Equity & Derivatives Strategy, discuss dollar strength. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says economic dynamism lessens social problems. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says social democracy is the price of avoiding socialism. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago's Booth School of Business Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, reflects on U.S.-China relations.
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31 min
February 11, 2019
Surveillance: The U.S. Cannot Escape Global Slowdown, Mann Says
Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary General, says he is not predicting a recession. Catherine Mann, Citi Research Global Chief Economist, says even the U.S. cannot escape the global slowdown. Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling President, says strong economic growth brings income polarization. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says nobody is expecting a final deal between the U.S. and China by March 1.
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32 min
February 8, 2019
Surveillance: Bond Guys Tend To Have It Right, Bailin Says
David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Global Head of Investments, says bond guys tend to have it right. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, thinks the Republicans are less divided than the Democrats. David Stubbs, JPMorgan Global Market Strategist, says the U.S. economy will slow significantly in 2020. Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation Host, says President Trump remains very confident on his convictions despite being embattled.
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28 min
February 7, 2019
Surveillance: Nominee Malpass's Vision For The World Bank
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee members have much more independence than the members of the FOMC. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says it is tough days to be a forecaster at the BOE's MPC. David Malpass, World Bank President Nominee, is optimistic that more progress can be made on extreme poverty. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says fair value for the S&P is still a big higher than current levels.
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34 min
February 6, 2019
Surveillance Special: State Of The Union Address
Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington TV & Radio Correspondent, shares his takeaways from Pres. Trump's second State of the Union address. Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tennessee), says Trump is exceedingly popular in his district. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discusses U.S. foreign policy under the current administration. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, brings us an update on U.S. markets and the Fed. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government White House Reporter, says Stacey Abrams discussed many of the same themes as the SOTU in her Democratic response.
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28 min
February 5, 2019
Surveillance: Trump Has Remade The Republican Party, Haass Says
Gene Frieda, PIMCO Global Strategist, and Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discuss why markets don't price in the scenario of a no-Brexit. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says Trump has remade the Republican party. Brian Jacobsen, Wells Capital Management Chief Portfolio Strategist, says one of the cardinal rules of successful investment is diversification and patience. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, expects the spend line of Disney to ramp up, causing the share price to stumble.
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30 min
February 4, 2019
Surveillance Exclusive: Bill Gross On His Retirement
In an exclusive interview with Tom Keene, Bill Gross announces his retirement and reveals his plans for the future.
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25 min
February 1, 2019
Surveillance: Fed in Extended Pause, Kasman Says
Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Managing Director of Global, notes that the Fed seems to be in an extended pause. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Securities Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, doesn't see the U.S. going into recession. Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation Host, previews her interview with President Trump. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says price momentum makes people feel more bullish.
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29 min
January 31, 2019
Surveillance: Not Much Inflation In The Fed Data, Kantor Says
Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's not a lot of inflation in the Fed data due to the impact of technology and globalization. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, emphasizes that there is a will to get something done between the U.S. and China. Rich Greenfield, BTIG Technology, Media & Telecom Analyst, believes that Instagram will be a bigger business than Facebook in totality long-term. Chuck Leavell, Musician and Mother Nature Network Co-Founder, shares his experience working with music legends.
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35 min
January 30, 2019
Surveillance: Fed Will Emphasize Patience, Kroszner Says
Anna Edwards, Bloomberg News Anchor, gives us an update on Brexit negotiations. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says markets are still talking about recession. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor & Former Fed Governor, discusses whether the tight labor market could lead to inflation. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Vice Chairman, expects some kind of framework trade deal between the U.S. and China. Al Broaddus, Former Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President, says Former Fed officials Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen did a great job handling the 2008 financial crisis.
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33 min
January 29, 2019
Surveillance: Brexit Is Bad News For NATO, Stavridis Says
Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Capital Partner, says the U.S. economy is the most isolated from other markets. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Head of Commodities Research, favors oil out of the cyclical commodities. Will Power, Baird Senior Research Analyst, says Apple can capitalize on the 1.4 billion active devices they have globally. Julia Coronado, President & Founder of Macropolicy Perspectives, says she will focus on balance sheet comments in tomorrow's Fed meeting. And Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, says Brexit is bad news for NATO.
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32 min
January 28, 2019
Surveillance: Markets Aren't Telling Anything, Dwyer Says
Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, is more focused on the Fed than on trade tensions. Stewart Patrick, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, doesn't see a new global hegemon on the horizon. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, expects data to confirm that in the fourth quarter, we were in solid footing. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, says current volatility comes from a mix of both micro and macro trends.
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27 min
January 25, 2019
Surveillance: Oil Not A Story Anymore For Russia, Oreshkin Says
Marty Schenker, Bloomberg Chief Content Officer, says the indictment of Roger Stone is not related to the crime but the cover-up. Maxim Oreshkin, Russia's Economy Minister, says oil is not a story for Russia anymore. Ricardo Hausmann, Harvard's Kennedy School of Government Professor, says Venezuela's Juan Guaido has massive support. Shannon O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow for Latin America Studies, says we should be watching what happens with the protests in Venezuela.
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33 min
January 24, 2019
Surveillance: VW CEO Diess Still Optimistic About Trade
Herbert Diess, Volkswagen CEO, is optimistic about trade. Jason Bordoff, Columbia University Professor and Former Special Assistant to President Obama, says we need to move much faster to a clean energy transition. Nadia Calviño Santamaría, Spanish Economy Minister, says the Spanish economy will grow above the EU average in 2019. Mark Rutte, Netherlands Prime Minister, says the economy has to deliver to the people. Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General, warns that Russia is not complying with the INF Treaty.
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43 min
January 23, 2019
Surveillance: Global Growth At Center Stage In Davos Day Two
Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director, ranks trade tensions as the top risk for the global economy. Brian Moynihan, Bank of America CEO, says economic data in December were strong enough for a rate rise. Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Co-Chairman, thinks the key in this private equity environment is to be selective. Scott Minerd, Guggenheim CIO, explains the impact of ETFs becoming a bigger player in markets.
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34 min
January 23, 2019
Surveillance: Europe Better Off Without the Euro, Bootle Says
John Normand, JPMorgan Head of Cross-Asset Fundamental Strategy, Morris Reid, Mercury LLC Partner, and Tony Gardner, Former U.S. Ambassador to the EU, discuss their expectations for the World Economic Forum starting Monday in Davos. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, expects favorable news regarding an easing of sanctions to Chinese imports. Pippa Malmgren, H Robotics Co-Founder & Former U.S. Presidential Advisor to President George W. Bush, shares her optimist outlook for the world economy. Roger Bootle, Capital Economics Founder & Chairman, says Europe would be better off without the euro.
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30 min
January 22, 2019
Surveillance: World Economic Forum in Davos Kicks Off
Laura Cha, Hong Kong Exchange Chair, says there's a lot the Chinese government can do in opening up the financial market. Mohammed Barkindo, OPEC Secretary General, says the Organization is transparent as a fishbowl. Arne Sorenson, Marriott International CEO, thinks Democrats and Republicans ought to arrive at a consensus on immigration. Amin Nasser, Saudi Aramco CEO, says the company is in discussions to acquire 70% of SABIC. George Osborne, London Evening Standard Editor and Former Chancellor of the Exchequer, thinks it's not acceptable for the U.K. to leave the EU without a deal.
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42 min
January 17, 2019
Surveillance: The Phillips Curve Is Still In Play, Posen Says
Arthur Levitt, Former SEC Chairman, remembers John Bogle's legacy. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy & Senior Currency Analyst, says the fundamentals of both the euro and the dollar are deteriorating. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, talks how U.S. banks were forced to become bank holding companies after the crisis. Simon French, Panmure Gordon Chief Economist, compares the economic outlook in the U.S. and Europe. Adam Posen, PIIE President and former member of BOE Monetary Policy Committee, says the Phillips curve is definitely still in play. 
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35 min
January 16, 2019
Surveillance: Cameron Landed Us In This Mess, Skidelsky Says
Charles Peabody, Portales Partners LLC President, recaps U.S. bank earnings with us. Lord Robert Skidelsky, House of Lords Member, says David Cameron landed the U.K. in the Brexit mess without adequate preparation. Chuck Robbins, Cisco Chairman and CEO, says the migration to cloud is driving their growth. Baroness Helena Kennedy, House of Lords Member, says the DUP have Theresa May "by the tail" over the Northern Ireland border agreement.
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34 min
January 15, 2019
Surveillance: Shutdown Won't Impact Economy, Taylor Says
Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Investment Banking Reporter, joins us to break JPMorgan's earnings. Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer Funds Senior Investment Strategist, says the U.S. is slowing back to trend. Ken Leon, CFRA Global Director of Research, says to be cautious on banks. Victoria Hewson, Institute of Economic Affairs' International Trade & Competition Unit Senior Counsel, discusses trade scenarios under Brexit. John B. Taylor, Stanford University Professor of Economics, does not think the government shutdown will impact the economy.
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29 min
January 14, 2019
Surveillance: Brexit Is A Stagflation Event, Weinberg Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says Brexit is a stagflation event. Fred Cannon, KBW Global Director of Research, previews the U.S. bank earnings coming up this week. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. & Americas Programme, thinks Republicans will have to present the President with a plan to break the gridlock. John Butler, Bloomberg Intelligence TMT Team Leader, discusses Apple music versus Spotify.
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33 min
January 11, 2019
Surveillance: Still More Work To Do, GM's Barra Says
John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, says the U.S. is in a stronger place than it was several years ago despite what is going on inside the Beltway. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist, says we need more training for those who lose their jobs to trade and technology. Mary Barra, General Motors Chairman & CEO, foresees a healthy U.S. market for GM. Laurence Ball, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Economics & Department Chair and Author of "The Fed and Lehman Brothers", critiques how central bankers have discussed the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis.
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35 min
January 10, 2019
Surveillance: Recession Likelihood with Bandholz & Kiesel
Mark Kiesel, PIMCO CIO of Credit, thinks markets have overestimated the likelihood of a recession while Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist thinks the U.S. could see a recession in 2020. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Senior Macro Strategist & Senior Analyst, doesn't see China's latest inflation numbers as reflective of a huge slump in all of its upstream pricing. Chris Bryant, Bloomberg Opinion Industrials Columnist, believes recent cuts at Ford & Jaguar Land Rover are just the start for the automotive industry.
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30 min
January 9, 2019
Surveillance: A Fed Minutes Preview With Vincent Reinhart
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, discusses what's he's looking to in the Fed Minutes. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) says the President's border wall is a 14th century solution to a 21st century problem. John Brabender, Brabenderbox Chief Creative Officer & Republican Strategist, discusses fractures in the GOP. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks and Diversified Financials Research, says she has her eye on big bank buybacks. ------
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31 min
January 8, 2019
Surveillance: A New Era In The U.S.-China Relationship
Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, says there's a dichotomy between global and domestic tech. Michael Hirson, Eurasia Group Director of Asia, discusses China's slowdown and what it could mean for trade talks with the U.S. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist, foresees the dollar weakening. Taylor Riggs, Bloomberg News Correspondent, brings us an update from the JPMorgan Healthcare conference in San Francisco.
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35 min
January 7, 2019
Surveillance: Top Risks 2019 With Eurasia Group
Bloomberg Surveillance is on location at Eurasia Group today. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, defines "innovation winter." Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says several forward-looking economic measures are concerning. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, discusses market volatility in relation to U.S. politics. Sallie Krawcheck, Ellevest CEO & Co-Founder, discusses the gender gap in retirement investing.
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33 min
January 4, 2019
Surveillance: No Recession In Sight, Kudlow Says
Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says growth for the working age population has slowed dramatically. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says further liquidity is needed in China for its infrastructure projects. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, and Mike Darda, MKM Holdings Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, join us for instant reaction to the U.S. jobs number (312k). Larry Kudlow, White House National Economic Council Director, says there is no recession in sight.
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38 min
January 3, 2019
Surveillance: Fed's Kaplan Advocates For Taking No Action
Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says the Chinese economy is much weaker than the official headlines show. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Telecom, Wireless and Communication Equipment Analyst, says Apple's lowering of revenue estimates is a major sign of economic issues in China. Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve of Dallas President, thinks the Fed should not take any further action on interest rates. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, argues that the U.S. has to remain engaged in the Pacific. Asthika Goonerwardene, Bloomberg Intelligence Biotech & Pharma Analyst, says Bristol's bid for Celgene is a financial transaction to buy cash flows.
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43 min
January 2, 2019
Surveillance: Financial Conditions Do Matter, Crescenzi Says
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, believes there is a strong case for the Fed to pause. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, expects a deeper deterioration of the Chinese economy before the stimulus comes through. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Economist, highlights the importance of the January Fed meeting. Oscar Decotelli, DXA Investments CEO, says the Brazilian elite seem to be positive about the country's new President Jair Bolsonaro.
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26 min
December 31, 2018
Surveillance: Happy 2019 For CPTPP Countries, Sumpter Says
Brett Ryan, Deutsche Bank Senior Economist, expects 3 rate hikes and 2.4% economic growth next year. Bob Profusek, Jones Day Global Chair of M&A, says M&A are driven by technology and globalization not by credit markets. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Research Strategy & Operations Head, says the countries in the CPTPP will see roughly 99% of tariffs among them eliminated. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors CIO & Founding Partner, says emerging markets are "downright cheap."
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37 min
December 28, 2018
Surveillance: Market Volatility Not A Macro Story, Greene Says
Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, says the government shutdown isn't a huge story for the U.S. economy. John Sfakianakis, Gulf Research Center Foundation Director of Economics Research, doesn't think Saudi Arabia sees oil as a strategic weapon. Martin Indyk, CFR Distinguished Fellow & Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, talks the impact of the U.S. pullout from Syria on the "cold war" between Iran and Israel. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, talks the risk of Amazon achieving the status of "commerce king."
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46 min
December 27, 2018
Surveillance: Relative Dollar Strength in 2019, Barth Says
Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Partners, thinks the Fed should increase clarity on housing and inflation expectations. Kona Haque, ED&F MAN Head of Commodities Research, says the trade story will drive commodities' sentiment in 2019. Marvin Barth, Barclays Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy Research, says President Trump has realized it is a mistake to undermine people's confidence in institutions. Mark McCormick, TD Securities Head of FX Strategy North America, thinks reserve currencies will strengthen again next year.
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42 min
December 26, 2018
Surveillance: Trade Wars Are Scaring People, Stringham Says
Edward Stringham, President of the American Institute for Economic Research, doesn't buy that the Fed is responsible for all the problems of the economy. Ivan Feinseth, Tigress Financial CIO, says now is the time to take advantage of the post-Christmas sale on Wall Street. Brian Egger, Bloomberg Senior Gaming & Lodging Analyst, thinks we are only in the early innings of the sports betting legalization process. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO, says the combination of online and brick-and-mortar is powerful for retailers.
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45 min
December 24, 2018
Surveillance: Markets Listen To The President, Spindel Says
Bob Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chair, describes the demographic challenges China is facing. Margaret Talev, Bloomberg's White House Correspondent, zooms in on the question of how the shutdown will impact the economy. Mark Spindel, "The Myth of Independence: How Congress Governs the Federal Reserve" Author, says markets have listened to President Trump on his criticisms of the Fed. Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, says investors are selling what they can and not what they want.
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27 min
December 21, 2018
Surveillance: Risk Tolerance Has Changed, Joseph Cohen Says
Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, thinks the risk tolerance of investors has changed. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says the Fed still has to define what they mean by "asymmetry." John Hudak, Brookings Governance Studies Senior Fellow, says General Mattis' resignation is connected to the "unstable behavior" and "erratic decision-making" of Trump. Stephen Gallo, BMO Capital Markets Head of European FX Strategy, expects the dollar to be stronger the first half of 2019.
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29 min
December 20, 2018
Surveillance: A Data Dependent Fed With Citi's Mann
Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth University Professor, says either the market is wrong or the Fed is wrong. Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, thinks tightening eight times in the course of two years is too rapid a move. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says there is a divorce between data from the real economy and data from financial markets. Narayana Kocherlakota, Former Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says we should get rid of the FOMC Dot Plot.
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27 min
December 19, 2018
Surveillance: Fed Can't Be A Slave To The Market, Kroszner Says
Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says bond markets are adjusting to slower growth in developed economies next year. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says oil demand concerns stem from the U.S. and China trade war. Randy Kroszner, Former Fed Governor, says the Fed cannot be a slave to the market. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, sees a 55% probability of impeachment for Trump.
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28 min
December 18, 2018
Surveillance: Fed Is Probably Already At Neutral, Darda Says
Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says the justification to continue rising rates has evaporated. Jim O'Neill, Chatham House Chair and Goldman Sachs Former Chief Economist, says changing the manager will not solve the dilemmas of Manchester United. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist & Head of Political Analysis, says a government shutdown would only affect 25% of federal funding. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says better credit conditions in China haven't translated into liquidity.
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31 min
December 17, 2018
Surveillance: Science Is The Key To Progress, Romer Says
Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor and Peter G. Peterson Chair, discusses the latest edition of Foreign Affairs. Andrea Felsted, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, talks Brexit fears for U.K. retailers. Paul Romer, 2018 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences Co-Recipient, says people have less confidence in science than they had 20 years ago. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, is worried about the lack of cooperation between global superpowers.
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32 min
December 14, 2018
Surveillance: In The Long Term, Cash Is Trash, Sowerby Says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Equity Strategist, discusses the implications of a slower growth rate next year. David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, says in the long term, cash is trash. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO & Founder, talks the financialization of the VIX from an index to a trading instrument. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, thinks consumer data do not support the general view of a recession in 2019 or 2020.
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33 min
December 13, 2018
Surveillance: May Vote Was A Distraction, Mills Says
Chi Onwurah, Labour MP & Shadow Minister of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, thinks the fundamental fractures in British Parliament can't be solved in two weeks. Eoin Drea, Martens Centre for European Studies Senior Research Officer, defines the Irish border as a symbol of peace and reconciliation. John Mills, JML Founder and Chairman, says the confidence vote was a bit of a distraction. Steven Major, HSBC Bank Global Head of Fixed Income Research, joins us to react to the ECB's rate decision.
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31 min
December 12, 2018
Surveillance: Bad Timing For Confidence Vote, Huddleston Says
Nigel Huddleston, Conservative Member of Parliament for Mid Worcestershire, says Theresa May would be in a very strong position if she won the vote. Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Anchor, and Erik Nielsen, Unicredit Group Chief Economist, join us for a Brexit update. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, advises to be opportunistic in every asset class in 2019. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, thinks sterling relief is related to anti-Corbyn sentiment.
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22 min
December 11, 2018
Surveillance: We Are Near The End Of The Cycle, Ruskin Says
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Securities Managing Director & Chief International Strategist, says market participants seem to expect volatility to be sticky for a while. Luke Kawa, Bloomberg Cross-Asset Reporter, says markets are pricing in some kind of inflection point for the Fed over the next two years. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, defines the current situation of the U.K. as one of "chaos" and "rage". Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder, explains that technology is a deflationary force. Baroness Helena Kennedy, House of Lords Member, remarks that the Irish border question was not in the mind of the voters when the Brexit referendum took place.
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38 min
December 10, 2018
Surveillance: We're In A Very Deflationary World, Shilling Says
Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says the key question now is whether Theresa May can go back to Brussels to negotiate changes. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Strategist & Managing Partner, says there will be downward pressure in the rupee until the Indian central bank's independence is reestablished. Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling & Co. President & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks we are in a very deflationary world. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government’s White House Reporter, discusses the responsibilities of the next White House Chief of Staff.
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30 min
December 7, 2018
Surveillance: The Market Moves In Mysterious Ways, Krueger Says
Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, says markets are reacting to the end of the sugar high. James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, thinks the Fed is more cautious as we near neutral. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says the Fed should be focused on the nominal economy. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, discusses who may be the next candidate for White House Chief of Staff.
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31 min
December 6, 2018
Surveillance: Chances of No-Deal Brexit Small, Tony Blair Says
Tony Blair, Former U.K. Prime Minister, joins Francine Lacqua and Tom Keene on Bloomberg Surveillance TV to discuss Brexit. Tim Culpan, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says cybersecurity has played a role in Huawei's CFO's arrest. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, reflects on the global admiration for former President George H.W. Bush. Tina Davis, Bloomberg Energy & Commodities Americas, joins us to wrap headlines from the OPEC+ meetings.
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36 min
December 5, 2018
Surveillance: Remembering President George H.W. Bush
Bloomberg Surveillance remember former President George H.W. Bush in today's episode. Diana Furchtgott-Roth, Former Office of Policy Planning Associate Director for George H.W. Bush, discusses the former President's economic policies. Ron Bonjean, The Bonjean Company Founder, discusses the future of the Republican party. Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander for Europe, says George H.W. Bush was one of the biggest supporters of NATO in history. Bill Hoagland, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Vice President, says the former President was pragmatic about deficits.
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31 min
December 4, 2018
Surveillance: 2020 Will Be Quite Weak, Shepherdson Says
Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says wage growth is much more likely to head North than South. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Rates Strategist, discusses the yield curve flattening. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, brings us an update on oil markets. Emma Ross Thomas, Bloomberg Brexit Editor, says BOE Governor Mark Carney is no stranger to criticism.
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32 min
December 3, 2018
Surveillance: The U.S. Economy Is In Good Shape, Clarida Says
Richard Clarida, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, says the U.S. Economy is in good shape right now. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Policy Correspondent, says the market is pricing in a much lower path for rate hikes for the Fed in 2019. Marianne Schneider-Petsinger, Chatham House Geoeconomics Fellow for U.S. & the Americas, says it is not clear what the Trump administration wants to achieve with China. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, highlights the divergent outlook of monetary policy for the PBOC and the Fed. Former Senator Alan Simpson, (R) Wyoming, remembers President George H.W. Bush.
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25 min
November 30, 2018
Surveillance: China Was Caught Off Balance By Trump, Fenby Says
Jonathan Fenby, TSLombard Chairman, says the trade war has come at an inconvenient time for Xi Jinping. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, updates us on the USMCA signing in Buenos Aires. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, does not expect the G-20 meetings to resolve trade issues. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says a framework agreement between Xi and Trump would be a huge win. And Garrett Graff, Author of "Threat Matrix", offers an inside look into political drama in Washington.
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41 min
November 29, 2018
Surveillance: Normalization With Former ECB President Trichet
Thu Lan Nguyen, Commerzbank FX Strategist, and Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Senior Investment Strategist, discuss the market impact of various Brexit outcomes. Jean-Claude Trichet, Former ECB President, says the 2008 crisis put central banks close to a financial stability mandate. Don Gimbel, Geneva Advisors Portfolio Manager, thinks China and the U.S. may reach an agreement at the G-20 summit. Leon Cooperman, Omega Advisors Chairman & CEO, discusses the algorithms that bring volatility to the markets. Eric Garcetti, Los Angeles Mayor, says mayors are the political first responders to natural disasters.
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51 min
November 28, 2018
Surveillance: Fiscal Cliff Coming In 2020, Crescenzi Says
Bloomberg Surveillance is live from the Bloomberg link for the Year Ahead Summit. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says the Chinese government will have to take strong measures to avoid volatility in the yuan. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, expects a fiscal cliff in 2020. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, discusses the humility of Former Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy, the guest on his show "Peer to Peer Conversations". Luca Solca, Exane BNP Paribas Head of Luxury Goods Research, says that the Chinese consumer represents a third of the luxury market. Nick Colas, DataTrek Research Co-Founder, says bitcoin is a cloudy market.
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40 min
November 27, 2018
Surveillance: Auto Workers Losing For Decades Now, Alden Says
Arlene Foster, U.K. Democratic Unionist Party Leader, tells us why her party doesn't support May's Brexit deal. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Automotive Analyst, says GM is going through this "painful transition" in order to be relevant in the future. Edward Alden, CFR Senior Fellow and Author of "Failure To Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind In The Global Economy", says China is a bigger market for GM than the U.S. Andrew Wood, Chatham House Associate Fellow for their Russia and Eurasia Programme, does not think there will be new sanctions on Russia.
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30 min
November 26, 2018
Surveillance: Unemployment Rate Is Going Nowhere, Sweeney Says
Nicky Morgan, U.K. Member of Parliament & Chair of Treasury Select Committee, and Rupert Harrison, BlackRock Multi-Asset Strategies Portfolio Manager, talk the challenges of getting the Brexit deal through Parliament. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist & Head of Global Fixed Income & Economic Research, says returns aren't great but the unemployment rate is going nowhere. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses Cyber Monday for a generation that needs "instagramable moments." Abhishek Deshpande, Head of JP Morgan's Global Oil Market Research & Strategy Team, thinks oil's falling prices are partly policy led.
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35 min
November 23, 2018
Surveillance: Oil Prices Boost Consumer Spending, Swonk Says
Steve Wieting, Citigroup Global Chief Investment Strategist, doesn't think 2019 marks a down year for the U.S. or the rest of the world. John Levy, John B. Levy & Company Founder, says we are going from necessity shopping to experience shopping. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says oil prices will give a boost to consumer spending in the holiday season. Christyan Malek, J.P. Morgan Head of EMEA Oil & Gas Research, talks the Russian break even and the Saudi break even oil prices. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says stores are in a good inventory position for holidays sales.
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29 min
November 21, 2018
Surveillance: We Need To Fix The Trade Issue, OECD's Boone Says
Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer Funds Senior Investment Strategist, says the Phillips curve is as flat as the table he is sitting at. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, highlights the need to fix trade issues. Mike Feroli, JPMorgan Chief Economist, thinks the Fed will continue to hike every quarter next year. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy, says the credit card market is living the biggest boom we have ever seen.
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29 min
November 20, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Economy Weakening But Strong, Cantrill Says
George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, says the march back towards cash is well underway. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, thinks the chances of a big infrastructure package are higher than markets seem to think. Mark Gilbert, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says we are nearing a bear market. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Director, thinks people are overestimating the power of Germany to influence Euro states.
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30 min
November 19, 2018
Surveillance: There's Potential For Some Inflation, Mann Says
Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the Fed must balance the signals coming from the global and domestic economy. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Finance Professor, thinks Salvini wants the confrontation with the EU for political reasons. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, notes it's the first time in a while that there's uncertainty about the Fed's next move. Budd Bugatch, Raymond James Research Managing Director, provides an update on Home Depot and Walmart.
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33 min
November 16, 2018
Surveillance: It's The Brexit Deal That Works, Phillipson Says
Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says there might be some type of standstill agreement between China and the U.S. in the Buenos Aires meeting. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York, highlights the need to deliver some certainty on Brexit. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, will discuss the record number of women in Congress during her next show. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Managing Director & Consumer Research Analyst, says the baton has shifted from baby boomers to millennials being the population driver for consumer goods.
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41 min
November 15, 2018
Surveillance: Hard Brexit Looks Very Tangible, Foley Says
Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy & Senior Currency Analyst, says the prospects of a hard Brexit look very tangible today. Neil Callanan, Bloomberg's London Bureau Chief, thinks Theresa May will struggle in a leadership contest. Danny Blanchflower, Darmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, thinks the current Brexit deal will collapse. And John Carreyou, Author of "Bad Blood", details the writing process for his book on Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos.
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35 min
November 14, 2018
Surveillance: Confidence In Draghi Is Diminishing, Rahbari Says
Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of Content & G10 FX Strategy, says confidence in Draghi is diminishing. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, thinks European stocks are especially undervalued today. Toby Moskovitz, Heritage Equity Partners President & Founder, proposes that Amazon creates a requirement for local hiring and job training. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says product innovation contributes Macy's strong earnings. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, previews his interview with Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan.
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44 min
November 13, 2018
Surveillance: The Economy of Seattle Meets Arlington & Queens
Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of U.S., thinks people are growing comfortable with the notion of socializing health care in America. Nancy Ognanovich, Congressional Leadership Reporter For Bloomberg Government, says funding the government will be the Congress priority. Greg Boutle, BNP Head of Equity & Derivative Strategy, expects a slowdown in nominal GDP next year. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Management CEO & CIO, describes how Seattle has changed as Amazon has grown.
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33 min
November 12, 2018
Surveillance: We Still Have Work To Do, Rep. Scalise Says
Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says of all the things he worries about, the Fed is not on that list. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, talks the supply and demand picture for crude oil. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) lays out his plans for his last few months as House Majority Whip. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, says you don't have to take on a ton of treasury risk to get big returns. Tyler Brule, Monocle Editor-In-Chief, takes a close look at soft power.
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42 min
November 9, 2018
Surveillance: This Fed Is Data Dependent, Zentner Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist & Managing Director, thinks the U.S. tariffs are already having an impact on China. Stewart Patrick, CFR Senior Fellow & Director of the International Institutions and Global Governance Program, joins us to discuss the Armistice Day Centennial. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, thinks Powell has been a great communicator but his one misstep was when he said, "We are far from neutral." Michael Beschloss, Presidential Historian & Author of "Presidents Of War", expects a Battle Royale within the Democratic Party in the next two years.
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34 min
November 8, 2018
Surveillance: One or Two Fed Hikes Next Year, Milken's Lee Says
Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, discusses the Russian investigation in the wake of Sessions' resignation. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, expects one or two rate hikes from the Fed next year. James Albertine, Consumer Edge Senior Auto Analyst, says Robyn Denholm would not have been his first choice for Tesla Chair. Bill Gavin, Former FBI Assistant Director, reacts to the California shooting. David Laufman, Government Investigations Lawyer & Former U.S. Department of Justice Senior National Security Official, revisits Sessions' recusal from the Russia investigation.
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35 min
November 7, 2018
Surveillance Special: A Divided Congress
Bloomberg Surveillance brings you a Midterms Special. Emily Ekins, Cato Institute Research Fellow & Director of Polling, says millennials were energized to vote in these midterms. Marc Lotter, Former Press Secretary for VP Mike Pence & Trump 2020 Advisory Board Member, shares his key takeaways from the Florida and Ohio races. Lawrence Summers, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary & Former National Economic Council Director, says fiscal responsibility is not the concern right now. Robby Mook, Hillary Clinton's 2016 Campaign Manager, thinks Democrats need to focus on delivering results to those who elected them. Trent Lott, Former Senate Majority Leader, says getting things done in a divided government takes communication and leadership. Stephen Moore, Heritage Foundation & "Trumponomics" Co-Author, thinks the booming economy saved Senate seats for Republicans. And Frank Keating, Former Governor of Oklahoma, says he's not happy with what is going on at the U.S.-Mexico border.
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39 min
November 6, 2018
Surveillance: Voters Turnout When They're Pissed, Goolsbee Says
Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, says gridlock would be the best outcome for the markets. Doug Heye, Deputy Chief of Staff to Eric Cantor & Republican Strategist, guides us through two races in Iowa. Joe Lieberman, United Against a Nuclear Iran Chairman and Former Senator (D-CT), thinks Congress has let down the people. Austan Goolsbee, Fmr. White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, is hoping voters become increasingly skeptical of what they see on social media during elections.
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28 min
November 5, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Midterms Eve With Jared Bernstein
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, discusses potential for American austerity as the global economy decelerates. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg News Reporter in Tehran, says Iran sanctions are a sad story for the middle class. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, does not expect the economy to overheat. Jared Bernstein, Fmr. Chief Economist & Economic Adviser to Vice President Joe R. Biden, says we've dropped the ball on public investment.
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29 min
November 2, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Seeing Real Wage Growth, CEA's Hassett Says
Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, explains how big oil companies are adapting to a de-carbonized world. Eric Ross, Cascend Securities Chief Investment Strategist, analyzes the "Apple ecosystem." Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, says we have never seen a higher wage gap between workers with college degrees and those without. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the U.S. is seeing real wage growth. 
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36 min
November 1, 2018
Surveillance: Risk Parity Framework is Unraveling, Major Says
Seema Malhotra, Labour Party Member of Parliament, does not believe we will see a Brexit deal by November 21st. Steve Wieting, Citi Global CIO, expects a positive equity environment in 2019. Steve Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says October was a bucket of cold water for the S&P. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Political Strategist, says President Trump is absolutely already on the 2020 campaign trail.
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43 min
October 31, 2018
Surveillance: The U.S. Is Winning The Trade War, Foley Says
Gerry Fowler, Aberdeen Standard Investments Global Multi-Asset Strategist, says the Libor rate is the key driver of equity markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar-renminbi cross has a very political exchange rate. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Founder & CEO, notes Facebook growth has slowed in the developed world. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner, gives us a hedge fund update. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, compares loan to bond investment.
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37 min
October 30, 2018
Surveillance: Too Late To Sell, Too Early To Buy, Trennert Says
Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Machinery Analyst, sees opportunities in the tech gigs sector. Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, expects more dispersion in returns as capital becomes rationed. Bob Janjuah, Nomura Senior Independent Client Advisor of Global Markets, worries about the "post-easy-money world." Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Chief U.S. Economist, expects a strong employment report on Friday. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, updates us on President Trump's immigration plans.
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35 min
October 29, 2018
Surveillance: Merkel Has Been A Monolith, Schick Says
Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manger & CEO, says IBM hasn't managed to innovate. Shannon K. O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations VP, Deputy Director of Studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller Senior Fellow for Latin American Studies, says Brazil's elected President Bolsonaro models himself after U.S. President Trump. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, wonders when the sugar high from the tax cut will start to fade. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data & Polling, says it will be tough for Germany to replace Merkel who is a "monolith" for her country and the EU.
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24 min
October 26, 2018
Surveillance: This Is A Sustainable Cycle, Mulvaney Says
John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, does not think the Fed should stop hiking. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President & CEO, tells Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Politics Correspondent, that the current market volatility is typical. Nancy Cordes, CBS News Chief Congressional Correspondent, updates us the Senate race in Texas. And Mick Mulvaney, U.S. Office of Management & Budget Director, says the White House expected the low inflation numbers we saw today.
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40 min
October 25, 2018
Surveillance: Tesla 4Q Is A Big Question Mark, Johnson Says
Gordon Johnson, Vertical Group Managing Director & Analyst, thinks Tesla's positive numbers in 2Q and 3Q are not repeatable. Gary Shilling, A Gary Shilling & Co. President, says we are basically in a deflationary war. Christian Schulz, Citi Economics Team Director, previews the ECB Meeting today. And Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner & Co-Founder, forecasts Apple's future in autos.
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29 min
October 24, 2018
Coming Soon: The New Economy
Bloomberg’s head of economics Stephanie Flanders calls on Bloomberg's worldwide network of reporters and expert commentators to cast a fresh eye on looming challenges for the world economy which affect us all.This 6 part podcast combines on the ground reporting with expert discussion on the future of cities, finance and technology, trade, global governance and making growth more inclusive. It's the start of a global conversation on how to confront these issues which will continue in Singapore in early November, when around 400 top business leaders and thinkers from across the globe will gather in Singapore for the first New Economy Forum.
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2 min
October 24, 2018
Surveillance: The Pessimism Is Overdone, Normand Says
John Normand, JP Morgan Head of Cross-Asset Fundamental Strategy, says there are pockets of opportunity in emerging markets. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder & Chairman, discusses the U.S.-Saudi Arabia relationship. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says much of the Fed's power comes from the perception of its independence. Craig Gordon, Bloomberg Washington Bureau Chief, joins us on breaking news. And Jon Lieber, PWC National Tax Services Principal, analyzes the possibility of a middle class tax cut.
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28 min
October 23, 2018
Surveillance: No Exuberance In Equity Markets, Kantor Says
Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, sees no exuberance or optimism in equity markets. Frank Newport, Gallup Poll Editor-In-Chief, discusses the challenges of polling election turnout. Sanam Vakil, Chatham House Senior Consulting Research Fellow in the Middle East & North Africa Program, says Saudi Arabia wants to preserve their relationship with the U.S. at all costs. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, hops in the studio to analyze the market losses this morning.
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34 min
October 22, 2018
Surveillance: No Tax Legislation Before Midterms, Hudak Says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Equity Strategist, defends her market optimism. John Hudak, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow in Governance Studies, predicts President Trump will "absolutely not" pass new tax legislation by the midterms. Matt Maley, MillerTabak and Co., LLC Managing Director & Equity Strategist, advises to go to cash. Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow For Middle East And Africa Studies, says Khashoggi's story will shake the Saudi royal family.
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28 min
October 19, 2018
Surveillance: Neither Party is Focused On Debt, Hormats Says
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30 min
October 18, 2018
Surveillance: Italy Likely To Be Downgraded A Notch, Hense Says
Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, talks the future of Fox, Disney, Google and Youtube. Florian Hense, Berenberg European Economist, says it is likely that Italy will be downgraded a notch. Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Trump administration's proposal for a free-trade deal with the U.K. is music to the ears of Brexiteers. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Economist, discusses the uneven wage growth in the U.S.
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28 min
October 17, 2018
Surveillance: No Reason To Stop Hiking, Zentner Says
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, sees no reason for the Fed to stop hiking right now. Martin Indyk, CFR Distinguished Fellow & Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, says every message has to be carefully controlled in a crisis, including the one with Saudi Arabia. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Credit & Strategy Analyst, expects Uber bonds to have junk ratings. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence President, is optimistic about a Brexit deal in December.
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30 min
October 16, 2018
Surveillance: The U.S. Is Abusing Its Privileges, Rose Says
Jack Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, thinks economic sanctions are a powerful tool to influence countries to change their policies. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the U.S. is abusing its privileges. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of U.S. Banks, talks IPO growth. Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, is worried about the over-promise of liquidity in banks.
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47 min
October 15, 2018
Surveillance: BAC Is Growing Organically, Cassidy Says
Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Equity Research Managing Director, says the universal bank model is outperforming the regional bank model. John Sfakianakis, Gulf Research Center Foundation Economics Research Director, thinks Khashoggi's disappearance has been a blow to Saudi Arabia's image-making. Vivian Nereim, Bloomberg Reporter, reports from Riyadh on the beginning of an internal probe in Saudi Arabia. Gary Gensler, Former CFTC Chairman, defends quarterly earnings reporting arguing that the public has the right to know about companies on a regular basis.
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28 min
October 12, 2018
Surveillance: No Election Impact From Celebrities, Haines Says
David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager, says JP Morgan has a clear strategy which includes a large return of capital. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist, thinks that celebrity endorsements do not have an impact on elections results. Gustavo Rangel, ING Chief LatAm Economist, explains that big Latin American countries are not vulnerable to FX volatility. Mitch Roschelle, PwC Partner, says the U.S. is undersupplied with new housing stock.
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25 min
October 11, 2018
Surveillance: Correction Was Long In The Making, Memani Says
Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of UK Investment Office, is not worried about tail risks. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO & Head of Fixed Income, thinks credit is the strongest place in the markets right now. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Global Markets Director and Economist, says an independent Fed is the best Fed. And Justin Leverenz, Oppenheimer Funds Director of EM Equities, highlights the focus on the sustainability of Tencent.
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29 min
October 10, 2018
Surveillance: Dollar Centrality Up Since 2008, Mallaby Says
Sebastian Mallaby, CFR Senior Fellow for International Economics, says the dollar's centrality in the global system has gone up since 2008. Claus Vistesen, Pantheon MacroEconomics Chief Eurozone Economist, thinks the Italian bond market is mispriced. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Managing Director & U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, prefers that banks have less revenues today but sustainable growth. Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, thinks people are becoming increasingly more pessimistic towards Brexit.
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32 min
October 9, 2018
Surveillance: Italy Unsustainable in Eurozone, Varoufakis Says
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, says there is a good chance that we will see a downturn in 2020. Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategist, does not expect a terrible recession whenever it comes. Yanis Varoufakis, Former Finance Minister of Greece, thinks Italy is not sustainable within the current rules of the Eurozone. And Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, recommends we read Madeleine Albright's new book, "Fascism: A Warning."
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31 min
October 8, 2018
Surveillance: Nordhaus Was A Great Teacher, Buiter Says
Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the Nobel Prize for Economics Winner William Nordhaus was a very inspiring teacher. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Managing Director of Policy Research & Senior Policy Analyst, says Kavanaugh's confirmation galvanized the political pulse for the midterms. Monica de Bolle, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, thinks Brazil's first round winner Jair Bolsonaro is more nationalistic and state interventionist than the markets seem to realize. And Steve Keen, Kingston University of London Professor of Economics, talks the role of technology in economics after Paul Romer's Nobel Prize win.
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31 min
October 5, 2018
Surveillance: Unemployment Can Go Lower, Kudlow Says
Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, focuses on defensive growth stocks while the Fed is tightening. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor from 2010-2011, says wage growth goes mainly to the top end of the income distribution. Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Executive Editor, thinks that the debate around Kavanaugh has moved from sexual harassment to issues regarding his credibility. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says unemployment can go lower.
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32 min
October 4, 2018
Surveillance: Businessweek Scoop On China's Microchip Hack
We lead today's podcast with a Bloomberg Businessweek scoop: China used a tiny chip to infiltrate almost 30 U.S. companies. Then we turn to Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Global Markets Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, who notes 75% of S&P revenues are U.S. driven. Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China & Former Senator from Montana, says countries will have to reach agreements on technology or this will be "the Wild West." Louise Yamada, Technical Research Advisors, says we're now in a new raising rate cycle. Jordan Robertson, Bloomberg News Global Technology Reporter, breaks down his reporting on China's microchips. And Adam Segal, Council on Foreign Relations Digital & Cyberspace Policy Program Director, says this story will shape upcoming security discussions.
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37 min
October 3, 2018
Surveillance: Lighthizer Is The Serious Negotiator, Alden Says
Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says people in the U.K. are sick of ten years of conservative austerity. Anna Edwards, Bloomberg Markets European Open Anchor, reports on PM May's speech at the Tory Party Conference. Craig Trudell, Bloomberg Autos Americas Team Leader, gives us a much needed autos update from Michigan. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, analyzes the USMCA trade agreement. And David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, previews his upcoming show with Barry Diller.
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39 min
October 2, 2018
Surveillance: The USMCA Is Encouraging, Lagarde Says
Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist & Managing Partner, thinks Italy needs growth. Bob Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager & Chief Equity Strategist, says Fed conversations are getting harder as we approach neutral. Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director, is pleased the USMCA exists. Alan Krueger, Princeton Professor of Economics, thinks Amazon is saying, "we are going to be a responsible employer," by raising their minimum wage.
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27 min
October 1, 2018
Surveillance: USMCA Is A Rebranding Of The Old NAFTA, Lee Says
Bill Lee, Milken Chief Economist, says the USMCA is an example of the new bilateral approach to negotiations of the U.S. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, says 70% to 100% of the tariffs in autos will fall on consumers. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Legal Editor, comments on the political nature of Kavanaugh's speech. Abe Selassie, IMF Director of the African Department, highlights that by 2030 half of the annual increase of the global workforce will come from Sub-Saharan Africa.
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30 min
September 28, 2018
Surveillance: Republicans Trying to Ramp Up Base, Kamarck Says
Barry Eichengreen, University of California Professor Berkeley, analyzes the IMF's future. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Macro Strategies Head, sees little contagion in Europe after the approval of the Italian budget. John Coffee, Columbia Law Professor, says the Tesla board is not strong. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, notes the Republicans have no women on the Senate Judiciary Committee. And Shannon Pettypiece, Bloomberg News White House Reporter, updates us on Sen. Flake's decision to confirm Judge Kavanaugh.
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33 min
September 27, 2018
Surveillance: A Road Map for Today's Kavanaugh Hearing From 1991
Thursday’s Senate hearing over sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh stirs memories of similar testimony from 1991. That’s when Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas was called back in his confirmation process to face the sexual misconduct allegations of Anita Hill. Bloomberg’s Bob Moon reports on how this scenario played out 27 years ago.
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9 min
September 27, 2018
Surveillance: The Dollar Can Climb Higher, Foley Says
Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar can climb higher. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, is skeptical about Congress ratifying a bilateral trade agreement with Mexico. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy, thinks the ECB could go negative again in the future. And Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of US Economics, tells us whether to rent or buy property. And Bob Moon, Bloomberg Radio Daybreak Host, joins us to discuss Judge Kavanaugh and 1991.
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39 min
September 26, 2018
Surveillance: Multilateralism Is A Better Way, Gurria Says
Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research & Partner, says they are bullish on owning oil. Werner Hoyer, European Investment Bank President, says Europe is behind in investment. Michael R. Bloomberg, Former Mayor of New York City & Bloomberg LP Founder, says the U.S. needs to have access to China's markets. Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary General, says it is crucial that trade continuous to drive growth. And Roger Ferguson, TIAA CEO & Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair, discusses the Fed rate decision due this afternoon.
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44 min
September 25, 2018
Surveillance: China's Engagement Positive For EM, Spence Says
Michael Spence, NYU Professor & Nobel Laureate, says China wants to be a positive influence in the developing world. Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, sees discipline in the credit markets. Sarah Ponczek, Bloomberg News Cross Asset Reporter, is watching Facebook shares following the departure of Instagram's founders. Patrick Gregory, Bloomberg Supreme Court Reporter, discusses the latest in the contentious confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh. Erik Schatzker, Bloomberg Editor-at-Large, hops in the booth to discuss the resignation of Argentina's Central Bank Governor Luis Caputo.
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29 min
September 24, 2018
Surveillance: Diversification in Botswana with Min. Kenewendo
Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Market Strategist, favors investment in technology. Rufus Xerxa, National Foreign Trade Council President, says breaking international trade rules undermines the competitiveness and cost structure of companies. Bogolo Kenewendo, Republic of Botswana Minister of Investment, Trade, and Industry, plans for Botswana to go from a middle-income to a high-income country by 2036. Greg Stohr, Bloomberg News Supreme Court Reporter, discusses where the confirmation for Brett Kavanaugh stands.
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31 min
September 21, 2018
Surveillance: Slowdown in 2020 But Not Recession, Hooper Says
Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Chief Economist, says there will be a slowdown in 2020 but it doesn't have to be a recession. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says there would have been monetary easing in China even without the trade war. Pennsylvania Representative Ryan Costello says voters want Congressmen who keep their independence. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks & Diversified Financials Research and U.S. Large Cap Banks Analyst, says banks are putting the customer at the heart of their IT platforms.
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30 min
September 20, 2018
Surveillance: A Strong Dollar Kills The EM Story, Maher Says
Daragh Maher, HSBC US Head of FX Strategy, says investors always ask if it's time to sell the dollar. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist and Head of Political Analysis, predicts markets will understand that policy rollback in the U.S. is very unlikely. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News Investment Banking Reporter, discusses her recent piece on Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald CEO. And Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, says his approach has always been to average into positions, both long and short.
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32 min
September 19, 2018
Surveillance: Money Will Go Back To EM, Dennis Says
Geoff Dennis, UBS Head of Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy, thinks money will go back to EM once the dollar goes down. Beth Comstock, Former GE Vice-Chair, says that MBA students are not encouraged to be entrepreneurial. Rep. Mike Turner, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district (R), says the president is making headway for Republicans by focusing his message on the economy. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, discusses his interview with Jeff Bezos, Amazon CEO & Founder, which will air tonight on Bloomberg Radio at 5 p.m. and Bloomberg TV at 9 p.m. ET.
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32 min
September 18, 2018
Surveillance: Tariffs Make U.S. Economy Worse Off, Roubini Says
Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & NYU Stern School of Business Professor, argues that a majority of the impact of tariffs on Chinese goods will be paid by U.S. consumers. Stephanie Segal, CSIS Deputy Director & Senior Fellow, asks whether, with dollar strength and increasing financial need, the U.S. is pulling financing away from the rest of the world. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior Currency Analyst, sees sterling as vulnerable until the U.K. government arrives to consensus on a Brexit deal. Kimberley Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court Reporter, says that those arguing a case against Kavanaugh have become more focused on whether a denial can disqualify him from the Supreme Court.
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27 min
September 17, 2018
Surveillance: Banks Are Relatively More Resilient, Mayo Says
Chris Flavelle, Bloomberg News Climate and Adaptation Reporter, reports on the historic rainfall in North Carolina brought on by Hurricane Florence. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Trading Strategy, says dispersion is "the name of the game" in currency performance. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Analyst, thinks banks are less susceptible to cycles than in the past. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, is concerned about 2020 based on fiscal numbers. Michael Phelps, Olympic Gold Medalist & Colgate Global Ambassador, tells Tom and Pimm how they can reduce their water waste.
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32 min
September 14, 2018
Surveillance Special: 10 Years After the Crisis
It is September 15, 2008. Employees are pouring out of Lehman Brothers with boxes. The financial services firm has collapsed. In the 10 years since the largest bankruptcy filing in U.S. history, what have we learned? What has changed and what hasn't? This week, we reflect on the financial crisis with experts from Wall Street, central banks, and academia. This Surveillance Special is a compilation of those interviews. Guests include: Former Bank of England Deputy Governor Paul Tucker, BlackRock's Rupert Harrison, McKinsey Global Institute's Susan Lund, Bloomberg's Yalman Onaran, Grisanti Capital Management's Chris Gristanti, Former ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, Unicredit's Erik Nielsen, University College London's Mariana Mazzucato, Former IMF Chief Economist Kenneth Rogoff, RBS Chairman Howard Davies, Former Lehman CFO Brad Hintz, and BNP Paribas USA CEO Jean-Yves Fillion. 
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56 min
September 14, 2018
Surveillance: Lehman Like a Greek Tragedy, Hintz Says
Brad Hintz, Former Lehman CFO & NYU Professor, says that from the 2008 financial crisis, we've learned that repo is not stable. Yousef Gamal el-Din, Bloomberg TV Daybreak Middle East Anchor, brings us an update from Turkey. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the ECB is not grappling with outrageous inflation. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, says for the most part, the Fed is focused on the U.S. and not EM. And Mark Lehman, JMP Securities President, thinks Apple will continue to garner attention.
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34 min
September 12, 2018
Surveillance: Concerned About U.S. Trade Policy, Dudley Says
We start off on a segment from our TV show with Ken Rogoff, Harvard Professor & Former IMF Chief Economist, and Mariana Mazzucato, University College London Professor & Author of "The Value of Everything." Following, Jim Roemer, Best Weather Inc. President, predicts Hurricane Florence will impact stocks more than commodities. Next, Steve Auth, Federated Investors Equities CIO, says tech companies are the new monopolies. And William Dudley, Former New York Fed Chairman, tells Bloomberg's Michael McKee that he's concerned about the fiscal sustainability of the U.S.
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34 min
September 11, 2018
Surveillance: I Think About The Families On 9/11, Kean Says
William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says firms are substituting capital for labor. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Research Analyst & Managing Director, says electronic companies have high profit margins and they can use these to avoid price increases from tariffs. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management, says the Fed is very transparent in what they are doing. And Thomas Kean, 9/11 Commission Chairman & Former New Jersey Governor, reflects on September 11, 2001
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31 min
September 10, 2018
Surveillance: Fed is Worried About Overheating, O'Sullivan Says
Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, predicts if Democrats take the house at midterms, it will not upset the markets. Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Chief U.S. Economist, recaps Friday's jobs numbers. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, has her eye on market growth in Asia. And Nomi Prins, Author of "Collusion: How Central Bankers Rigged the World", says the dollar tends to be the recipient in the Great Unwind.
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31 min
September 7, 2018
Surveillance: Wage Growth Is Still A Mystery, Krueger Says
Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Head of Interest Strategy, says the potential of job reports to move the markets has decreased dramatically. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor & Former Assistant Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, remembers he told President Obama this wouldn't be the strongest recovery but it could be the longest. James Glassman, JP Morgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, and Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, react to the jobs number in real time. And Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief EM Credit Strategist, says what initially drew foreign investors to EM is the scope in which central banks could ease rates.
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36 min
September 6, 2018
Surveillance: Hill Hearings Eclipsed by Op-Ed, Cirilli Reports
Lisa Abramowicz fills in for Tom Keene today. We speak with Tim Ash, Bluebay Asset Management Senior EM Sovereign Strategist, who says EM is a big part of the global economy and it cannot be ignored. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, says we are catching up on regulations for the Internet. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington Correspondent, provides an update on the White House's search for the anonymous NYT Op-Ed writer. We also feature a segment from our TV show with Anchor Scarlet Fu and Bloomberg Tech Reporter Sarah Frier. And Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Management Managing Director & Co-Founder, provides details on Google's absence at the Hill Hearings yesterday.
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29 min
September 5, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Is In Round 1 Of Trade Wars, Gallo Says
Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies & Partner, says the Turkish lira has been hurt by outflows from investors. John Taft, Baird Vice Chairman, analyzes risks in the shadow banking system. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, suspects Jack Dorsey and Sheryl Sandberg will be more contrite than previous representatives from their companies. And Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, reviews U.S. eco data with Tom and Jon.
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29 min
September 4, 2018
Surveillance: The Long Party is Over, Kotok Says
Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, thinks volatility in EM currencies is mostly due to domestic policy mistakes. Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Co-Founder & COO, says emerging markets are sensitive to the deceleration of global industrial growth. George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Research, talks dollar strength. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court Reporter, does not expect any surprises from the U.S. Supreme Court confirmation hearings of Brett Kavanaugh. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors CIO & Co-Founder, says hateful belligerency accomplishes nothing in politics.                   
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29 min
August 31, 2018
Surveillance: EU Auto Tariffs Offer Not Good Enough, Trump Says
Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Applied Economics, says Argentina has been "a complete disaster" since President Macri called the IMF. President Trump says EU offer for no auto tariffs is "not good enough", in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg's Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, says her show on Sunday will largely be focused on the services for Sen. McCain in Washington. And Julian Kheel, ThePointsGuy Senior Analyst, provides a much needed update on Labor Day travel in the U.S.
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34 min
August 30, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Consumer Is In Very Good Shape, Gayeski Says
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, thinks Stanley Fischer will be hard to replace but Richard Clarida is a great pick for Fed Vice Chair. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Partner & Portfolio Manager, says the U.S. consumer is in very good shape right now. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor & Publisher, says he'd rather own wheat than any other soft commodity. And Miriam Sapiro, Sard Verbinnen's SVC Public Affairs Managing Director & Vice Chairman, says trade negotiations require a holistic approach from several government agencies.
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35 min
August 30, 2018
Surveillance: Stocks Are A Little Overdone, Mann Says
Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says stocks are a little overdone. Stan Collender, Georgetown University Adjunct Professor of Public Policy & The Budget Guy Blog Founder, thinks a government shutdown in October is 60% likely. Andy Hunt, Wells Fargo AM Co-Head of Global Fixed Income & Head of LDI and Global Credit, shares his thoughts on the fixed income space. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, says any day that we don't have a trade war is a good day for the economy.
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35 min
August 28, 2018
Tariffs Creating 'Fortress America', Lovely Says
Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says the new U.S.-Mexico trade agreement is a re-branding of NAFTA. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says the current administration is creating 'Fortress America' with tariffs. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, says underlying business conditions have been more than acceptable. And Greg Giroux, Bloomberg Government Elections Reporter, previews the midterm election primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Oklahoma today.
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27 min
August 27, 2018
Surveillance: McCain Was A Life-Long Learner, Stavridis Says
Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, says Senator John McCain was an intuitive, life-long learner. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the S&P 500 is carrying less volatile asset classes thanks to tech companies. Fred Lane, Lane Generational of Raymond James Managing Partner, says there is an increasingly good return on investment in college education. Erin Browne, UBS Managing Director & Head of Asset Allocation, says we are back to a negative bond-stock correlation. Grant Woods, McCain's Former Chief of Staff, says the Senator stood for basic human rights.
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44 min
August 24, 2018
Surveillance Special: Fed Speak in Jackson Hole
We bring you a Bloomberg Surveillance Special from the Grand Tetons in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent, interviews three Fed Presidents at the annual Economic Symposium. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says the Fed is very close to neutral rates. On the contrary, Loretta Mester, Cleveland Fed President, says gradual interest-rate increases should continue. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, agrees with Mester, he encourages the Fed 'to keep moving.' And we include final perspective from Frederic Mishkin, a former member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
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46 min
August 23, 2018
Surveillance: Fed's George Favors Two More Rate Hikes in 2018
Michael McKee and Kathleen Hays, Bloomberg News Correspondents, are in Jackson Hole for the 2018 Economic Symposium. Hays speaks with Kansas City Fed President Esther George and McKee previews his upcoming interviews. Amo Mbatha, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses South Africa's reaction to President Trump's tweet. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the modern economy tends to downgrade the importance of land in income distribution. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, thinks gold never responds well in environments of rising rates and a strong dollar. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data and Polling Company, and Richard Turnill, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, discuss U.S.-Russia relations.
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27 min
August 23, 2018
Surveillance: Earnings Move Stocks, Not Washington, Doll Says
Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington Correspondent, and Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of the United States, join us to recap headlines from Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen's cases. Robert Ray, Former Whitewater Independent Counsel known for his work on the Monica Lewinsky Case, offers perspective on the path forward for Mr. Manafort and Mr. Cohen. Robert Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Portfolio Manager, has his eye on earnings. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says U.S. housing numbers have been a disappointment. And David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, says we're not yet seeing Washington noise in the stock market.
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41 min
August 21, 2018
Surveillance: Powell Is A Consensus Builder, Ryding Says
John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, says Jerome Powell is a consensus builder. John Coffee Jr., Columbia Law School Adolf A. Berle Professor of Law & Director of the Center on Corporate Governance, says a tweet cannot explain the complexities of Tesla's decisions. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor & Peter G. Peterson Chair, discusses the latest issue. And Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Robert Bosch Senior Fellow, says it would be disastrous if Turkey left NATO, however, she hasn't seen any indication that they'll do so.
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37 min
August 20, 2018
Surveillance: Dollar Is Overvalued About 10%, Vamvakidis Says
Thanos Vamvakidis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Head of G10 FX Strategy, thinks the dollar is overvalued by about 10%. Tim Quinlan, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, says conversations at Jackson Hole may be more about the balance sheet than the Fed funds rate. Ken Simonson, NABE Survey Analyst & Associated General Contractors Chief Economist, reviews the NABE survey and notes that 91% of the respondents said tariffs are harmful to the economy. And Meenal Patel, JPMorgan Private Bank EMEA Head of FX, Commodities, and Rates, foresees a continuation of global growth.
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24 min
August 17, 2018
Still Vigor in the Global Economy, Crescenzi Says
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist, says the U.S. economy is late cycle. Romaine Bostick, Bloomberg News Editor, discusses scaling back the frequency of quarterly reporting per President Trump's tweet. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Global Economist, thinks Turkey's crisis is more idiosyncratic than systemic. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, says earnings are coming in stronger than he expected. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group Chief Research Officer, says JC Penney's search for a CEO is essential to the company's future.
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32 min
August 16, 2018
The U.S. Is Immune To EM To A Point, Konstam Says
Dominic Konstam, DB Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Research, says the U.S. is immune to emerging markets to a point. Greg Parsons, Semper Capital Chief Executive Officer, says Special Counsel Robert Mueller is focused on getting to the truth. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments Director of Global Macro, says we're approaching late cycle but we're not there. And Elsa Lignos, RBC Capital Markets Global Head of FX Strategy, says Euro-Sterling looks fairly interesting. ------
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29 min
August 15, 2018
Erdogan Responds to Pressure, Cook Says
James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, expects positive PMI surprises from the Eurozone. Steven Cook, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says compared to previous administrations, the current White House has changed the tone towards Turkey. And Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Macy's investors may be realizing that they got a bit ahead of themselves.
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32 min
August 14, 2018
Currency Crisis In Turkey Isn't Over, Rupkey Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, says the currency crisis in Turkey is not over. Gordon Johnson, Vertical Group Analyst, is concerned about Tesla's balance sheet. Sharmila Whelan, Asianomics Group Deputy Chief Economist, says the China-Japan relationship is changing at the margin. And Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Research Analyst, says Home Depot has done a very good job online.  
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28 min
August 13, 2018
Erdogan Wants His Power Entrenched, Rahman Says
Mij Rahman, Eurasia Group Europe Practice Head, says he expects Turkey's central bank to hike. Georgette Boele, ABN Amro Bank Currency and Commodity Strategist, provides an EM currency update. Stephen Gandel, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, is unsure about whether or not the SEC will prosecute Elon Musk. And Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, reminds us of the legacy of Nikola Tesla.
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28 min
August 10, 2018
All FX Forecasts Are Out The Window, Kalen Says
Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Head of Currency, lays out different options Turkey has to save the lira. Teresa Goody, Former SEC Attorney and The Goody Group Founder & CEO, suggests Elon Musk goes forward with transparency. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Managing Director & Chief Economist, says Turkey's new Finance Minister is a key candidate for change. Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Emerging Markets Strategy Director, says that on a day like this, all forecasts are out the window. And Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Global Strategist, notes this is a biggest single day move in a single currency since 2008.
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34 min
August 9, 2018
Risk Is Localized To Turkey, Jalinoos Says
Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Strategy, says at the moment, risk is localized to Turkey. Tuna Amobi, CFRA Media and Entertainment Analyst, sees some hesitation in M&A due to regulatory uncertainties. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder & Chairman, says Americans are vastly overestimating China's capability. And Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Head of Macro Strategy, says the U.S. economy is running above potential.
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32 min
August 8, 2018
Trade Is Now War, Kotok Says
David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors CIO & Co-Founder, says trade is now war, not even threatened rhetoric. Pablo Goldberg, BlackRock Head of Emerging Markets Debt, says Turkey has a problem with corporate debt, not with sovereign debt. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Chief Economist & Founder, says global economic growth has pivoted towards Asia. Jeanna Smialek, Bloomberg News Economy Reporter, discusses diversity and representation, or lack thereof, among economists. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, joins to preview his interview with Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg.
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38 min
August 7, 2018
We Have Seen a Doom Loop in EM, Santos Says
Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says dynamics in Turkey are unlike other emerging markets. Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says the Fed is exporting tightening to the rest of the world. Tom Singlehurst, Citi Media Analyst, foresees more vertical integration in the music business. And Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, questions what Zillow insiders did and did not know as they sold a few weeks back.
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34 min
August 6, 2018
The Market is Forward-Looking, Miletti Says
Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of U.K. Investment Office, thinks external pressure will be an opportunity for reform in China. Daniel Tannebaum, PWC Principal and Global Sanctions Leader, says from an enforcement standpoint, Iran sanctions remain unclear. Ann Miletti, Wells Fargo Asset Management Lead Portfolio Manager, thinks market strength will continue but not without volatility. Kenneth Shea, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Food & Beverage Analyst, and Jordyn Holman, Bloomberg News Managing Diversity Reporter, join us to break down what PepsiCo's CEO change may mean for the company.
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34 min
August 3, 2018
Our Potential to Grow is Strong, Kudlow Says
James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says today's jobs numbers are a reminder of how much hidden unemployment there was during the recession. Mike Darda, MKM Holdings Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says U.S. payrolls are in line with expectations. Larry Kudlow, U.S. National Economic Council Director, says it looks to him like China is declining in growth. Margaret Brennan, CBS "Face the Nation" Host, discusses Thursday's White House briefing on interference in the U.S. political system. And Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, responds to BOE Governor Mark Carney.
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35 min
August 2, 2018
BOE's Decision Is Hard To Justify, Posen says
Nejra Cehic, Bloomberg TV Anchor, breaks the BOE's decision to raise interest rates to 0.75 percent. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, finds the BOE's decision hard to justify. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, argues that what matters the most in the U.S. and the U.K. is underemployment, not unemployment. Brian Johnson, Barclays Capital Senior Autos Analyst, sees some light at the end of the tunnel in NAFTA negotiations. And Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, explains the connection between Google and Apple
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34 min
August 1, 2018
Elon Musk ≠ Warren Buffett, Kass Says
Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Chief Economist,thinks we are arriving at the tightest part of the labor cycle. Emma O'Brien, Bloomberg's Asia Newsdesk Editor, joins us on TV to talk Tesla. Jean-Sebastian Jacques, Rio Tinto CEO, says they're focused on high quality growth. Andrea Orcel, UBS Investment Bank President, tells Francine what global risks he has his eye on. And Douglas Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, offers his opinion on Elon Musk.
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37 min
August 1, 2018
Central Banks Must Communicate, Schoenholtz Says
Diana Amoa, JP Morgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, notes Japan is nowhere near their inflation target. Kim Schoenholtz, NYU Economics Professor, says that by being transparent, central banks condition us to anticipate their behavior. Will Power, Baird Senior Research Analyst, says that Apple is heading in the right direction to fulfill its target. And Paul Donovan, UBS Wealth Management Global Chief Economist, takes a close look at eco data from Japan.
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31 min
July 30, 2018
Populists Manipulate Fear, Vinjamuri Says
Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Managing Director of Global Research, shares his definition of full employment. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and the Americas Programme, has her eye on the U.S. midterm elections. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, thinks we're overly focused on the shape of the yield curve. Stephanie Flanders, Bloomberg News Senior Executive Editor for Economics, joins to discuss her recent interview with the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney.
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32 min
July 27, 2018
Tesla Is Not Executing Well, Eisman Says
Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of North American Research, says a media platform that has less than a billion users struggles to be relevant for advertisers. Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, explains all the negative signals he sees from Tesla. Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, says economists think demographics, such as a low birth rate, will keep economic growth down. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, is skeptical of the naysayers on how well the economy is going to do.
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28 min
July 26, 2018
Instagram is Facebook's Bellwether, Lehmann Says
Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says the U.S. is voluntarily choosing to abdicate from its hegemonic role. Mark Lehmann, JMP Securities President, expects Facebook's expenses to bloat for some time. James Bevan, CCLA Investment Management CIO, is enthusiastic for U.S. equities but not for European equities. And Win Thin, Brown Brothers Harriman Head of EM Currency, believes China will push through the trade war without facing a financial crisis.
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25 min
July 25, 2018
Global Trade Is A Growth Engine, Roach Says
Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says global trade has been an engine for growth for developing and developed countries alike. Steven Arons, Bloomberg News German Banks Reporter, thinks that Deutsche Bank has a chance of getting out of their vicious cycle. Eileen Burbidge, Passion Capital Partner, talks space exploration in the age of SpaceX. John Normand, JPMorgan Head of Cross-Asset Fundamental Strategy, says Asian currencies are clearly in the line of fire from the Trump administration. Komal Sri-Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies President, joins us to provide his macro outlook.
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31 min
July 24, 2018
It's Time to Raise Cash Levels, Joseph Cohen Says
Today we feature Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist. She joins the usual suspects and Bloomberg Intelligence's Paul Sweeney to talk tech regulation and what's trending at hedge funds. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, lays out which EM currencies are most vulnerable to oil prices. And Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, thinks in general, the idea that the U.S. has the upper hand in trade talks is mistaken.
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31 min
July 23, 2018
Amazon is a Great Competitor, Langone Says
John Silvia, Wells Fargo Securities Chief Economist, forecasts a .2-.3% change in potential GDP. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg Reporter in Tehran, provides an update on U.S.-Iran relations during Bloomberg Surveillance on Bloomberg TV. Tom Michaud, KBW Inc. CEO, thinks bank mergers are a slower and more deliberate process than before the economic crisis. And Ken Langone, Author "I Love Capitalism" & Home Depot Co-Founder, offers his take on Jeff Bezos and Amazon.
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31 min
July 20, 2018
Fed Has Been A Political Piñata, Swonk Says
Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short Term Portfolio Manager, breaks down nominal and real interest rates. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist,reviews the history of the Fed's independence. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, worries that President Trump is becoming 'Nixonian.' Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, and Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent, hop on the show to discuss the potential of a currency war. Vincent Cignarella, Bloomberg Americas Global Macro Squawk, and Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, offer their expertise on market and political news of the week.
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37 min
July 19, 2018
Disney Had the Upper Hand All Along, Hartman Says
Joseph Quinlan, Head of Market Strategy for U.S. Trust, argues consumers are driving the Chinese economy. Justina Lee, Bloomberg News China Markets Reporter, observes the PBOC may be moving towards an easing bias. Kirk Hartman, Wells Fargo AM Global CIO, thinks Disney had the upper hand in bids to buy 21st Century Fox all along. And further, Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner, notes we still don't know if Disney is going to increase their bid for 21st Century Fox or not.
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31 min
July 18, 2018
Inflation Expectations Are Too Low, Kroszner says
Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest Rates Strategy, says that the Fed is entering a "neutral zone." Rep. Tom Reed (R-NY), House Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee member, thinks the long-term economic growth trajectory will not be impacted by the short-term anxiety from the trade war. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor & Former Fed Governor, says we ought to be open to the possibility that the yield curve flattening does not mean recession. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist, predicts Republicans will pick up some seats in the Senate and lose a few in the House in the midterm elections.
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29 min
July 17, 2018
Time for Kelly to Wrap It Up, Adm. Stavridis Says
Admiral Stavridis, The Fletcher School at Tufts University Dean, says President Trump threw U.S. intelligence under the bus in Helsinki. Ian Whittaker, Liberum Media Analyst, notes that Netflix's disappointing results only represent one quarter. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, says despite escalating tariff threats, EM funds with exposure to China are doing just fine. Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, provides an update on Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation.
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26 min
July 17, 2018
What Russia Does is Bluff, Says Friedman
Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chairman, sees the Helsinki Summit as an opportunity for President Trump to take "a leadership role" in global issues. Charly Salonius-Pasternak, Senior Research Fellow of the Global Security Research Program at the Finnish Institute for International Affairs, highlights that U.S. global military and trade power is dependent on its alliance networks. George Friedman, GeoPolitical Futures Chairman, says that a great deal of what Russia does is a "bluff." Chris Granville, TS Lombard Managing Director of EMEA & Global Political Research, talks about the importance of smaller countries such as Finland in Brexit negotiations with the European Union.
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32 min
July 13, 2018
Special: President Trump in Europe
Anthony Gardner, Former U.S. Ambassador to the EU, says it is unprecedented that a U.S. president interferes in U.K. Politics. Alex Wayne, Bloomberg News White House Editor, talks about how President Trump's relationship with the media has changed over the past year. Peter Westmacott, Former U.K. Ambassador to the U.S., says that the Trump-May meeting shows President Trump's preference for bilateral agreements instead of multilateral organizations. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief White House Correspondent, discusses how the relationship between the U.S. and U.K. has evolved in the Trump era.
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27 min
July 12, 2018
China Will Eventually Give In, Levy Says
Tina Fordham, Citi Chief Global Political Analyst, says President Trump wants to change the international order. Mickey Levy, Berenberg Chief Economist U.S. & Asia, observes that countries are dependent on each other for trade and that they will ultimately be willing to negotiate. Jacob Parakilas, Chatham House U.S. & the Americas Programme Deputy Head, discusses NATO. Victoria Hewson, Institute of Economic Affairs Senior Counsel, talks about Britain's negotiating position with the EU. 
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24 min
July 11, 2018
EU Leaders Used to Fire & Fury, Niblett Says
Steve Wieting, Citigroup Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, observes how trade tariffs will impact equity markets. Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, says he will have his eyes on President Trump's breakfast with NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg. Brian Wieser, Pivotal Research Group Senior Analyst, discusses the role that advertising plays at various companies. Kate Warne, Edward Jones Investment Strategist, says businesses are growing by taking advantage of trending cloud computing.
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28 min
July 10, 2018
Brett Kavanaugh Is A Great Man, Starr Says
Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs Professor & Special Advisor to the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, says that Brexiteers sold a utopian view and now they cannot deliver. Ken Starr, Former Special Counsel, shares his views on new SCOTUS Justice Brett Kavanaugh. Daniel Kawczynski, Conservative Member of U.K. Parliament for Shrewsbury and Atcham, says that no country has ever successfully negotiated pulling out of the EU. Charles Kupchan, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, argues that Putin wants a weaker West.
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37 min
July 9, 2018
Trade Talks Should Be Ongoing, Zentner Says
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says she can't remember a time when politics mattered so much for the global economy. Brian Klaas, LSE Professor & Author "The Despot's Apprentice," discusses whether or not President Trump will make serious concessions with Russian President Putin this week. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-In-Chief Emeritus, says to think of Amazon as a value stock. Greg Stohr, Supreme Court Reporter, looks ahead to President Trump's SCOTUS Justice pick (planned for 9 p.m. ET).
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33 min
July 9, 2018
Conservative Court Would Strike Down Progressive Legislation
Noah Feldman, Harvard Law professor and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, on Justice Kennedy's legacy and what to expect from a newly shaped Supreme Court. Clay Lowery, Managing Director at Rock Creek Global Advisors and former Assistant Secretary for International Affairs at the US Treasury Department, on how businesses are reacting to trade war threats.Felix Gillette, writer for Bloomberg Businessweek, on Nintendo's quest to stay alive. Michael Rea, pharmacist, founder and CEO of Rx Savings Solutions, on how drug pricing and the pharmacy landscape will be impacted by Amazon buying PillPack.
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30 min
July 6, 2018
Labor Market Is Strong, Kevin Hassett Says
Conrad DeQuadros, RDQ Economics Senior Economist & Founding Partner, has his eye on supply chains amid heightened trade tensions. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor of Economics, says the state of the labor market is far from perfect. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor and Former U.S. Department of Labor Chief Economist, says workers are finding "side hustles" in order to sustain themselves. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chair, says the labor market is strong.
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38 min
July 5, 2018
Putin to Come Prepared, Will Trump?, Kaplan Asks
Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why his forward looking concerns are plentiful. Robert D. Kaplan, Eurasia Group Senior Advisor and Center for a New American Security Fellow, observes that world leaders do not know how to analyze and predict President Trump ahead of his visit to Europe next week. Benn Steil, CFR Senior Fellow and Director of International Economics, says Russia is ratcheting up its actions on NATO's borders. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, discusses how the U.S. could de-escalate and avoid a major trade war.
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35 min
July 3, 2018
Surveillance Special: Behind the American Revolution
In celebration of July 4th, Tom Keene and Pimm Fox speak to historians and authors Russell Shorto and Gordon Wood on Shorto's newest book, "Revolution Song: A Story of American Freedom."
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19 min
July 2, 2018
FTA First Decision for Obrador, says Petersen
Seth Masters, Former CIO of Bernstein, talks trade frictions between the U.S. and China. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Market Analyst, observes that oil demand growth will start to slow down next year. Carlos Petersen, Eurasia Group Latin America Analyst, examines top priorities of Mexico's new leader Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. Tasha Keeney, ARK Analyst, talks Tesla and their overlooked strategy to become an auto industry leader.
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28 min
June 29, 2018
WTO Withdrawal Story is Worrying, Buiter Says
Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, argues that Europe should take steps to respond to the trade provocations from the U.S. Tom Petrie, Petrie Partners Chairman, says the use of new technologies in the oil industry are a response to global demand growth. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, discusses President Trump's race to pick a Supreme Court justice. Julian Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, notes that as long as earnings go up, the market will go up.
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30 min
June 28, 2018
There will be a new conservatism, Lenkner says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she expects quite strong earnings across a huge variety of sectors in the second quarter. David Woo, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Rates, says he's bullish about the U.S. economy. Travis Lenkner, Keller Lenkner Managing Partner, says Gorsuch and Kavanaugh are similar candidates for the Supreme Court seat. Dr. Christopher Smart, Barings Head of Global Macro and Geopolitical Research, discusses the strained relationship between the U.S. and Russia.
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35 min
June 27, 2018
China is Broadening Out, Roach Says
Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg News EMEA Finance & Investing Managing Editor, says margins will remain very thin in Europe for the foreseeable future. Stephen Roach, Yale University Senior Lecturer, says the Trump administration is looking for President Xi to capitulate on his core strategy of innovation, industrial policy, and pan regional leadership. Noah Feldman, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, and Greg Stohr, Bloomberg Supreme Court Reporter, join to update us on yesterday's Supreme Court decisions.
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32 min
June 26, 2018
U.S. Facing Diplomacy Problem, Shiller Says
Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, says the economy is strong and they're advising their clients to maintain their allocations. Robert Shiller, Yale Sterling Professor of Economics and Nobel Laureate, observes that the U.S. has a big international diplomacy problem. David Goldman, Macrostrategy President, proposes the U.S. should organize a systematic brain drain by bringing the best tech professionals from China to the U.S. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, thinks the dollar is very strong.
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28 min
June 25, 2018
Dollar is Fundamentally Overvalued, Dennis Says
Enda Curran, Bloomberg News Chief Asia Correspondent, says the U.S. is going to step up its scrutiny of Chinese investment in the U.S. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Executive Vice President & Market Strategist, predicts that the global economy will grow about $95 trillion this year. Geoff Dennis, UBS Head of Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy, says that dollar euro is the best indicator of dollar strength in emerging markets. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Vice Chairman, thinks that President Trump and Xi have a very good working relationship. Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Industrials Analyst, joins to recap headlines that General Electric is selling its distributed power unit to Advent.
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29 min
June 22, 2018
100M Oil Barrels Needed a Day, Paul Sankey Says
Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says uncertainty about the tariff war is proving to be painful. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Head of Investment and Portfolio Strategies, advises her clients to have the maximum level of diversification in equity markets. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Oil Analyst and Managing Director, observes the global economy is stronger than people appreciate. And Brad DeLong, UC Berkeley Professor of Economics, says the 21st century won't be an American century if President Trump's trade and immigration policies continue.                        
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32 min
June 21, 2018
U.S. Is An Importer, Not Exporter, Sec. Ross Says
Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says there are no data which support a BOE rate hike. Wilbur Ross, U.S. Secretary of Commerce, thinks finding workers is the biggest problem for American industry. Daniel Yergin, IHS Markit Vice Chairman, says labor in many markets is very tight. And Susan Lund, McKinsey Global Institute Director of Research, observes corporate debt has tripled in size since the financial crisis.
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40 min
June 21, 2018
Xi is a Highly Nationalistic Leader, Economy Says
Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says a trade war could lead to a stronger dollar. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Senior Fellow & Author of "The Third Revolution", says tariffs are good for shock value but past that, they don't do much. And Bloomberg's Senior Executive Editor for Economics Stephanie Flanders hosts a panel of central bankers in Sintra, Portugal. We hear from ECB President Mario Draghi and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
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33 min
June 19, 2018
U.S. is Now Openly Protectionist, Alden Says
Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank Chief International Economist, asks what the Chinese retaliation may look like against U.S. tariffs. Vince Reinhart, Standish Chief Economist and Investment Strategist, thinks the Fed may have a problem knowing when to stop hiking rates. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Bernard L. Schwartz Senior Fellow, says the U.S. is on the verge of a trade war with all of its trading partners. And Suzanne Tager, Bain & Company's Retail and Consumer Products Practices Senior Director, says retail stores are not dead but their role has changed.
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31 min
June 18, 2018
Immigration is the American Dream, Gutierrez Says
Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow & Syracuse University Professor, says the Chinese economy has opened up quite dramatically. Doug Peebles, AB CIO of Fixed Income, says investment grade average credit quality has never been as low as it is right now. Carlos Gutierrez, Former U.S. Commerce Secretary, thinks the current immigration policy is not good for the U.S. And Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of North American Research, updates us on media mergers.
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31 min
June 15, 2018
Tariffs Only Address a Short Term Goal, Rose Says
William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says the U.S. is going to be the engine of growth for the global economy. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, ponders if U.S. trade policy is going to mimic the Iran or the Korea model. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, says the curve is still the single best indicator for a recession. And Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner, says historically, Comcast is not comfortable with large amounts of debt.
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26 min
June 14, 2018
Big Media Deals on the Horizon, Rubenstein Says
Robert Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Securities Global Strategist, says the current U.S. administration has done a lot to stimulate the economy. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior Currency Analyst, thinks many central bankers are assuming that wage inflation will rise.Richard Greenfield, BTIG Media and Technology Analyst, says changes in consumer behavior are spurring rapid consolidation in media. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, predicts we'll see more media transactions of size getting done quickly.
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33 min
June 13, 2018
To Upscale in Media, You Have to Acquire, Whittaker Says
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, advises to be careful about the noise around headline CPI. Ian Whittaker, Liberum Head of European Media Research, analyzes the AT&T-Time Warner deal approval. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says we could be talking about an inverted yield curve by the end of the year. Eli Lake, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks Kim Jong Un is a monster. 
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28 min
June 12, 2018
N. Korea Has Potential, OECD Sec.-General Says
Daniel Ten Kate, Bloomberg News Asia Government Managing Editor, and Lisa Collins, Center For Strategic & International Studies Korea Chair, discuss the historic summit between the U.S. and North Korea.Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Trading Strategy, says political risk in the U.S. is still muted compared to risk in other countries. Kathy Moon, The Brookings Institution Center for East Asia Policy Studies Senior Fellow, thinks members of Congress will want more clarification about what President Trump and North Korea's Kim discussed. Jose Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary-General, says North Korea has the potential to compliment South Korea and the whole world's economy.
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28 min
June 11, 2018
N.K. Will Want Security Assurances, Hormats Says
Toluse Olorunnipa, Bloomberg Washington Correspondent, updates us on the Trump-Kim Summit in Singapore. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, says the consumer is really strong right now. Charles Armstrong, Columbia University Korea Foundation Professor, says North Koreans are tough negotiators.Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says the ECB rate decisions are a bigger question mark than the Fed's. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice Chairman, says North Korea doesn't occupy a great part of the market's attention. 
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40 min
June 8, 2018
Our Sentiment is Still Good on EM, Santos Says
Andrew Barden,Bloomberg's European Government Reporter, joins us from the G-7 in Quebec to preview the geopolitical tension ahead. Gabriela Santos, JPM Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says EM as a whole is a more resilient picture than the recent headlines. Steven Major, HSBC Managing Director & Global Head of Fixed Income Research, imagines two more rate hikes will be enough for the Fed. Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, thinks the G-7 should focus in on a narrow G-3. And a special segment with Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, on the Stanley Cup.
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28 min
June 7, 2018
EMs Have Different Growth Issues, Bailin Says
David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Global Head of Investments, says Brazil is early in its economic recovery. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, thinks currencies are doing what they're supposed to do as shock absorbers. Steve Keen, Kingston University Professor, says the vibrant stage of American capitalism was the forties to the sixties.Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, says the complexion of the market seems to be changing.
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34 min
June 6, 2018
U.S. Middle Class' Income is Frozen, Aulette Says
Tobias Levkovich, Citi Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says investors don't have great conviction in their positions in Europe. John Taft, Baird Vice Chairman, compares how business is done in New York versus how it's done in the Heartland. Shannon O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow of Latin American Studies, says Brazil has been looking elsewhere for growth since the U.S. is closing off. Ken Auletta, "Frenemies" Author, reminisces about his time on Bobby Kennedy's presidential campaign. 
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42 min
June 6, 2018
We are Pro-Global Trade, NASDAQ CEO Shares
John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist, says views on trade have regressed to the 17th century. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court Reporter, joins to discuss SCOTUS rulings. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner & Analyst, says Apple makes their money on selling hardware, not on data. Adena Friedman, NASDAQ CEO, thinks European investors are being sanguine in light of heightened trade tensions. 
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30 min
June 4, 2018
A Story of Fading Tax Stimulus with Zentner
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, expects growth to continue...with some caveats.Federico Santi, Eurasia Group Analyst, suspects things will get worse in Italy before they get better.Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the current U.S. administration's trade policy is not capitalist, Republican, or pro-growth. Robert D. Kaplan, Author of "The Return of Marco Polo's World" & Center for a New American Security Senior Fellow, says a trade war is merely an aspect of a world at amoral geopolitical competition.
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34 min
June 1, 2018
Dysfunctions in Labor Markets with Jason Furman
Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says we're not yet at full employment. Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow & Author of "Failure To Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind In The Global Economy," defines a trade war as tit for tat tariff retaliation outside the rules of the trading system. Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg's EMEA Finance & Investing ME, updates us on political events in Italy. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, defends his strategy that was widely criticized earlier this week. Alan Krueger, Princeton Professor & Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman under President Obama, recaps his routine when he previewed jobs numbers for the White House. Jason Furman, Harvard Professor & Former White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the biggest constraint on U.S. wage growth is its lack of productivity growth.
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38 min
May 31, 2018
Euro Isn't a Well-Designed System, Zingales Says
Luigi Zingales, Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, thinks people underestimate how devastated Italy is by its economic situation.Donald Straszheim, Evercore ISI Head of China Research, thinks China sees Washington as unreliable and untrustworthy.Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says small cap stocks have outperformed tremendously.Catherine Mann, Citi Research Global Chief Economist, advises we can't be protectionist on the side of trade and welcome international capital flows. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Analyst, jumps on the phone to review the latest Deutsche Bank news.
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38 min
May 30, 2018
Italy is Falling Behind, Kapoor Says
Paul Donovan, UBS Chief Economist, says by and large, Europe has emerged from the recession but there are persisting problems. Sony Kapoor, Re-Define Managing Director, says far too many Euro-related policies are driven by Germany's economic weight. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Managing Director & Chief Economist, says the Fed does not want to be in the headlines for rising inequality in the U.S. Michael Feroli, JP Morgan Securities Chief U.S. Economist, is unsure of where we are in the business cycle but think it's safe to say we're not early in it.
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34 min
May 29, 2018
Euro Weakness vs. Dollar Strength with Rosenberg
Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says his EM view has changed quite a bit in the past few months.Stefan Selig, BridgePark Advisors Managing Partner & Former Under-Secretary of Commerce for International Trade, says it makes no sense to think of our trade deficit as a scorecard. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, says there's certainly a risk that the dollar continues to rise.Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, is concerned about the accumulation of debt in the U.S. economy.
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36 min
May 29, 2018
I'm Worried About GDP Growth, Fed's Kaplan Says
Christian Schulz, Citi Economics Team Director, says there's plenty of reasons to believe Spanish has become a semi-core Eurozone country. Thomas Byrne, Korean Society President & Columbia University SIPA Professor, says North Korea is a black box but thinks their economy is in trouble. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, and Michael McKee, Bloomberg's International Economic & Policy Correspondent, review the U.S. economy. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, says there is no unified message on trade from the Republican or Democratic parties.
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39 min
May 24, 2018
Both Sides Benefit from Trade, Jessop Says
Richard Bravo, Bloomberg News EU Government Editor, and Julian Jessop, Institute of Economic Affairs Chief Economist, talk Europe's confusion over the U.S. administration's mercurial trade policy. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Banks Analyst, wraps the Deutsche Bank Shareholder Meeting earlier today.Geoff Dennis, UBS Investment Bank Head of Global Emerging Markets, says the dollar will go back down eventually and that will change sentiment for EM. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Senior Retail Analyst & Managing Director, suggests Target should increase their food offerings to stay afloat. Craig Gordon, Bloomberg News Washington Bureau Chief, jumps on the phone to talk the breaking headlines: President Trump has cancelled his summit with North Korea's Kim
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33 min
May 23, 2018
We're Halfway Through this Cycle, Gimbel Predicts
Hans Redeker, Global Head of FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley, gives us an overview of dollar strength and the slump in Turkish lira. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Policy Research Managing Director, says the new Dodd-Frank legislation is a modest, narrowly-tailored bill. Don Gimbel, Geneva Advisors Portfolio Manager, predicts there's a couple of years left in this economic cycle. Nabila Ahmed, Bloomberg News Deals Reporter, says Comcast is one of the most indebted American companies. 
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25 min
May 22, 2018
Interest Rates Are Going to Normalize, Blain Says
Bill Blain, Mint Partners Fixed Income Strategist & Head of Capital Markets, says he's positive about the U.S.-China trade riffs in the long-term. Tim Armstrong, Oath Inc. CEO, says consumers are flocking to quality content right now. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, offers Facebook some advice: be more transparent. Poonam Goyal, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, reviews Marvin Ellison's run as CEO at J.C. Penney per the announcement he's headed to Lowe's.
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37 min
May 21, 2018
Populism is Resentment of Elites, Schneider Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, thinks President Trump's mercantilist approach to trade is off. Bill Schneider, George Mason University Professor & Political Analyst, says the flavor of populism is resentment of elites. Patricia Laya, Venezuela Bureau Chief, says many of the voting centers in Venezuela were empty yesterday. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, joins us to talk the new $78,000 price tag on Tesla's Model 3.
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32 min
May 19, 2018
Trade is About Win-Win, Sachs Says
Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, & Enda Curran, Bloomberg's Chief Asia Economics Correspondent, discuss the impact of President Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Vice President of New York & Head of Currency, says a trade war is not easy to win and it is not desirable. Francine Lacqua, Bloomberg Surveillance TV Anchor & Editor at Large, joins us from Rome to report on the general elections this coming Sunday. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor & Nobel Laureate, says the new tariffs are one of the most reckless policies that one can imagine.
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30 min
May 19, 2018
Less Volatility Ahead, Moore Says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she wants companies to make growth generative investments, not just investments to appease outsiders. Hans Humes, GreyLock Capital Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, says Venezuela is a kleptocracy at this point. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Publisher, discusses his cryptocurrency bet in his retirement account. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Co-Founder, says an Apple-Tesla combo makes sense but it's a fairy tale that is never going to happen.
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36 min
May 18, 2018
Italy Election was Unexpected, Eichengreen Says
Barry Eichengreen, Author & University of California Berkeley Professor, provides his definition of populism: anti-elite, anti-authoritarian, and anti-other. Coronado, President & Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says core goods prices really aren't showing the strength that they've been wanting to see. Mark McCormick, TD Bank Head: FX Strategy North America, says this is a tricky time for emerging markets. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Senior Research & Staples Analyst, notes geography matters for the food industry.
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32 min
May 17, 2018
Surveillance: Oil Will Be Even Higher in 2 Years, Grisanti Says
Julian Lee, Bloomberg Oil Strategist, and Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, join us to discuss oil touching $80/barrel for the first time since 2014. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says the latest trade spat within the White House administration is emblematic of the deeper fissures in Washington. Federico Santi, Eurasia Group Associate, says the new Italian government is likely to set up a challenge for the European Union. Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Latin America Economic Research, says the IMF cannot solve underlying debt problems in EM countries.
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28 min
May 16, 2018
Models Don't Work in Crisis, says Spence.
Michael Spence, Nobel Laureate & NYU Professor of Economics & Business, says models don't work in crisis, but experience does. David Riley, Bluebay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the resurgence in the U.S. dollar is the pain trade for markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior FX Strategist, thinks the consensus short dollar position for 2018 is capitulating. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Executive Director of Equity Research, says China cannot rely on U.S. Technology in the long term. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Television & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, finds its hard to say that these congressional investigations aren't political at this point.
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35 min
May 15, 2018
Q2 Will Be the Comeback Kid, says Frances Donald
Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Television, recaps his exclusive interview with Turkey's Prime Minister Erdogan. *AND* Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of Emerging Markets Strategy, says (if) Turkey's central bank fails to 'step in' crisis could reach a tipping point. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Senior Economist, says that this morning's data suggests that Q2 is going to be the comeback kid that we hoped it would be. Ryan Prete, Bloomberg Government State Tax Reporter, says that after yesterday's sports betting ruling, states will want to take steps to ensure they get a piece of this untapped profit. Brooke Lampley, Sotheby's Fine Art Division Vice Chairman, discusses the importance of the collector in creating context after Sotheby's $157M sale of a Modigliani nude. 
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32 min
May 14, 2018
Trade Wars Not the Biggest 2018 Risk, Purves Says
Michael Purves, Weeden & Co. Chief Global Strategist & Head of Equity Derivatives, says you can't be dismissive of higher interest rates in the volatility story. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior VP & Policy Analyst, has noticed a lot of empty offices in D.C. government agencies. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, joins us to wrap sound from our interview with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and discuss eco data. Jonathan Ferziger, Bloomberg Middle East Politics Reporter, reports from Israel on the the U.S. Embassy move from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.  
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29 min
May 11, 2018
People Respond to Higher Wages, Goolsbee Says
Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says 4% on the 10-year is a bit of a moonshot. Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg News State Department Reporter, and Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow Middle East, join us to provide insight on the escalating tensions between Israel, Iran, Russia, and Syria. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says tech will be the best performing sector at the end of this year. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the tax cut was pretty negligible.
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38 min
May 10, 2018
Tucker: Transparency Is Important, The Age of Mystique is Gone
Bloomberg's Nejra Cehic takes us through the BOE headlines live from Threadneedle Street. Paul Tucker, Former Deputy BOE Governor and Author of 'Unelected Power,' believes that Central Bankers are becoming the poster boys & girls of people making decisions that we didn't elect. James Donald, Lazard Asset Management Head of Emerging Markets and Portfolio Manager, discusses the difficulty of navigating Emerging Markets in the current climate. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, says that beyond negotiations with North Korea, the long-term for both Washington & Beijing is in the economics sphere.
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31 min
May 9, 2018
China is Key for Iran, Petrie Says
Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, ponders whether or not the Democrats have a game plan. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, says everybody and their sister is long emerging markets. Tom Petrie, Petrie Partners Chairman, thinks Iran may have trouble bulking up their technology for greater oil production. Michael Hayden, Former CIA Director, says the president and the administration have yet to articulate Plan B for U.S.-Iran relations. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News Reporter, joins us to review her Deutsche Bank scoop.
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39 min
May 8, 2018
This Correction Is Not a Surprise, Emanuel Says
Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says the Fed has always been a critical player in the evolution of financial conditions. Jacques Rousseau, Clearview Energy Partners Managing Director of Global Oil & Gas, says Venezuela has taken more oil off the market than Saudi Arabia. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow of Government Studies, says all eyes are on West Virginia for the midterm primaries. Barbara Whye, Intel Corporation Chief Diversity & Inclusion Officer and VP of Human Resources, says their goal is to increase their initiatives in creating a more equal workplace.
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29 min
May 7, 2018
FinTech is the Wild West of Banking, Swonk Says
Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says there was a shocking shift in global trade flows in January. Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Senate Candidate (R) & WV Attorney General, says West Virginians are very supportive of the president. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, predicts wages will pick up. Jamie Metzl, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, questions if North Korea has any real intentions of giving up their nuclear weapons.
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35 min
May 4, 2018
No Need for the Fed to Panic, Coronado Says
Marty Feldstein, Harvard University Professor of Economics, is not happy about a trillion dollar deficit. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor & Fmr. Chairman of President Barack Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, says the White House hasn't followed through on addressing the opioid crisis. Coronado, President & Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says we still want to see wage growth climb higher. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Fmr. Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, briefs us on how tax policy affects families. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says over time, U.S. exports should skyrocket due to the administration's trade policies.
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40 min
May 3, 2018
Xi Has Amassed So Much Power, CFR's Economy Says
Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Securities Chief Economist, says traditionally, people have viewed a 2% inflation target as being lopsided. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Director for Asia Studies & Author of "The Third Revolution: Xi Jinping and the New Chinese State", is surprised by how transformative Xi Jinping has been in the past 5 years. Kate Warne, Edward Jones Investments Chief Market Strategist, predicts inflation will stay contained. Shannon Cross, Cross Research Managing Director & Co-Founder, thinks Apple's best product is the AirPods.
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33 min
May 2, 2018
The 10-Year at 4 or 5% is Rational, Gartman Says
Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of G-10 FX Strategy, says to not get too obsessed with the Fed funds rate. Angelo Zino, CFRA Analyst, says iPhones are no longer the only story for Apple.Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Financial Chief Economist, says inflation has not shown strong, upward momentum. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Publisher, says the Fed has already won its battle with 2% inflation.
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30 min
May 1, 2018
iPhone X Concerns Are Too High, Piecyk Says
Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says over time, we are likely to be in a stable or weaker dollar environment. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the strategist in her is worried about how financial conditions will tighten. Walter Piecyk, BTIG Analyst, says consumers are very loyal to Apple's brand. Christyan Malek, JPMorgan Head of the EMEA Oil & Gas Equity Research, sees a new BP in their 1Q earnings.
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30 min
April 30, 2018
Surveillance: Trade is Not Isolated, Kaplan Says
Peter Henry, Former NYU Stern School of Business Dean, predicts growth next year will taper off. Robert D. Kaplan, 'The Return of Marco Polo's World' Author, says Trump signifies a return to a more traditional form of world history. James Stavridis, Dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says China is not reaching for global hegemony but regional control. Sara Sanatore, Sanford Bernstein Senior Research analyst, says the more premium products at McDonald's is working for business. 
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28 min
April 27, 2018
Surveillance: Haass on Korea: I Wouldn't Chill the Champagne Quite Yet
Peter Pae, Bloomberg News Seoul Bureau Chief. Bill Rhodes, Former Citi Senior Vice Chairman & William R. Rhodes Global Advisors President & CEO. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Krishna Memani, Oppenheimer Funds Chief Investment Officer & Head of Fixed Income. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President,
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29 min
April 27, 2018
The Fed Will Remain the Fed, Bandholz Says
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Chief U.S. Economist, says he has a hard time imagining a scenario where the Fed would do 5 rate hikes. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, is worried about what's happening in Eastern Europe. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Chief Emerging Markets Economist, says the European economy seems to have lost some steam. Timothy L. O'Brien, Bloomberg Gadfly & Bloomberg View Executive Editor, says on a day to day basis, we need to adhere to the facts when it comes to Mueller's investigation and Michael Cohen.
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33 min
April 27, 2018
The IMF & the World Bank Spring Meetings
In an ode to our fantastic lineup from the IMF & World Bank Group Meetings last week, it's a Surveillance Special! Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua talk trade, global growth, and geopolitical risks with world leaders, including: the Economy Minister of Spain Roman Escolano, the first IMF Deputy Managing Director David Lipton, the European Commission Commissioner for Economic & Financial Affairs Pierre Moscovici, the Economy & Finance Minister of France Bruno Le Maire, and the Deputy Prime Minister of Turkey Mehmet Simsek. All interviews were broadcast on site at the IMF & World Bank Group Meetings in Washington, D.C. this past Friday, April 20.
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48 min
April 26, 2018
The Geopolitical Order Tipping Point with Bremmer
Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says a long term solution to trade disputes will require something New Deal-like. Brian Wieser, Pivotal Research Senior Research Analyst, says advertising is in a constant state of evolution. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, says the ECB is also not sure why we're seeing weak European data. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government White House Reporter, breaks down the stark contrast in shipping costs from the U.S. versus China. And James Albertine, Consumer Edge Research Auto Analyst, recaps Ford and GM earnings with us.
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33 min
April 25, 2018
We Deployed All Our Fiscal Muscle, Zentner Says
Alex Webb, Bloomberg Gadfly Columnist, hops in the studio to break Twitter's earnings. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says we've guaranteed hampered longer-term potential growth. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors CIO & Founding Partner, says potential GDP is much lower than it's been in the past. And Victor Anthony, Aegis Capital Corporation Analyst, says Twitter is returning back to growth.
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31 min
April 24, 2018
Disappointing 1Q for European Data, Santos Says
Vince Reinhart, BNY Mellon Chief Economist & Chief Investment Strategist, says in the long run, we're anchored by the growth of aggregate supply. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says the hard data in Europe has disappointed. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says RBC is forecasting some dollar strength into year end. And Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, says JPMorgan is best in class for governance.
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34 min
April 23, 2018
Trade Could Derail It All, Pearl Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder, says the market should be thinking about inflation risks but it's not currently. David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager, says Boeing looks a lot cheaper on free cash flow than it does on earnings right now.Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says Europe has stabilized. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Global Fixed Income Strategist, doesn't think oil prices are going to run away.
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28 min
April 20, 2018
Wild Cards on the Horizon, IMF's Lipton Says
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute of Economics, says he still doesn't think inflation risks are very high. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Multi Asset Strategist, says markets are in a wait-and-see David Lipton, First IMF Deputy Managing Director, says the IMF's message is to prolong the recovery while things are still good. Mario Centeno, EuroGroup President, says most countries in Europe have strong fiscal positions.
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34 min
April 19, 2018
You Could Broaden the Tax Base, Furman Says
Jason Furman, Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, thinks we could have a more pro-growth tax system. Nathan Sheets, PGIM Chief Economist and Former Under Secretary of the Treasury, is concerned about the political dynamic we're seeing globally. Mark Haefele, UBS Global Chief Investment Officer, says emerging markets have held up well as the dollar weakens. Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua discuss the Fed with Milken Institute's Chief Economist Bill Lee.
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28 min
April 18, 2018
Economy is Doing Relatively Well, Zingales Says
Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she still strongly believes that equities are the place to be. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, does not think we've seen the worst of the populist surge yet. Francisco Blanch, Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says oil prices could definitely push higher if geopolitical risk becomes more prominent. John Sununu, Former WH Chief of Staff under President George H.W. Bush, joins us to remember Barbara Bush.
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34 min
April 16, 2018
This Economy is a Healthy Tortoise, Kelly Says
Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, and Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, wrap Bank of America's earnings. Steven Cook, Council on Foreign Relations Enrico Mattei Senior Fellow for Middle East and Africa studies, says Syria is not a mission that neither Obama nor Trump have fully taken on. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, asks if we can please appreciate how good earnings are. George Goncalves, Nomura Securities Managing Director, thinks we're going to see further price erosion.
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27 min
April 13, 2018
The Age of Austerity has Been Taken Over by the Age of Overwhelming Deficits, says Collender
Brian Belski, BMO Capital Markets Chief Investment Strategist, says commercial banks will see strong growth for next 10 years.Jon react to Citi & Wells Fargo. Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander and Bloomberg View Columnist, believes that senior military officials have a big challenge with this White House. Stan Collender, Qorvis MSLGroup Executive Vice President, says that the age of austerity has been taken over by the age of overwhelming deficits. Rep. Dave Brat, House Budget Committee Member, says we need to ratchet down the language & just focus on rational policy.
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31 min
April 12, 2018
Euro-Dollar Still Looks Favorable, Yu Says
Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says we're missing growth in consumer loans. Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking Head of the U.K. Investment Office, says the ECB could still surprise to the upside. Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Senior Global Equity Strategist, says they're underweight staples and utilities. Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Co-founder & Analyst, says Verizon and AT&T are primarily bond proxies.
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25 min
April 11, 2018
Growth is Not Quite as Stable, Morse Says Description:
Ed Morse, Citi Research Global Head of Commodities, says there's been an acceleration of risk-on, risk-off. Gary Shilling, Gary Shilling & Co. President, says there are a lot of deflationary forces out there. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media Founder & CEO, says he is relatively, cautiously optimistic for the future of Facebook. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, recaps reports that House Speaker Paul Ryan will not seek reelection.
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30 min
April 10, 2018
DC Doesn't Have the Collective Will or IQ To Take on Big Tech, Galloway says
Dr. Keyu Jin, London School of Economics & Political Science Professor, says the confusion about trade deficits by both the U.S. and China is fatal. Daniel Tannebaum, PWC Global Financial Services Sanctions Leader, predicts it will be a "go-fish exercise" to know who actually owns businesses in Russia. Steven A. Cook, CFR Middle Eastern Fellow, sees us inching closer to confrontation on Syria. Scott Galloway, NYU Stern Professor and Author "The Four," says that Facebook isn't doing anything any other media company hasn't tried before.
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33 min
April 9, 2018
China is in a Sweet Spot, Lord Turner Says
Adair Turner, Institute For New Economic Thinking Chairman, House of Lords Member, & "Between Debt And The Devil" author, says the U.S. trade deficit is going to increase this year. Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Economics Chief U.S. Economist, says we have seen close to 3% growth but it's not clear there's been a real change in potential growth. Carsten Brzeski, ING-DiBa Chief Economist Germany & Austria, says the Eurozone is headed into a strong 2018. Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of North American Research, says data privacy is not just a Facebook issue, it's a social media issue.
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33 min
April 6, 2018
Blame China for Not Playing Ball, Kudlow Says
Alan Krueger, Princeton University Economics Professor, says the Federal Reserve's mission is never complete. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, says since 1980, real wages have flat-lined. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says there is no trade war between the U.S. and China. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says he's in favor of supply side policies but says we need to be concerned about responsible fiscal action as well.
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40 min
April 5, 2018
This Has Been a Shakespearean Market, Sinche Says
Bob Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Securities Global Strategist, advises to be disciplined when reacting to market volatility. Rich Greenfield, BTIG Media and Technology Analyst, thinks the pressure on Facebook's stock is overdone. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Research Executive Director, says Xi's vision for China has changed. Chad Hart, Iowa State University Associate Professor of Economics and Crop Markets Specialist, says over the past 5 years, we've seen a dramatic decline in net farming income. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, says the market has changed dramatically in the past decade.
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39 min
April 4, 2018
It's Still a Goldilocks Environment, Meyer Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, says the U.S. and China are hitting each other pretty hard with rhetoric. Michelle Meyer, BofA Merrill Lynch Head of U.S. Economics, does not think we're going to see big inflationary pressures this year. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Gadfly Columnist, recaps Spotify's direct listing on the NYSE yesterday. Steven Friedman, BNP Paribas Asset Management Senior Economist, says to look to the bond market during breaking news.
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33 min
April 3, 2018
Volatility Will Stay in a High Range, Gallo Says
Alberto Gallo, Algebris Head of Macro Strategies, says the growth momentum is fading. Seth Masters, Angel Investor and Former AB Bernstein CIO, joins to look ahead to Spotify's direct listing. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Public Policy Strategist, says Trump is the "Dessert Before Vegetables President." James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Managing Director & Chief Economist, says a big chunk of the tech sector has moved to Asia in the past decade.
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29 min
April 2, 2018
Surveillance: U.S. Expansion is Late Stage, Chandler Says
Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, says the market has been squeezed out of a lot of the short yen positions. Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director for the U.S., says the United States' trading partners are confused right now. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of U.S. Economics, thinks there's still some residual slack in the labor market. Jonathan Palmer, Bloomberg Intelligence's Healthcare Analyst, says he doesn't foresee Walmart buying Humana.
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30 min
March 29, 2018
Capital Spending is Soaring, Kevin Hassett Says
Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors Founder & CEO, says we're in a U.S.-centric risk environment. Kathleen Fisher, AllianceBernstein Wealth & Investment Head, says they've pushed clients to have a 40% non-U.S. portfolio. Ali Shihabi, Arabia Foundation Founder, says Saudi Arabia should have been added to indexes 10-15 years ago. Kevin Hassett, U.S. Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the White House is going to be tougher on spending in the future.
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29 min
March 28, 2018
Wage Growth is a Complicated Story, Shiller Says
Robert Shiller, Yale University Professor & Nobel Laureate, says we're losing sight of the function of the WTO. Eileen Burbidge, Passion Capital Partner, says there's no other place in the world quite like Silicon Valley. Mark Connors, Credit Suisse Head of Risk Advisory, says the big hedge funds are getting bigger. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, and Elyse Greenspan, Wells Fargo Analyst, review the health of U.S. banks.
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33 min
March 27, 2018
Trade Deficits Are Not Bad, Citi's Mann Says
Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, and Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, discuss their new roles at Citi and their global outlook. Eric Schoenstein, Jensen Investment Management Portfolio Manager, says for the past couple of years, the market has been pretty complacent. Joe Weisenthal, Bloomberg TV Anchor, says in the oil market, everyone is still focused on U.S. supply. Glenn Hubbard, Dean of Columbia Business School, says we should want people in the labor force and we need to do a better job of assuring that.
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34 min
March 26, 2018
This is a Calculated Strategy, Peter Navarro Says
James Glassman, JPMorgan Head Economist for Commercial Banking, says he does not like the sound of tariffs. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York & Her Majesty’s Trade Commissioner for North America, says the U.S. and U.K. should spend more time teaching each other how their trade systems work.  Peter Navarro, White House National Trade Council Director, says the administration's steel and aluminum tariffs are a calculated strategy for the American people. James Hertling, Bloomberg News EMEA Managing Editor, joins to review the news that President Trump will expel 60 Russian diplomats. 
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39 min
March 26, 2018
The President Has Hurt His Credibility, Bell Says
Lisa Abramowicz is in for Tom Keene while he watches March Madness. Dan Tannebaum, PWC Global Sanctions Leader, says he wants to believe that there's some sort of strategy coming from the White House administration. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group Founder, says the most important bilateral relationship in the world (China and the U.S.) has taken a marked turn to the negative. Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, says she thinks China will continue to take a measured approach. Steve Bell, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Advisor & Fmr. Senate Budget Committee Staff Director, thinks there are a lot of nerves in the Republican party right now.
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36 min
March 22, 2018
Matt Damon & His Clean Water Venture
Lisa Abramowicz fills in for Tom Keene who is on Spring break.Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Group Head of Global Macroeconomics, says there's a high likelihood of a significant downturn in the economy in the next few years. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says when we get optimistic about growth, we should still be realistic. Gary White and Matt Damon, Co-Founders of Water Equity & Water.Org, join us on World Water Day to discuss their microfinance venture.
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28 min
March 21, 2018
Attention Will Be on Fed's Language, Lignos Says
Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz fills in for Tom Keene while he's off on Spring break. John Silvia, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, predicts the second half of this year will be challenging for some financial markets. Eileen Burbidge, Passion Capital Partner, says she assumes investors want to hear directly from Mark Zuckerberg or Sheryl Sandberg in the near future. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says there will be a lot of attention on the language used in the Fed decision today. Stephanie Miller, Height Securities Senior Vice President, thinks Facebook will confront more of a reckoning with Wall Street than Washington.
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32 min
March 20, 2018
Facebook and Google Aren't Free, Windsor Says
Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz is in for Tom Keene while he's off shopping for bow ties. Richard Windsor, Radio Free Mobile Founder, says contrary to the consumer's general impression, the likes of Facebook and Google are not and have never been free. Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, continues to believe that equities are the asset class of choice. Diana Choyleva, Enodo Economics Chief Economist, says trade wars are one of the key risks for financial markets this year. James Cakmak, Monness Crespi Hardt & Co. Equity Analyst, says in the short term, Facebook will be in choppy waters.
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34 min
March 19, 2018
Incentive to Trade Has Been Limited, Michele Says
Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz is in for Tom Keene while he's off on a tropical vacation. On today's show, Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Director of Policy Research, says the data suggests the Democrats have a tailwind at their back heading into midterms. Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Investment Officer & Head of Global Fixed Income, Currency, & Commodities, says he can't remember a time when corporate America had as much financial flexibility as it does now. Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Head of North American Research, reports Facebook is ramping up their spending to protect user data. Mark Travis, Intrepid Capital Management President & CEO, says he's opportunistic when it comes to his allocations.
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33 min
March 16, 2018
Kudlow Favors Free Trade, Irwin Says
Dan Tannebaum, PwC Global Sanctions Leader, says there needs to be a unilateral approach to dealing with Russia. Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Equity Strategist & Managing Director of U.S. Portfolio Strategy, notes twin deficits do not matter until the yield curve inverts. Douglas Irwin, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says trade deficits cannot be fought with protectionist measures.Margaret Brennan, CBS's "Face the Nation" Host, says there are real problems with vacancies at the State Department.
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32 min
March 15, 2018
China is Changing Its Economy, Roach Says
Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says the U.S. and China need to restart their economic dialogue. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, thinks Larry Kudlow's new role as National Economic Council Director will be marketing the administration's policies. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says investors are looking at the trade tariffs with a big question mark. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Research Analyst & Managing Director, says a number of toy vendors will feel the loss of Toys R Us; the winners will be Amazon and WalMart.
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38 min
March 14, 2018
U.S. Should Align with the U.K., Stavridis Says
Enda Curran, Bloomberg's Chief Asia Economics Correspondent, and Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head & Head of U.S. Equity, discuss China and Trump's tariffs. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, joins us from Canonsbury, PA to report on the special election. Bob Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Global Strategist, says this month's retail sales were a bit of a 'clunker.' Admiral James Stavridis, Tufts University Fletcher School Dean & Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, says the U.S. ought to be combine soft power with hard power to succeed at smart power.
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29 min
March 13, 2018
A More Hawkish Foreign Policy Ahead, Bremmer Says
Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg State Department & Foreign Policy Reporter, and Marty Schenker, Bloomberg Chief Content Officer, examine Trump's firing of Rex Tillerson. Nick was aboard the former Secretary of State's plane 4 hours prior to this news breaking. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, expects Mike Pompeo, the newly appointed Secretary of State, to double down on Trump's hard line message. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Chairman & Founder, says there has always been tension between the Defense Department, State Department, and CIA. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Politics Correspondent, and Vinny Del Guidice, Bloomberg News Data Editor, break down the CPI data.
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30 min
March 12, 2018
Steady as She [the Fed] Goes, Peters Says
Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, thinks the housing sector will be resilient to Fed rate hikes. Greg Peters, PGIM Managing Director & Senior Investment Officer, says to look at the broader set of data and trends in the jobs numbers. Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says we're all waiting to see how the steel and aluminum tariffs will play out. Dakin Campbell, Bloomberg Finance Americas Reporter, reviews Goldman Sachs's decision to appoint David Solomon as sole president.
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33 min
March 12, 2018
Jobs Number is an Excellent Number, Goolsbee Says
Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, is concerned that President Trump is stepping forward to meet with Kim Jong-un too early. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merill Lynch Head of U.S. Economics, indicates the housing recovery is ongoing. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, says it's rare to have this kind of synchronized global growth. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Investors Fund Manager, says trade tariffs are a potential negative and drag on the economy. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, says 90% of what happens in the economy has nothing to do with Washington.
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41 min
March 8, 2018
Intl. Women's Day with Abby Joseph Cohen
Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, is our featured guest on this International Women's Day. She discusses her outlook for GDP growth, central banks, equities, bonds, the dollar, and of course, the zeitgeist: trade.
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30 min
March 8, 2018
Tariffs May Crowd Out Investment, Coronado Says
Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, does not think we can sustain 3% GDP growth. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy and Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking Head of the U.K. Investment Office, review the European Central Bank forward guidance out today. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Director of Policy Research, says Republicans want to run on the economic benefits of the tax cut but the tariffs could eat into these benefits. Cynthia Koons, Bloomberg Healthcare Reporter, reports on the Cigna and Express Scripts merger.
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27 min
March 7, 2018
Mnuchin a Moderating Force But Lacks Cohn's Gravitas, says Valliere
Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, believes that Secretary Mnuchin will now act as a moderating force in the Trump Administration, though he lacks the gravitas of Cohn. Steve Englander Rafiki Capital Management Head Of Research And Strategy, highlights the difference between a tariff and a quota, and argues that President Trump will soon want the latter. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Managing Director & Senior Research Analyst, predicts that Amazon will have 20% of the share of the consumables market, sucking a lot of share from traditional supermarkets. Michael O'Hanlon, Brookings Senior Fellow: Foreign Policy, believes the Department of Defense could save 5-10% of their budget.
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35 min
March 6, 2018
The Headlines Matter on the Margin, Kantor Says
Peter Pae, Bloomberg's Seoul Bureau Chief, recaps the headlines that North Korea is open to denuclearize. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Group Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the bond market suggests there will be more real growth. Kim Wallace, Eurasia Managing Director of United States, notes to say that the process now in Washington is unique, is an understatement. Stephen Schork, Schork Report Editor, says the demand structure for natural gas has totally changed. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy CEO & Founder, offers his wisdom on how to get inexpensive flights using airline miles. 
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33 min
March 5, 2018
We Are in a Reactive Phase, Alden Says
Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the results of the Italian election indicates a heavy anti-Europe sentiment. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Senior Fellow, says the World Trade Organization has failed at keeping up with the modern world of trade. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Strategy, says the biggest risk to the U.S. dollar would be a sudden loss of confidence from overseas investors.Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says we live in a very different world than 1961, the world Trump has nostalgia for.
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36 min
March 2, 2018
Surveillance Special: Trump's Trade Tariffs
The news flow beckoned a bonus episode! Today, Ed Hyman, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, says once you go down the tariffs road, it gets complicated. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor says trade is not about winners and losers, it's win-win. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Vice President of New York & Head of Currency, says a trade war is not easy to win and it is not desirable. Kerry Brown, Chatham House Associate Fellow in the Asia-Pacific Programme & Professor of Chinese Studies, thinks China was expecting this.
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34 min
March 1, 2018
The World is Awash with Capital, Ailman Says
Katie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies Founder & Managing Partner, says in the corrective phase, they saw sentiment go from extremely bullish to bearish in a matter of days. Chris Ailman, California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) CIO, reports that last year their total return was 14%. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel President & CEO, says a significant amount of retail outlets are running into trouble. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder & Chairman, says China and Russia are two constrained military powers trying to pass on the world stage as if they were much more powerful.
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29 min
February 28, 2018
No Signs of Late Cycle Behavior, Eisman Says
Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Bergman Senior Portfolio Manager, says the student loan problem is a U.S. government problem. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head Of Short-Term Portfolio Management and Funding, says they are no longer of the opinion that front-end rates are undervalued. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says on one level, Xi Jinping's decision to end presidential term limits was not surprising. Mike Mayo, Senior Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, says J.P. Morgan's Investor Day yesterday was the most confident he's ever seen the bank.
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31 min
February 27, 2018
China is Not Monolithic, Tsang Says
Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, does not think we're going to hear the Fed call for 4 rate hikes this year. Margaret Talev, Bloomberg Senior White House Correspondent, updates us on the gun control debate in Washington. Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, reviews Comcast's bid to buy British TV giant Sky for $31 billion. Steve Tsang, SOAS China Institute Director, says we overestimate Xi Jinping if we compare him to totalitarianism.
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32 min
February 27, 2018
Coming Soon: Decrypted Season 2
Decrypted returns on March 6th with a brand new season. Here's a sneak peek of what's in store. We'll be releasing new episodes every Tuesday starting next week.
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2 min
February 26, 2018
Surveillance: Powell is Not Massive Regime Change, Wieting Says
Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Strategist, says there is an underlying sense of optimism from companies. Carsten Brzeski, ING-DiBa Chief Economist, says Italy is still one of the laggards of the eurozone cycle. Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH), Senate Finance Committee member, says Congress ought to readdress the legal purchasing age for rifles. Benn Steil, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow and Director of International Economics, says President Trump may be losing sight of the immense power the U.S. has had via the use of soft power.
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34 min
February 23, 2018
We Need to Invest in Human Capital, Manyika Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder & Chief Economist, says in order to create jobs, we need a project like the space race in the sixties. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, suspects nominal growth will return to below 4%. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Executive Vice President & Head of Public Policy, wonders if this fiscal stimulus will result in a sugar high or sustainable growth. James Manyika, McKinsey Global Institute Chairman & Director, says manufacturing is on the upswing in the U.S.
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37 min
February 21, 2018
The Key is Productivity, Rajan Says
Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says his conviction is that inflation is not around the corner. Bob Miller, BlackRock Head of U.S. Multi-Sector Fixed Income, says risk-free rates have to go considerably higher before they start to work with equities. Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth Business School Professor & Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says it would be ideal for the new Fed Vice Chair to be someone who straddles both academic and policy worlds.
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34 min
February 20, 2018
We Are Starting to Use Up Capacity, Ablin Says
Jack Ablin, Cresset Founding Partner and Chief Investment Officer, says companies have seen a remarkable amount of pricing power; it was much more than he expected.Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Political Strategist, says Pennsylvania is uniquely blatant with their gerrymandering. Sam Stovall, CFRA Investment Strategist, says he does not see a recession on the horizon. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, calls in on his way to the White House to review the latest in Special Counsel Mueller's indictments.
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30 min
February 16, 2018
Globalization in the Trump Era with Dr. Posen
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says 3% growth is not sustainable. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says a lack of budget discipline is considered to be negative for a currency. Michael Holland, Holland & Co. Chairman and Founder, says the best time to sell is when the markets are enthusiastic. Vanessa Friedman, New York Times Fashion Director & Chief Fashion Critic, and Robert Burke, Robert Burke Associates Chairman & CEO, review New York Fashion Week and the state of luxury retail.
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43 min
February 15, 2018
Good & Bad News: The Economy is Strong, Ward Says
Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, says he's not sure if this is a market rally that can be trusted. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Head of US Policy & Political Analysis, says Pres. Trump has proved not to be a Congressional Republican. Tobias Levkovich, Chief US Equity Strategist at Citi, thinks the next several earnings seasons are going to be good. Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow for Middle East & Africa Studies, expects Sec. Tillerson to get a cold welcome in Turkey today.
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39 min
February 14, 2018
Understand What You're Investing In, Rhodes Says
John Ryding, Founder of RDQ Economics, thinks the stimulus we're getting is pretty unprecedented. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says we're getting a global lesson in comparative politics right now. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Senior Economist, says to pay attention to the retail sales number. Bill Rhodes, Citigroup Former Vice Chairman, thinks some investors have gone overboard because they didn't want to be left out.
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31 min
February 13, 2018
We're Concerned About Fixed Income, Cohen Says
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Chief U.S. Economist, says we've just hit a new record high in terms of deficit. Stan Collender, Georgetown University’s McCourt School of Public Policy Professor, says it remains to be seen whether the bond vigilantes will be coming back in force. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director and Senior Investment Strategist, says she prefers to look at intermediate and long-term issues in the markets. Garrett Graff, Author of the "The Threat Matrix", says the thing he finds most fascinating about Special Counsel Robert Mueller is how straight his moral compass is.
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36 min
February 12, 2018
Coming Soon: What'd You Miss This Week
This month, Bloomberg is excited to bring you a brand new show. Every Friday on What'd You Miss This Week, we'll feature the most interesting interviews from Bloomberg's daily market close show, "What'd You Miss" hosted by Scarlet Fu, Julia Chatterley and Joe Weisenthal. We want to take you beyond the headlines and bring you a unique perspective on the week's top stories, and those you may just have missed. It's the perfect way to kick off your weekend. Be sure to subscribe now, so you don't miss a thing!
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2 min
February 12, 2018
10-Yr to Hit 3% if Inflation Surprises, says Bory
George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, sees the 10-year hitting 3% if we get an inflation surprise on Wednesday. Jared Bernstein, Senior Fellow at the Center Budget and Policy Administration, says that politicians just haven't been able to resist spending. Robert Shiller, Yale Professor of Economics, believes efficient markets are a half-truth. Joachim Fels, PIMCO Global Economic Adviser, doesn't think the correction is enough to derail the economy.
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30 min
February 9, 2018
Things Fall Apart (in the Markets), Gartman Says
James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist and International Wealth Management Division Americas CIO, thinks the market has been pricing in more policy than usual. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities and Research, says the reflation story really began in April 2016. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow of Governance Studies, says a lot of government agencies have had hiring troubles. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Economist, Editor & Publisher, says he's dismayed that the U.S. government can't get spending under control.
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27 min
February 8, 2018
We're in Price Discovery Mode, Wilson Says
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says we haven't had portfolio disruption yet but he think it's to come. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, says the lesson learned in this week's liquidity event is that history rhymes. Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Director of Research, says Twitter is not a growth story but it is an engagement story. Admiral Stavridis, Dean of Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, says a military parade is not a good deal for troops.
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32 min
February 7, 2018
Regulatory System is Absurdly Complex, King Says
Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist, and Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, discuss the latest in currency moves. Mervyn King, Former Bank Of England Governor, says we ought to be concerned about whether banking problems in other parts of the industrialized world could spill over into our economy.Bill Hoagland, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Vice President, says you cannot govern in a country as large as the United States in a partisan way. Stewart Warther, BNP Paribas Head of U.S. Equity and Derivative Strategy, says it seems the market is anticipating that the worst is over.
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35 min
February 6, 2018
Yesterday's Event is a VIX Event, Curnutt Says
Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, and Bruce Kasman, J.P. Morgan Chief Economist, discuss the stock market plunge from a macro standpoint. Steven Major, HSBC Managing Director and Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says we've had several months of a one-way street with bonds going up and equities rallying. Sarah Ponczek, Bloomberg Cross-Asset reporter, gives us a breakdown of volatility. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, says we've seen a small correction and we could see more.
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27 min
February 5, 2018
Fed Sent a Powerful Signal on Friday, Wessel Says
Chris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, and Marcus Ashworth, Bloomberg Gadfly Columnist, take a close look at the market selloff. David Wessel, Brookings Institution's Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy Director, imagines that Fmr. Fed Chair Janet Yellen will continue to focus on labor markets in her work at Brookings. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Public Policy Strategist, says it's unclear what both sides are willing to accept in NAFTA negotiations to keep the trade deficit down. Margie Patel, Wells Capital Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says earnings look pretty good for the rest of the year.
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29 min
February 2, 2018
Surveillance Special: The Fed Decides, Jan. 31, 2018
Description: Tom Keene and Scarlet Fu are joined by Fmr. Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan, Janus Henderson Portfolio Manager Bill Gross, Grant Thornton Chief Economist Diane Swonk, and in-house Bloomberg experts to break down Fed Chair Janet Yellen's final Fed meeting.
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56 min
February 2, 2018
Full Employment is Not Perfection, Krueger Says
Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates Chairman and NYU Stern School of Business Professor, says bitcoin is the mother of all bubbles. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Economics Professor, says labor unions could do a better job of marketing themselves. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, predicts retail is going to be sensitive from this point forward following this month's jobs report. Julia Coronado, President and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says the most significant part of the jobs report is that there's finally wage growth. Erik Brynjolfsson, Director of the MIT Initiative, thinks we're on the verge of wave of innovation. Scott Soshnick, Bloomberg Sports Columnist, looks ahead to the Super Bowl.
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35 min
February 1, 2018
Surveillance: Too Much Data, Too Little Analysis, Shilling Says
Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling President, says complacency in the markets is extreme. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO, says he's seen user saturation coming for Facebook for some time. Kate Warne, Edward Jones investment strategist, advises investors to prepare for volatility. Mike Jackson, AutoNation CEO, says he's very concerned about the conversation around NAFTA.
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36 min
February 1, 2018
Where's the Infrastructure Money, Goolsbee Asks
Martin Feldstein, George F. Baker Professor of Economics at Harvard University, says it's going to be hard to convince Congress to add to the deficit with a significant infrastructure project. Jaret Seiberg, Cowen Washington Research Group Policy Analyst, says cryptocurrencies may become heavily regulated in the U.S. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor, says the hypocrisy among lawmakers in Washington doesn't make any difference anymore. Bhaskar Chakravorti, The Fletcher School Senior Assistant Dean of International Business & Finance, says Facebook needs to come to the reality that they're a major source of news and information.
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31 min
January 30, 2018
NAFTA Decision will be Market Moving, Haines Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, asks how Washington will pay for new infrastructure and healthcare programs following the tax cuts. Max Nisen, Bloomberg Gadfly Columnist, joins to breakdown the news that JPMorgan, Amazon, and Berkshire Hathaway are partnering to create a healthcare company for their U.S. Employees. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Head of U.S. Policy & Political Analysis, says he'll be listening for signals on housing finance and trade in President Trump's State of the Union Address tonight. Emily Roland, John Hancock Investments Head of Capital Markets Research, says it's likely we'll see an increase in volatility in 2018.
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30 min
January 29, 2018
Weak Dollar is Great for EM, Santos Says
Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, thinks President Trump's speech in Davos at the World Economic Forum was well received. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO, says she is seeing experiential retail come to the forefront. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says U.S. manufacturers are crying bloody murder because they can't find trained workers. Kenneth Shea, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Food and Beverage Analyst, phones in from Princeton to discuss the announcement that Keurig will buy Dr. Pepper Snapple Group Inc.
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29 min
January 26, 2018
Inflation is a Major Risk, Rahbari Says
Gene Sperling, Former National Economic Council Director, says President Trump has proven to be a very divisive figure and it has discouraged tourism in the U.S. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, says to talk down the dollar is not constructive for the markets. Ebrahim Rahbari, Citigroup Head of Global Macroeconomics, says bilateral rather than multilateral agreements still work better with sovereign states. Keyu Jin, London School of Economics Professor, says China is making its own efforts to make regional trade agreements despite protectionist rhetoric elsewhere.
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33 min
January 25, 2018
Trump Has Stolen the Show at Davos, Yergin Says
Carsten Brzeski, ING-Diba Chief Economist, reacts to the European Central Bank Governor Mario Draghi's press conference. Angus Deaton, Nobel Laureate Economist, says policy towards labor in the U.S. is much more hostile than it is in Europe. Robert Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Global Strategist, says the momentum of the upside of the Euro is substantial. Daniel Yergin, IHS Markit Vice Chairman, says the rise of U.S. oil production is hugely significant.
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27 min
January 24, 2018
Leaving NAFTA Makes No Sense, Frenkel Says
Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University Professor, and Laura Tyson, Berkeley Haas School School of Business Distinguished Professor, discuss tax cuts, the deficit, and the dollar. Jacob Frenkel, JPMorgan Chase International Chairman, thinks we should shift the discussion from nominal exchange rate to real exchange rate. Michael Neidorff, Centene CEO, says they've done very well with the Affordable Care Act. Anthony Scaramucci, Former White House Communications Director, says President Trump's delegation in Davos indicates they're going to cooperate with the global community.
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31 min
January 24, 2018
Special: The Next Financial Crisis
Tom Keene moderates a discussion with Barclays CEO Jes Staley, Citigroup CEO Michael Corbat, Carlyle Group Co-Founder David Rubenstein, Vice Chairman of China's Securities Regulatory Commission Fang Xinghai,Harvard University Professor Ken Rogoff and M&G CEO Anne Richards. They speak at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.
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67 min
January 23, 2018
Trust in Government Has Imploded, Edelman Says
Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi joins Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait for a conversation at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Paul Sheard, S&P Chief Global Economist, says central banks are a little too isolated. Stan Collender, Qorvis MSLGROUP Executive VP, says government shutdowns are the new normal. Richard Edelman, Edelman CEO, says 50% of people have turned off mainstream media partly due to the opinionated tone.
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36 min
January 22, 2018
Markets Haven't Reacted to the Shutdown, Lee Says
Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, predicts the World Economic Forum is going to see a new phase of globalism that includes national priorities. Richard Attias, Global Event Management Founder, says it will be interesting to see what type of format President Trump adopts during his event in Davos. Greg Valliere, Horizon Chief Global Strategist, thinks the immigration debate is going to go on for a very long time. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner and Senior Research Analyst, remains bearish on traditional media.
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31 min
January 19, 2018
Commodity Currencies are Special, Ruskin Says
Themos Fiotakis, UBS Co-Head of FX & Rates, says European bond yields are too low and the market is trying to gauge when the central banks will adjust. Kona Haque, ED&F MAN Head of Research, says coffee is still a very desirable, growing commodity. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior Analyst, feels highly confident that the debt ceiling will not be used as a game of chicken between the Democrats and Republicans. Andrew Bishop, Eurasia Group Deputy Director of Research, says President Trump will have to address three separate audiences at Davos: the global elite in attendance, his base, and China. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Head of G-10 FX Strategy, says the euro is still an important currency because everyone gets caught in the draft of it. 
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45 min
January 18, 2018
Coal is Going to Zero, Straszheim Says
Jennifer Surane, Bloomberg Regional Bank Reporter, and Bill Blain, Mint Partners Head of Capital Markets, wrap Morgan Stanley's earnings. Brian Klaas, London School of Economics Fellow in Comparative Politics, says international election rigging is going to become the new normal. Don Straszheim, Evercore ISI Senior Managing Director of China Research, feels Washington doesn't want to be the global leader and China is incapable of it. Bart van Ark, Conference Board Chief Economist, says finding and retaining highly-skilled workers is one of the main concerns for CEOs.
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30 min
January 17, 2018
The U.S. Is and Should Trade at a Premium, Herro Says
Yalman Onaran, Bloomberg Senior Writer, and Janet Henry, HSBC Global Chief Economist, wrap bank earnings and provide an outlook for 2018. John Hudak, Brookings Governance Senior Fellow, says we're at a crossroads in U.S. politics in regards to infrastructure spending. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO for International Equity, says there is still space for Glencore to re-rate. Kristina Hooper, Invesco Chief Global Market Strategist, says there are definitely animal spirits about tax reform still.
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26 min
January 16, 2018
Davos Ultimately Loves Power, Ferguson Says
Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, says we're moving to a stage where America's traditional allies cannot count on America to have their back. David Page, AXA Investment Managers Senior Economist, questions the sustainability of the growth that resulted from U.S. tax reform. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says she's still looking for something below 3% GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Niall Ferguson, Harvard University Professor, says the Chinese have evolved a completely different relationship between giant tech and government and it's going to be fascinating to see how the two co-exist.
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30 min
January 12, 2018
We Expect 3 Rate Hikes, Zentner Says
Brad Hintz, New York University Professor, and Dakin Campbell, Bloomberg Wall Street Reporter, start off earnings season with a review of JPMorgan's results. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says a cyclical pickup in productivity can stretch the CapEx cycle. Neil Dhar, PwC Head of Financial Services, says U.S. banks are strong and they're getting stronger.
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26 min
January 11, 2018
Bond Bear Market Began 15 Months Ago, Gartman Says
Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says less than 20% of the global bond market yields 4%. Komal Sri-Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies President and Founder, says you don't give money to the top 1%: the lower earners are the big consumers.Rep. Bill Pascrell, (D) New Jersey, says we're treating hardworking immigrants like second-class citizens. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Editor and Publisher, says there's a fear we are starting a multi-decade bond bear market.
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29 min
January 10, 2018
Moniz Says "Mistake" to Underestimate N. Korea
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder, says he likes to think that President Trump's handlers are sending him to Davos to repair ties damaged over the past year. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says shorting base metals in the midst of an economic expansion is a very dangerous proposition. Ernest Moniz, former U.S. Energy Secretary, says the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula is a long-term goal. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, says we're not headed to investment armageddon.
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36 min
January 9, 2018
Euro at $1.30 Isn't An Extreme, Saravelos Says
George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Research, says asset valuations will be the biggest problem for the dollar this year. Stanley Collender, Qorvis MSLGROUP Executive VP, says as interest rates rise, it will begin to become a political problem. Jeff Sprague, Vertical Research Partners Managing Partner, provides an overview of the industrial sector. Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget & Policy Senior Fellow, says when we hit the next recession, we will have too little monetary and fiscal space.
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24 min
January 8, 2018
There are no 100% Embargoes, Tannebaum Says
Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Chief Emerging Markets Economist, predicts we won't see any meaningful liberalization in China anytime soon. Daniel Tannebaum, PwC Principal and Global Sanctions Leader, says the multilateral sanction days are hanging by a thread. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton US Chief Economist, says she's worried about the economy having a good year at the expense of future years. Eric Freedman, US Bank Wealth Management Chief Investment Strategist, says second and third derivative plays are the next level in global equity markets.
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28 min
January 5, 2018
Tax Cut Impacts are Starting, Cohn Says
James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed should debate the meaning of a flattening yield curve. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Professor, says we'll see less infrastructure investment because of the tax bill. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, says we're in a bond bear market but we won't lose a lot of money. Gary Cohn, National Economic Council Director, says the economy will continue to grow and add jobs.
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51 min
January 4, 2018
Global Growth Isn't Sustainable, Silvia Says
John Silvia, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the European economic strength has been surprising but it will simmer down. James Stavridis, Tufts Fletcher School Dean, says  President Trump must up his game to resolve North Korea diplomatically. Alessio de Longis, Oppenheimerfunds Portfolio Manager, says the Fed is hiking at a much more gradual pace than we've seen historically.   
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26 min
January 3, 2018
Fed Should Remain Accommodative, Kocherlakota Says
Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Managing Director & Co-Head of Multi Asset, said 2018 will see higher interest rates on the long end of the curve. Former Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota said the Fed can stop inflation from coming by raising rates and is worried about the Fed still raising rates. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO, said because of the tax bill, there will be a short-term increase in growth and earnings. U.S. Representative Will Hurd (R-TX) said building a concrete wall is the least effective way to build border security.
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39 min
January 2, 2018
2018 is Ripe for a Big Unexpected Crisis, Eurasia's Ian Bremmer Says
Jack Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, said the U.S. economy needs a targeted investment. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group Founder and President, said most American companies are happy with Trump's domestic policies but not happy with his international policies. Dom Barton, McKinsey & Co. Global Managing Partner said when trade deals go wrong, it's a race to the bottom. Vint Cerf, Google Chief Internet Evangelist, said our ability to use machine learning is quite impressive and we can absorb large amounts of data. Brad Smith, Microsoft President and Chief Legal Officer, said there is a real divide between urban and rural areas and we need financial innovation back in rural areas.                       
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47 min
December 29, 2017
Ireland Has Been a Success Story, Zingales Says
Luigi Zingales, Chicago Booth Professor of Finance, says Ireland's success story is a result of its low tax rates attracting foreign investment. Michael Purves, Weeden And Co Chief Global Strategist, predicts tech and financials are going to continue to outperform next year. Julian Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, says we may see smaller seats on flights.
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27 min
December 28, 2017
Surveillance: I Finally Sold GE, Holland Says
Michael Holland, Holland & Company Chairman, says the intrinsic value of a company can erode. Chris Edwards, CATO Institute Director of Tax Policy, thinks both the economy and the government will end up being winners under the GOP Tax law. Matt Brill, Invesco Advisers Senior Portfolio Manager, expects to see balance sheets expand well into 2019.
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25 min
December 27, 2017
Surveillance: Richard Clarida Is Ideal for Fed, Crescenzi Says
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Portfolio Manager, says anyone appointed to the Fed should be great at communication. David Burton, Heritage Foundation’s Senior Fellow in Economic Policy, says the tax legislation is a shadow of what it should have been. Kevin Cummins, Natwest Senior Economist, says the Fed rate hike pace won't be a threat to economic activity. RJ Gallo, Federated Investors Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Duration Committee, says   tax cuts don't pay for themselves. 
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35 min
December 27, 2017
Bitcoin's Usage Has Collapsed, Schoenholtz Says
Kim Schoenholtz, Stern School of Business Professor, says Bitcoin's bubble won't be worrisome for the economy if it bursts. Sharyn O'Halloran, Columbia University Professor, says simplifying and closing loopholes would have done a lot for our tax system. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, says $75 oil is a long ways off.
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48 min
December 22, 2017
We Don't Need a Fiscal Stimulus, Furman Says
Jason Furman, Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, offers a Surveillance correction for Tom Keene. Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founder and Senior Research Analyst, says AT&T stock may be one of the biggest winners from tax reform. Jerry Storch, Storch Advisors CEO and former Hudson's Bay CEO, predicts there will always be room for well-located, "A" malls. Diane Swonk, DS Economics Founder, is disappointed that instead of tax reform, we did tax cuts. 
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33 min
December 21, 2017
Taxes are By Definition Complicated, Kantor Says
Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Group Managing Director/Portfolio Manager, says we've lived in an environment of unusually low volatility because of the tremendous amount of global liquidity. Stan Collender, MSLGROUP National Director of Financial Communications, says the Republicans have already started politicizing the deficit. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief Emeritus, tells the story of the day he hired Tom Keene. Oliver Chen, Cowen and Company Senior Analyst, says micro-trends are happening all over the retail sector.  
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29 min
December 20, 2017
Most Americans Will Get Tax Cuts, Lieber Says
Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, likes the upward movement in yields but he doesn't trust it. Jon Lieber, PwC Washington National Tax Services Principal, doesn't think the Democrats will score points going after the deficit. David Miliband, International Rescue Committee President & CEO, says one of the phenomenons of globalization is people urbanizing, including refugees. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research LLC President & Founder, says the benefit of bitcoin right now is that it only has buyers.
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35 min
December 19, 2017
There's Slack in the Labor Market, Kashkari Says
Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, says the U.S. is lagging in educational attainment and it's hurting productivity. Neel Kashkari, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says the Fed should be cautious about raising interest rates further until they actually see inflationary pressures building. Bill Hoagland, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Vice President, says the tax bill should be beneficial in the short term.
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25 min
December 19, 2017
The Dollar Should Be Strengthening, Weinberg Says
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder, says we're all just speculating about where bitcoin is going. Antony Phillipson, U.K. Consul General to New York and Director General of International Trade North America, says completing phase 1 of Brexit negotiations was a big moment for the U.K. Bob Profusek, Jones Day Head of Mergers and Acquisitions, says "synergy" is often another word for job cuts when it comes to deals. Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Administration Senior Fellow, says state budgets aren't in great shape.
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31 min
December 15, 2017
Facts and Logic are Now Partisan, Gideon Says
Bob Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Global Strategist, predicts U.S. bond yields will go higher next year. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Editor, says one of the interesting things to watch in 2018 is the Saudi-Iranian relationship. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data CEO and Founder, foresees an institutional chapter in the cryptocurrency market. Sony Kapoor, Re-Define Managing Director, says he never lost faith in the EU's ability to stay together and be resilient, even in the depths of the European crisis.
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37 min
December 14, 2017
Sky is a Real Crown Jewel, Disney's Iger Says
Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says one of the biggest disappoints of the year is that wage growth hasn't accelerated. Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, predicts the unemployment rate is going to fall more rapidly than what the Fed forecasts. Steve Keen, Kingston University Economics Professor, says the major factor behind the rise in the S&P is quantitative easing. Bob Iger, The Walt Disney Company Chairman and CEO, expects scrutiny from regulatory authorities worldwide following the acquisition of 21st Century Fox assets.
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32 min
December 13, 2017
Bannon Has to Own This Loss, Scaramucci Says
Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist, predicts unemployment is going into the mid-3s by the end of next year. Anthony Scaramucci, Former White House Communications Director, says there are great high-yielding assets in the hedge fund space. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments CIO, says the Alabama election is a real wake up call to the GOP. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Publisher, says the oat market has always been the canary in the coal mine of grains.
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27 min
December 12, 2017
Turbulence Ahead in the Markets, Ward Says
Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, says it's time to be prepared for turbulence in the equity markets. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Political Analyst, says whoever wins the Alabama election, the tax bill will still go forward. Brian Reynolds, Canaccord Genuity Asset Class Strategist, says credit cycles always end and when they do, it's badly. Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, Gemini Co-Founders, say the great thing about the bitcoin futures contract is that naysayers can now short it.
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38 min
December 12, 2017
Dr. Shiller Talks Bitcoin
Robert Shiller, Nobel Laureate & Yale Professor, is not sure it was a good idea to launch bitcoin futures because he thinks it's still not a reputable market. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior Vice President, says the likelihood of a government shutdown is dependent on whether or not the tax bill passes. Viraj Patel, ING FX Strategist, thinks this year was a learning point for markets.Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Chief Economist, says he would not expect bold comments from the Fed anytime soon.
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26 min
December 8, 2017
Surveillance: White House Would Love to Get Rid of the AMT Rate, Cohn Says
Willem Buiter, Citigroup Global Chief Economist, says he would not give the GOP tax package particularly high marks. Alan Krueger, Princeton University Economics Professor, says the opioid crisis is a result of American medical practices and the government can do more to aid it. James Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says if the U.S. stays at full employment, we'll hopefully see more wealth spread to rural economies.Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Fund Manager, reacts to the jobs numbers and says there are a number of structural forces that keep wages down. Gary Cohn, National Council of Economic Advisors Director, says that infrastructure reform is next after they get the tax bill passed.
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38 min
December 7, 2017
Surveillance: Volatility is a Part of the Game, Lane says
Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Strategist, says there is still deep value in Europe. Omair Sharif, Societe Generale Chief U.S. Economist, does not foresee a ton of upside for healthcare next year. Jim Morris, Bloomberg News First Word Reporter, says this is the worst fire season Southern California has seen in years. Fred Lane, Lane Generational of Raymond James Managing Partner, says there is inevitably a bond bear market coming but it's not going to be that deep.
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27 min
December 6, 2017
Surveillance: Feldstein Foresees Capital Inflows if Tax Bill Passes
Martin Feldstein, Harvard University George F. Baker Professor of Economics, says now is the time for tax reform because the politics are right. Henry Olsen, EPPC Senior Fellow, says President Trump needs to recover his populist mojo. Matt Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Interest Rates Strategy, says it's time for the next bond market phase. Michael Chui, McKinsey & Co. Senior Fellow, says there is enough work for people to do, even with the increased use of robots.
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31 min
December 5, 2017
Surveillance: Disney is Looking to Fox for Growth , Wieser Says
Brian Wieser, Pivotal Research Group Senior Research Analyst, says Europe won't continue to let tech companies not pay taxes. Christopher Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, says small caps are in a position to reassume leadership. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, says there is very little in the tax bill that will boost productivity. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says it's a great environment for banks right now
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31 min
December 4, 2017
Surveillance: Book of the Year, Galloway's "The Four"
Scott Galloway, NYU Stern Professor and author of "The Four," told Jon Ferro and Tom Keene that we're about to see Margrethe Vestager go gangster on big tech regulation. Rich Greenfield, BTIG analyst, says it's not clear how Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google will weaken given their size right now. Paul Sweeney, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of North American Research, says his team is beginning to analyze blockchain in the marketplace, from consumer to financial services.
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33 min
December 1, 2017
Surveillance Special: The Bitcoin Debate
Highlights from the roller coaster week for Bitcoin as it hit record highs and gets the green light from regulators to allow trading on the CME and Cboe. Guests include:Steen Jakobson, Saxo Bank Chief Economist, Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor, Christopher Ailman, CalSTRS Chief Investment Officer, Anne Richards, M&G Investments Chief Executive, Robin Niblett, Chatham House DirectorJim McCaughan,Principal Global Investors CEO and Elaine Ou, Bloomberg View Columnist.
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40 min
November 30, 2017
Blockchain is the Game Changer, Dr. Alankar Says
Geoff Dennis, UBS Investment Bank Head of EM Strategy, says they have told their investors to be careful being long on technology. Stephen Schork, Schork Report President, says the Black Swan for the 2018 oil market is Saudi Arabia driving Qatar into the arms of Iran. Ashwin Alankar, Janus Henderson Global Head of Asset Allocation and Risk Management, thinks a lot of people are misinterpreting bitcoin as the blockchain. Ben Emons, Intellectus Partners Chief Economist, says Marvin Goodfriend's nomination could lead to a big shift in the Fed's agenda next year.
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29 min
November 29, 2017
We Have to Restructure Globalization, Stiglitz Says
Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor, says the tax 'trigger' in the proposed tax bill is the worst kind of economic policy that you can imagine. Yanis Varoufakis, Former Finance Minister of Greece, says the architecture of the European economy can't sustain the shockwaves of this post globalization era. Jeffrey Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says its very surprising that the oil markets have not moved higher given the strength of the fundamentals and geopolitical risks. James Stavridis, Tufts Fletcher School Dean, says the chances of war in the Korean Peninsula have gone up.
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35 min
November 28, 2017
Coming Soon: Trillions, a New Podcast
Money goes where it's treated best. That simple truth is a big reason why more and more money—trillions, in fact—flows into a powerful, low-cost tool that's quietly transformed investing in recent years. Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, let you invest in everything from the stock market to gold like never before. This podcast will demystify them—and delight you in the process.
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2 min
November 28, 2017
Trade is Complex These Days, No Longer Just Guns for Butter, Says OECD's Mann
Richard Clarida, PIMCO Global Strategic Advisor, says Jerome Powell is an excellent appointment for Fed Chair. Catherine Mann, OECD Chief Economist, says it's not clear how much corporate tax reform is in the GOP package but we haven't seen the full details yet. Diane Swonk, Diane Swonk & Associates CEO and Founder, says the payback from infrastructure spending has been lost on lawmakers over time.
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26 min
November 27, 2017
We Still Need Brick & Mortar Says Former Hudson's Bay CEO
Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says a 3% productivity growth is unrealistic under any economic investment boom. Guy Chiarello, First Data President, says people are getting comfortable with online and mobile retail. Jerry Storch, Storch Advisors CEO and Former CEO of Hudson's Bay, says the future is bright for retailers who make rapid changes.
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25 min
November 24, 2017
The Most New Yorker New Yorker Tom Knows
Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates, says he has a lot of doubts about Walmart being able to pull off the Amazon model. Grover Norquist, Americans for Tax Reform, says the Senate tax bill is likely to pass at the end of next week. Lin Noueihed, Bloomberg North Africa Bureau Chief, says the Egypt Sinai mosque attack is a particularly large scale attack.
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24 min
November 22, 2017
Knowledge is Power in Thanksgiving Travel, Kheel says
Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says they're seeing a very nice investing backdrop in emerging markets. Philip Verleger, PK Verlerger President, says the recent events in Saudi Arabia are what are going to impact oil prices. Sony Kapoor, Managing Director, Re-Define, says businesses in the U.K. can no longer sit on their hands and wait to do their contingency planning for Brexit. Julian Mark Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, says U.S. Airlines have an eye on Ryanair because they'll have to compete with or match their ticket prices.
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30 min
November 21, 2017
M&A Volumes Peaked in 2015 Says Bory
George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, says this year's M&A activity showed a notable slowdown because of politics and tax structure. Steve Bell, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Advisor, says the Republican proposed tax bill will help the Democrats next year if passed. Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says Investors are caught between two very powerful forces: FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and FOMU (Fear of Messing Up)..
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33 min
November 20, 2017
U.S. Politics Have Been Thoroughly Corrupted by Money, Sachs Says
Harm Bandholz, UniCredit Chief U.S. Economist, says the time for tax reform is right but we don't need a tax cut in this environment. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor, says the debt to GDP ratio has doubled in the last decade and will double again.Michael Nathanson, Moffettnathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, says Twitter is not a great place for advertising and branding. Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University Professor, says the political mess and resulting hyperinflation in Zimbabwe is transferable to other nations.
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30 min
November 17, 2017
Rep. Jim Renacci Says He's a Big Believer in the 401(k)
Representative Jim Renacci, a Republican from Ohio, says he's a big believer in the 401(k) and that the Republicans risk holding the majority if they don't pass the tax bill. Prior to that, Willem Buiter, Citigroup's chief economist, offers his global growth outlook for the year ahead. Finally, Rich Greenfield, a media analyst at BTIG, says future generations aren't going to watch linear TV but they'll consume more content than previous generations on an array of platforms.
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28 min
November 16, 2017
Radical Technological Transformation is Embedded in This Cycle, Fisher Says
Kathy Fisher, the head of wealth and investment strategies at AB Bernstein Private Wealth Management, predicts we're going to be in the longest recovery for the economy and markets we've ever seen in modern history. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO's head of public policy, says at best, the GOP bill is "tax reform lite." Mickey Levy, Berenberg's chief U.S. and Asia economist, says the lack of wage growth is a structural problem for the United States. Finally, Brooke Lampley, the incoming vice chairman of Sotheby's fine art division, says the $450.3 million sale of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is fitting given the scarcity and prominence of his work.
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35 min
November 15, 2017
The U.S. has Isolated Itself from its Principle Trading Allies, Haass Says
Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. has isolated itself from trading allies and that it shouldn't be complicit to Duterte's government in the Philippines. Dennis Gartman, publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the bull market for stocks has come to an abrupt stop. Finally, David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff's chief economist, says the bog bond story could be in China right now.
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24 min
November 14, 2017
Collender Calls the GOP Tax Bill 'The Trump Family and Friends Tax Cut'
Stan Collender, MSL Group's executive vice president, says the GOP tax bill isn't economic in origin, but totally political. Prior to that, Conrad DeQuadros, senior economist at RDQ Economics, says we're not yet at levels on the yield curve where we need to be worried about a downturn in the economy. Bloomberg TV anchor Jon Ferro joins for a beat to mourn Italy not qualifying for the 2018 World Cup. Rajiv Jain, founder and CIO of GQG Partners, says he's pretty upbeat on a long term basis about emerging markets in Africa. Finally, Nick Heymann, William Blair & Co.'s co-head of global industrial infrastructure, says General Electric is attempting to offset its inherent cyclicality.
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41 min
November 13, 2017
Jeff Sprague Says He Hasn't Had a Positive Rating on GE Since 2008
Jeff Sprague, founder of Vertical Research Partners, predicts upwards of ten percent of General Electric staff will be out the door in the next 36 months. Prior to that, Seth Masters, the former CIO of AB Bernstein, says the changes at GE symbolically highlight the passing of the baton from the U.S. being defined as a great manufacturer to the industry contributing to a smaller portion of GDP. Jared Bernstein, a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Administration, says the $1.5 trillion loss from the tax bill makes the GOP look like fiscal chicken hawks. Finally, Ed Hammond, a senior deals reporter at Bloomberg News, says Qualcomm rejecting Broadcom is the least surprising news of the day.
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29 min
November 10, 2017
It Will Take a Generation Before the Renminbi Plays a Global Role, Eichengreen Says
Barry Eichengreen, a professor of economics at University of California Berkeley, discusses global currencies and comments on China's move to open markets for financial firms, saying "it will take time, if it happens." Prior to that, Gabriela Santos, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, says we should be expecting some correction in the markets. Finally, Steve Rattner, chairman at Willett Advisors, says there's a better than 50/50 chance that the House flips in the 2018 elections.
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39 min
November 9, 2017
Edmund Phelps Says It's Be Good to Try Out Higher Interest Rates
Nobel Laureate Edmund Phelps says it would be good to try out higher interest rates and that reopening coal mines in the U.S. wouldn't send a good signal to the rest of the world. Prior to that, Jens Nordvig, CEO of Exante Data, says if U.S. tax reform doesn't happen in the coming months, the dollar may drift weaker. Finally, Krishna Memani, Oppenheimerfunds' chief investment officer, says the core of the Fed under Jay Powell won't be dramatically different than under Janet Yellen.
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39 min
November 8, 2017
GOP Is Struggling to Sew Up Divides From Within, O'Brien Says
Timothy O'Brien, executive editor at Bloomberg View and Bloomberg Gadfly, discusses last night's election results and says collusion isn't a threat to President Trump, but bribery may "bring the hen to roost." Prior to that, Axel G. Merk, president of Merk Investments, says the biggest tail-risk right now is if China retaliates with trade policy. Steven Major, HSBC's head of fixed income research, says the ECB has missed its chance to hike. Finally, Senator Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican from West Virginia, says we need to find a non-addictive pain medicine and fund more research to beat the opioid crisis.
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36 min
November 7, 2017
Trump Isn't Draining the Swamp, He's Filling it With His Own Alligators, Perez Says
Thomas Edward Perez, chairman of the Democratic National Committee, discusses today's elections and says President Trump is filling the swamp with his own alligators. Prior to that, Ted Alden, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. is a reasonably low-taxed country. Ralph Northam, the lieutenant governor of the state of Virginia, says Trump has released detrimental policies in Washington. Finally, Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University, says Russia is at a weak point right now.
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27 min
November 6, 2017
Ross Says He 'Will Probably Sell Stake' in Putin-Linked Company
Francine Lacqua sits down for a conversation with U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross following reports of Russia linked investments. Then, Michael McKee discusses NY Fed President William Dudley's recent retirement announcement. Prior to that, Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Securities' chief U.S. equity strategist, says the markets are perceiving Jay Powell as a continued Janet Yellen governance. Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, says the Republican tax bill's proposed 20 percent corporate tax rate won't survive. Finally, Mohammed Alyahya, a nonresident fellow at the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, says the issue of a Saudi corruption 'Band-Aid' is being torn off but perhaps may lead to uncertainty.
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32 min
November 3, 2017
Alpha Generation Is Getting Much Harder, Gross Says
Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says it's getting much harder to generate alpha and the Fed can't raise rates much further before it hurts the economy. Prior to that, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says there's an 85 percent chance that the GOP tax proposal will go through. Finally, Joachim Fels, a global economic advisor at PIMCO, says we're stuck in the new neutral and there's no escape from the savings glut.
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39 min
November 2, 2017
U.S. Economy Is at a Point of Structural Change, Joseph Cohen Says
Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs' senior investment portfolio strategist, says the economy is at a point of structural change and she's disappointed that Janet Yellen won't be picked again for Fed Chair. Danny Blanchflower, a professor at Dartmouth College, says the Bank of England rate raise in an already slowing economy will slow it even more. JPMorgan's John Bilton says the U.S. has a reasonable labor force growth compared to other markets. Finally, Gordon Wood, author of "Friends Divided: John Adams and Thomas Jefferson," says the U.S. really needs a multiparty political system.
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48 min
November 1, 2017
When Big Tech Tells You 'It's Impossible', That's Latin for 'It's Less Profitable', Galloway Says
Scott Galloway, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, says it's not a question of can Big Tech become too big, but can it become too powerful. Prior to that, Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank's chief global investment strategist, says monetary policy won't be the driving force changing economic markets if Jay Powell becomes Fed Chair. Rick Mishkin, a professor at Columbia University's Business School, says Jay Powell would do a terrific job as Fed Chairman, but Janet Yellen would still be better. Finally, Austan Goolsbee, former chairman of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisors, says Congress isn't even remotely trying to get a 1986-style "comprehensive" tax reform.
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43 min
October 31, 2017
Manafort's Financial Crimes Were Well Known. Papadopoulos's Indictment Was a Surprise, Former Watergate Special Prosecutor Says
Richard Ben-Veniste, a partner at Mayer Brown and a former Watergate special prosecutor, says George Papadopoulos's indictment was a surprise and that Robert Mueller is running an efficient and appropriate investigation. Prior to that, Richard Clarida, a strategic advisor at PIMCO, says President Trump is choosing from the right group of people in the Fed Chair shortlist. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says anyone that's been in contact with Papadopoulos will be questioned by the FBI. David Herro, Harris Associates' CIO of international equity, says making Christopher Bailey an executive at Burberry was a mistake. Finally, Jeff Jarvis, a journalism professor at CUNY Graduate School, says it's too early to start government regulation of the internet.
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52 min
October 30, 2017
Adoption of 'Market Economy' Model Has Led to China Growth, Mobius Says
Mark Mobius, Templeton Emerging Markets Group's executive chairman, says China is a "planned" economy and the Communist party will step in at any moment of crisis. Prior to that, Christopher Grisanti, founder of Grisanti Capital Management, says Apple will sell a lot of $1,100 phones. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI's managing director, says the world of Washington D.C. won't stop, despite any Trump-Russia related indictments. Finally, Cass Sunstein, a Bloomberg View columnist and the author of "Impeachment: A Citizen's Guide," says the important track to follow in Mueller's indictments is the connection to the White House.
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60 min
October 27, 2017
Democrats Need to Get a Program and They Don't Have One, Fiorina Says
Former Republican Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina says Democrats need to get a program and criticizing Donald Trump isn't enough. Prior to that, Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon's chief economist, says Jay Powell as a Fed Chair would be different than Jay Powell as a Fed governor. Nathan Sheets, PGIM's chief economist, says China's President Xi has set himself up for not just five years, but 10 years of rule. Paul Hanly Jr, attorney and shareholder at Simmons Hanly Conroy, says Trump's speech on the opioid epidemic was a disappointment. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research, says Twitter suffers from "shiny object syndrome." Finally, Carlyle Group Co-Founder David Rubenstein says it's important that Carlyle maintains its culture through its executive shakeup.
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48 min
October 26, 2017
Labor Is Moving Towards Obsolescence, Henry Kaufman Says
Henry Kaufman, president of Kaufman & Co., says robots will replace human labor. George Friedman, chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says it doesn't matter what President Trump wants, NAFTA will ultimately be decided upon by Congress. Finally, Arthur Levitt, former SEC chair, says a single, global model for market research would be spectacular.
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30 min
October 26, 2017
Surveillance Special: A Conversation With Bridgewater's Ray Dalio
Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates Co-Chairman and Founder discusses his latest book, 'Principles', the future of the Fed and why the worst asset class to be in is cash.
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22 min
October 25, 2017
Surveillance Bonus: Reflections on the Assassination of JFK
With the final trove of records on John F. Kennedy's assassination due to be released after more than half a century, Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Bob Moon look back at a day that will be forever seared into the collective memory of the nation.
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10 min
October 25, 2017
'The Swamp' is Washington's Government Spending, Rep. Brat Says
Representative Dave Brat, a Republican from Virginia, says more Americans should raise a ruckus about government spending. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump's base will continue to hang in there and as long as they do, he's inoculated. Michael Purves, Weeden & Co.'s head of equity and derivatives strategy, says you can expect the VIX to reprice if volatility continues to stay low. Finally, Wells Fargo Securities' Mike Mayo and Mike Schumacher discuss the state of banking on Wall Street and the future of the Federal Reserve.
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42 min
October 24, 2017
Trump Is Taking the Fed Chair Decision 'Very, Very Seriously,' Ross Says
U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says the Fed Chair is an important decision that President Trump is taking very, very seriously. Prior to that, Stephen Roach, a senior fellow at Yale University, says China has operated on the same principle of contradictions since the 1980s. Craig Moffett, senior research analyst at Moffettnathanson, says the wireless industry in the U.S. is shrinking partly because of T-Mobile. Senator Cory Gardner, a Republican from Colorado, says Colorado has grown to become a great 'software' state for tech. Steven Swartz, president and CEO of Hearst, says the magazine business is tougher now but his company has been around a long time and will be around for a lot longer. Finally, Virginia Governor Terence McAuliffe says the new Virginia economy is focused on jobs that aren't always related to technology.
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60 min
October 23, 2017
Japan Markets Could Be in a Period of 'Fresh New Start,' Vail Says
John Vail, Nikko Asset Management's chief global strategist, says Japan is pessimistic about their own economy, but the markets could be in a period of a "fresh new start." Prior to that, Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank's chief international economist, says the big thing to look out for from the ECB is an end date to QE. Finally, Lupin Rahman, PIMCO's executive vice president of sovereign credit, says politics are a source of alpha within emerging markets.
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38 min
October 20, 2017
More Portfolio Pruning to Come at GE, Heymann Says
Nicholas Heymann, an analyst at William Blair, says GE's John Flannery is moving at lightspeed in changing the company. Prior to that, Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners, says long rates don't look like they're headed up dramatically any time soon. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says the current administration's level of engagement with China isn't enough. Senator Chris Van Hollen, a Democrat from Maryland, says middle-class tax payers will be hit hard under President Trump's tax plan. Finally, Rich Greenfield, an analyst at BTIG, says Amazon's prepared to take football rights away from legacy media.
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56 min
October 19, 2017
Markets Have Been Ridiculously Overpriced for Weeks, Gartman Says
Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, reacts to the recent highs in the stock market and says markets have been ridiculously overpriced lately. Prior to that, Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's global head of G-10 FX strategy, says 1987's Black Monday was extraordinary but 2008 was far worse. Finally, Saadia Madsbjerg, the managing director at the Rockefeller Foundation, says the forest fire prevention budget is under pressure.
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38 min
October 18, 2017
A Central Bank Inflation Issue Is Looming, Kasman Says
Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan's chief economist, says we don't have a Central Bank inflation issue at this stage, but that is looming. Representative Mark Walker, a Republican from North Carolina, says people are hurting under Obamacare, but insurance companies aren't. Finally, Enda Kenny, the former Prime Minister of Ireland, says there's no reason why Britain couldn't be a global power within the current European Union.
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31 min
October 17, 2017
The Bull Market Feels Best Near the End, Kass Says
Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc., tells Tom Keene and David Gura how a short seller survives during a bull market. Bill Lee, chief economist at the Milken Institute, says a John Taylor Fed chairmanship would give us more predictable framework than current Federal Open Market Committee language does. Finally, Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs magazine, says that when it comes to foreign policy, it's better to watch than listen.
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29 min
October 16, 2017
Credit Default Market Is Smaller Today, Eisman Says
Steve Eisman, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, talks about the smaller credit default market and says banks will increase their percentage of stock buybacks. Former Oklahoma Senator Tom Coburn says the insurance market needs price discovery and transparency. Finally, Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS, says there was a split at the IMF meeting last week, with European bankers and policymakers worried and their U.S. counterparts more optimistic.
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42 min
October 13, 2017
U.S. Jobless Rate Could Go Under 4 Percent, Rosengren Says
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren talks about the jobless rate and changing inflation dynamics. David Lipton, the first deputy managing director of the IMF, says the IMF has favored tax reform in the U.S. for a long time. David Malpass, the under secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, says he'd like to see more growth in the U.S. and abroad. Nouriel Roubini, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, says monetary policy should be more aggressive if inflation is going to stay low. Finally, Pierre Moscovici, the European Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs, says populism in Europe has lost battles but not the war.
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55 min
October 12, 2017
World Bank/IMF Meetings Special: 25 Percent of World Not Enjoying a Strong Recovery, Lagarde Says
Live from the World Bank/IMF Meetings in Washington DC. Christine Lagarde, IMF's managing director, says the IMF has repeatedly said corporate tax reform was needed in the U.S. Prior to that, World Bank President Jim Yong Kim says the World Bank is talking with the U.S. about infrastructure and private-sector development. The World Bank is also launching a women's initiative with Ivanka Trump this weekend.
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23 min
October 12, 2017
We See 2 Percent Growth This Year, Colombia's Finance Minister Says
Mauricio Cardenas, Colombia's finance minister, says oil prices are the reason for lower GDP growth levels. Prior to that, Jason Furman, former chairman at the Council of Economic Advisers, says he's confident the Trump administration can keep up with the Ph.D.'s of the IMF. Ken Leon, a bank analyst at CFRA, says JPMorgan is more efficient than its peers. Klaus Regling, the managing director of the European Stability Mechanism, says lower taxes can help economic growth. Finally, South Africa's Central Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago says the government is stable despite political contestation.
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40 min
October 11, 2017
We Shouldn't Fear 2.5 Percent Inflation, Charles Evans Says
Charles Evans, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, discusses inflation expectations and says we should be spending time above two percent inflation. Christopher Scalia, editor of "Scalia Speaks," talks about his dad Antonin Scalia and reflects on law and faith. Mike Mayo, the head of U.S. large-cap bank research at Wells Fargo, says banks seek returns and profitability and not market share. Finally, William Blair's Nick Heymann says Honeywell isn't broken, just simplifying.
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34 min
October 10, 2017
Minuscule Volatility in Stocks Is Puzzling, Thaler Says
Richard Thaler, the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, discusses volatility in stocks and says stocks can't be based on the certitude that there will be a massive tax cut. Prior to that, Kevin Hassett, the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, says tax reform deserves bipartisan support. Luigi Zingales, a finance professor at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business, says it's impossible to think about economics without behavioral economics. Finally, Olivier Blanchard, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, says tax reform won't boost growth.
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50 min
October 9, 2017
Thaler's Nobel Win is Great, Hubbard Says
Glenn Hubbard, the dean of Columbia University Business School, discusses Richard Thaler's "great" Nobel Prize win. Andreas Dombret, a board member at Deutsche Bundesbank, says the Basel Committee is moving closer and closer to a deal. Yale University's Robert Shiller says behavioral economics is the most important thing to happen in economics in the last 20 years. Finally, Randall Kroszner, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Economics, says adding humanity into economics has been a transformation in recent years.
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34 min
October 6, 2017
Neel Kashkari Would Be Bill Gross's Choice for Fed Chair
Janus Henderson's Bill Gross says Neel Kashkari would be his choice for chair of the Federal Reserve, but doesn't see it happening. Princeton's Alan Krueger says the tax proposals could have substantial effects on the U.S. economy. Finally, Gary Cohn, director of the U.S. National Economic Council, says the stock market reflects President Trump's economic plan.
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40 min
October 6, 2017
Macron, Merkel, and May Are Polling Lower Than Trump, Chandler Says
We are in an era of weak leadership, says Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman's global head of currency strategy, and the support ratings for some leaders in Europe are lower than Donald Trump's. Eurasia Group's Jon Lieber says the military has a strong command on Trump's foreign policy. Finally, Representative Peter Roskam, a Republican from Illinois, says the end game is transformational tax reform.
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31 min
October 4, 2017
Tillerson Should Resign, Haass Says
Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says Rex Tillerson can't succeed in his role as Secretary of State and that it's hard to run a disciplined operation under this administration. Jared Bernstein, a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, says a lot of economists are worried about the proposed tax plan's impact on deficit and debt. Finally, Willett Advisors' Steve Rattner says it's the White House's responsibility to "herd the cats" and bring people together.
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34 min
October 4, 2017
A One-On-One with Fed's Stanley Fischer
Tom Keene sits down with Fed Vice Chairman, Stanley Fischer in an interview on Fed policy and the future of the Fed before his departure from the role.
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15 min
October 3, 2017
Many Failed to Grasp the Magnitude of Shift in Society, Ferguson Says
Lawmakers and executives are struggling to keep up with the influence of social networks and modern communication, Niall Ferguson, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, says. JPMorgan's John Normand says Brexit seems to be going soft. Finally, Representative Jan Schakowsky, a Democrat from Illinois, says the cardinal sin of politics is disrespect.
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40 min
October 2, 2017
Ken Burns Says We've Grown Numb to Violence
Filmmaker Ken Burns discusses the state of American gun legislation and his latest documentary, "The Vietnam War." Bob Profusek, a partner and head of M&A at Jones Day, says people within China's deal environment aren't worried about currency or regulation, but the attitude of the U.S. administration. Steven Barr, PWC's consumer markets leader, says physical retail may be stronger this holiday season. Finally, former Acting CBO Director Donald Marron says there's evidence that links tax cuts and economic growth, but it isn't as compelling as some think.
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43 min
September 29, 2017
Gary Cohn Says The U.S. Must Invest in Itself
Gary Cohn, the director of the National Economic Council, says the Trump administration is creating a tax plan that encourages Americans to invest in the future of the country. Christopher Giancarlo, chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, says the CFTC needs a 12 percent budget increase for more examiners, more economists and more technology. Ken Sena, a senior analyst at Wells Fargo Securities, reveals how his proprietary research into AI could shift the landscape for investors. Representative Tom Reed, a Republican from New York, talks about the proposed tax plan and says we have to reward hard work, not penalize it.
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33 min
September 28, 2017
We Need to Bring Back Up to $3 Trillion in Overseas Corporate Capital, Moore Says
Stephen Moore, a former economic adviser for the Trump campaign, says corporations are holding up to $3 trillion abroad that needs to be brought back to the U.S. to get the economy growing. Prior to that, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are ridiculously priced. Americans are tired of waiting for what the GOP said it would do, Republican Representative Jim Jordan says. Finally, Janus Henderson's Ashwin Alankar says as long as interest rates stay low, it's hard for volatility to rise.
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39 min
September 27, 2017
U.S. Faces Disconnect Between Urban and Industrial Economies, Dionne Says
E.J. Dionne, the author of "One Nation After Trump" and a columnist at The Washington Post, says one of the biggest problems the U.S. faces is the disconnect between the economies of metro areas and smaller, industrial ones. It's great to have a turnover in Congress, according to Senator Pat Toomey, a Republican from Pennsylvania. Markets are drowning in cash, Bob Michele, managing director at JPMorgan Asset Management, says. CFRA's Lindsey Bell says equities are "the best house on the block." Finally, Chad Thomas, Bloomberg's bureau chief in Berlin, says Angela Merkel and German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble have a "love-hate" relationship.
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41 min
September 26, 2017
We'll See a Split in Market Research, Ailman Says
Chris Ailman, CIO of CalSTRS, says we'll see a split in market research and when it's valuable, people should be willing to pay for it. OPEC's power is diminishing but it still has the power to jawbone the price of oil, Bloomberg Intelligence's Mike McGlone says. Senator Chris Van Hollen, a Democrat from Maryland, says his party needs to refocus on what the Democratic party has always stood for: the chance for everybody to have a good job and decent future. Former Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius says more competition is the best rate restrictor in health care. Finally, Joel L. Fleishman, a professor at Duke University, talks about his book "Putting Wealth to Work: Philanthropy for Today or Investing for Tomorrow?" and says the most interesting things in life are the ones that can't be measured.
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37 min
September 25, 2017
Germany's An Election Cycle Away From Generational Change, Kornblum Says
John Kornblum, the former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, questions if Germany's next generation will jump into the digital world or become more national oriented. Jeromin Zettelmeyer, the former director-general for economic policy at the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy, says Germany's governing coalition has done very well economically. John Vail, the chief global strategist at Nikko Asset Management Americas, says the Japanese people are actually against inflation. The oil industry's in denial about electric cars, PK Verleger President Phil Verleger says. Finally, Cornell University's Eswar Prasad says the PBOC is in a good spot with the renminbi.
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36 min
September 22, 2017
U.S. Is the Least Protectionist Major Economy in the World, Ross Says
U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says that NAFTA is killing jobs and that the U.S. is the least protectionist major economy in the world. Prior to that, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. economist, says it's impossible to sustain three percent GDP growth with U.S. productivity the way it is. Finally, David Rubenstein, co-CEO of the Carlyle Group, says CBS CEO Les Moonves has an ability to pick shows that work.
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38 min
September 21, 2017
Bipartisan Health-Care Bill Basics Were 'Torpedoed,' Kaine Says
President Trump, Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell torpedoed the bipartisan effort to pass healthcare, Senator Tim Kaine says. Prior to that, Wolfgang Ischinger, chairman of the Munich Security Conference, says there's no way that Germany, France or the U.K. can replace the leadership of the U.S. Finally, Stephen Roach, a senior fellow at Yale University, says there's a "tug of war" in China between the role of the state and the role of the markets.
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34 min
September 20, 2017
Market Economy Can't Succeed With Near-Zero Rates, King Says
The former governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, talks about how the financial crisis changed the banking culture and says a market economy can't succeed with near-zero interest rates. Martin Sorrell, CEO of WPP, says the uncertainty Brexit caused has been excruciating for his company. Finally, David Rubenstein, co-CEO of the Carlyle Group, defends the liberal arts education as important in business.
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37 min
September 19, 2017
Fed Doesn't Have the Adequate Tools, Koesterich Says
Ahead of Wednesday's Fed meeting, Russ Koesterich, a global allocation fund manager at BlackRock, discusses criticisms of the U.S. central bank and says rates aren't an ideal tool for tackling income inequality. Toby Cosgrove, the president of the Cleveland Clinic, says people must recognize the magnitude of the opiod crisis and it's up to the state and federal governments to solve it. Douglas Holtz-Eakin, the president of the American Action Forum, discusses the deficit and its disservice to the overall economy. Finally, Gary Bettman, the commissioner of the National Hockey League, says new guidelines have opened up hockey to become a game of speed and skill.
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51 min
September 18, 2017
Congress Has to Change Its 19th-Century Structure, Harman Says
Congress needs to disrupt its 19th-century structure, while still respecting the institution, Jane Harman, the president and CEO of the Woodrow Wilson Center, says. Willett Advisors' Steve Rattner says the existential question for Apple is what is the next act and is Tim Cook able to produce it? Finally, Princeton economist Alan Krueger discusses the connection between the opioid crisis and labor force participation.
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34 min
September 15, 2017
No Complexity in Closing Eclectica Fund, Hendry Says
Hugh Hendry, the founder of Eclectica Asset Management, discusses the motivations behind the decision to close the Eclectica Fund and says the global macro game will get fun again in the future. Sen. Ben Cardin, a Democrat from Maryland, says the only way our political system will function is if Republicans and Democrats work together. Fortress Investments' Wes Edens, Marc Lasry, the founder of Avenue Capital Group and co-owner of the Milwaukee Bucks, and Jamie Dinan, the founder of York Capital Management, talk about investing in a "tough" environment and the evolution of basketball. Finally, Christopher Hill, former U.S. Ambassador to South Korea, says the U.S. and China must do more than sanctions against North Korea.
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40 min
September 14, 2017
Crazy There's More Choice of Mayonnaise Than Schools, Kennedy Says
It's embarrassing that parents have more choices of mayonnaise at the supermarket than they do schools to send their children to, Sen. John Kennedy, a Republican from Louisiana, says. Pimco's Rich Clarida says technology, trade, and immigration are working together to create anxiety for Americans. Finally, former CIA director Jim Woolsey says Russia's interference with elections isn't new--it's the cyber-tactics they're using.
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26 min
September 13, 2017
There's a Surplus of Unskilled Workers and an Urgent Need to Get Them Trained, Herro Says
We need to focus on getting workers the skills they need for the jobs that need filling, David Herro, Harris Associates' CIO of international equity, says. Michael R. Bloomberg, founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, and Daniel Huttenlocher, dean of Cornell Tech, discuss the university's new campus on Roosevelt Island. Finally, Gene Munster, co-founder of Loup Ventures, says Apple is defying the laws of physics in pricing its products.
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32 min
September 12, 2017
You Need Capital to Believe in Capitalism, Bremmer Says
Most Americans no longer believe the American dream applies to them, Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, says. Peter Henry, the dean of NYU's Stern School of Business, says many are still enthusiastic about jobs in public service. Finally, the retention rate of Apple iPhone users is higher than any other product out there, Walter Piecyk, an analyst at BTIG, reports.
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36 min
September 11, 2017
If Trump Asked Me to Chair the Fed, I’d Do It, Stiglitz Says
Nobel winner Joseph Stiglitz, currently an economics professor at Columbia University, says if President Trump asked, he would agree to lead the Federal Reserve. Prior to that, Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, says Trump seems bent on making enemies in Washington. Jonathan Miller, CEO of Miller Samuel, says 16 years after 9/11 lower Manhattan’s pace of gentrification has accelerated. Finally, Kurt Andersen, host of Studio 360, discusses his new book, Fantasyland: How America Went Haywire, tracing the Internet’s evolution as a launch pad for lies and what laid the groundwork for it.
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41 min
September 8, 2017
The Fed Is in The Midst of a 'Beautiful Normalization,' El-Erian Says
Mohamed El-Erian, a columnist at Bloomberg View, says the Fed is in the midst of a "beautiful normalization" and needs a team approach. Prior to that, Chuck Gabriel, founder of Capital Alpha Partners, says President Trump's deal with Democrats will only make tax reform harder. Finally, Jeffrey Solomon, president of Cowen and Co., says the research industry is at a point where excellence wins and mediocrity is eliminated.
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24 min
September 7, 2017
Two Percent Inflation Target Is Achievable, Plosser Says
Former Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser says two percent inflation target is achievable and vacancies at the Fed are the result of politicization. Gregg Lemkau, Goldman Sachs' co-head of investment banking, says the lack of predictability in the Trump administration has people pausing on deals and transactions. Finally, Atul Lele, Deltec's chief investment officer, says U.S. economic expansion has been driven mainly by private industry.
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27 min
September 6, 2017
America Changes Immigrants, Not the Opposite, Gutierrez Says
Former U.S. Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez discusses the need for more comprehensive immigration reform. Prior to that, Peter Hayes, BlackRock's head of municipal bonds, says one must believe in the long-term efficacy of a particular state when buying bonds. Finally, Kathleen Fisher, AllianceBernstein's head of wealth and investment strategies, says small banks buying even smaller ones.
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41 min
September 5, 2017
Kim Jong-Un Threats Amount to 'Get Off My Lawn,' Kimmitt Says
North Korea's Kim Jong-Un wants the U.S. to "get off his lawn" and Americans shouldn't worry about nuclear war any time soon, says Mark Kimmitt, the former U.S. assistant secretary of state for political-military affairs. Prior to that, James Stavridis, dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says China holds North Korea's leash. Finally, Steve Bell, a senior advisor at the Bipartisan Policy Center, says there's a chance of tax cuts in early 2018.
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34 min
September 1, 2017
Jobs Report Is Weak, Gross Says
Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says this is a weak jobs report and that he sees the U.S. budget deficit increasing. Prior to that, Jim Glassman, JPMorgan's head economist for commercial banking, says economists should worry when businesses stop worrying. Gary Cohn, director of the White House National Economic Council, says a tax blueprint will be coming out in the next couple of weeks. Finally, Brian Kelly, founder of The Points Guy, says avoid flying to Houston, but if you are, ask for a "weather waiver."
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54 min
August 31, 2017
Gasoline May Jump as Much as 40 Cents a Gallon, Gartman Says
Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says there won't be any gasoline from the Colonial pipelines for the next several weeks. Prior to that, Nicholas Akins, CEO of American Electric Power, says it's critical to get electrical power back up at chemical facilities in Houston. Finally, Michael Brown, an economist at Wells Fargo, says he expects Democrats to support a clean debt-ceiling bill.
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33 min
August 30, 2017
Why Morgan Stanley Is Revising Its GDP Outlook
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. economist, tells Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua why Morgan Stanley is revising its GDP forecast and says the economy hasn't seen the worst yet for inflation this year. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data's CEO and founder, says there's too much concern about European political risk. Jacques Rousseau, an oil and gas analyst at Clearview Energy Partners, says things may get to the point where companies borrow oil. Finally, Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital's managing partner, says the vicious cycle of borrowing to consume is re-emerging.
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35 min
August 29, 2017
Next Fed Chair Doesn't Have to be Seasoned Economist, Schlosstein Says
Ralph Schlosstein, president and CEO of Evercore Partners, says the next chair of the Federal Reserve doesn't have to be a seasoned economist. Prior to that, Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, says the U.S. will be at two percent GDP by the end of next year. Pete Sessions, a Republican representative from Texas, says President Trump must figure out where his best talents are quickly. Finally, Bruce Klingner, a former CIA deputy division chief, says China would act on North Korea if the U.S. limited their financial access.
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42 min
August 28, 2017
Ex-FEMA Head Says Trump's Done Everything Right on Harvey So Far
Former FEMA Director James Lee Witt says Trump's done everything right so far on Hurricane Harvey. Prior to that, Representative Mark Walker, chairman of the Republican Study Committee, says he expects U.S. tax reform to pass before Thanksgiving. Noah Feldman, a Bloomberg View columnist, says it's clear Trump ignored all formal processes in pardoning Sheriff Joe Arpaio. Finally, former Fed Vice Chair Alice Rivlin says a government shutdown could still happen, even though she doesn't expect it.
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42 min
August 25, 2017
Fed Should Be Moving on Balance Sheet, Dallas Bank's Kaplan Says
Robert Kaplan, president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, says the economy is closer to the neutral rate than some think, and the Fed should be moving on its balance sheet. Glenn Hubbard, dean of the Columbia Business School, sees 2 percent inflation in the not-too-distant future. Finally, Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz SE's chief economic adviser, says despite the back and forth in Washington, the government's debt ceiling will be resolved.
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39 min
August 24, 2017
Fed Can Start Shrinking Its Balance Sheet, Esther George Says
Esther George, president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, says the Fed can start shrinking its balance sheet and that there's still an opportunity to increase rates once more. Prior to that, Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management's co-head of multi-asset investment, says leadership is not a tweet. Shannon O'Neil, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says Latin American countries have a reflex action about U.S. tough talk. Finally, Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota and a former presidential candidate, says despite Democrat opposition, a tax bill could be forced through by Republicans if they wanted.
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44 min
August 23, 2017
Trump Doesn't Have to Play Hero Role, Just a Less Destructive One, Gabriel Says
Chuck Gabriel, president of Capital Alpha Partners, says Trump doesn't have to play a heroic role, just a less destructive one. Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., says massive tax reform is due in the U.S. Finally, Jacques Rousseau, the managing director of global oil and gas at Clearview Energy Partners, says there's a disconnect in gas consumption data.
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37 min
August 22, 2017
Trump Is Over-Relying on Military Advice, Former U.S. Army Secretary Says
Former U.S. Army Secretary Eric Fanning says President Tru