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May 20, 2019
Have Americans Changed Their Minds On Abortion?
The politics team examines Bill de Blasio's theory of the case, the rationale behind seemingly conflicting numbers on abortion and ask if Democrats can win the Senate in 2020.
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59 min
May 16, 2019
Why Some States Are Passing New Abortion Restrictions
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed the most restrictive abortion law in recent U.S. history into law on Wednesday. It's part of a larger trend of changing state level abortion law.
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27 min
May 13, 2019
The Politics Of Impeaching Trump
The crew debates the possible political repercussions for Democrats of moving to impeach Trump. They also look at how some on the left have tried to discredit a CNN poll.
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45 min
May 9, 2019
Live From Houston: What Happened To The Bush GOP?
In a live taping from Houston, Texas, the crew discusses how and why the GOP has changed from the party of Bush to the party of Trump. They also play a 2020 primary draft.
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73 min
May 7, 2019
Live From Austin: Will Texas Be A Battleground In 2020?
The crew is in Austin, Texas, where they debate whether the Lone Star State will be a battleground in 2020. They also play a heated round of trivia.
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56 min
May 1, 2019
Mueller's Letter To Barr
Special Counsel Mueller wrote AG Barr a letter expressing concerns about how he'd characterized the report's findings to Congress. The podcast crew reacts.
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28 min
April 29, 2019
Peto Buttichar 2020
The crew discusses the Democratic Party's reaction to Joe Biden entering the presidential race. They also ask why Sanders and Warren don't have more crossover support.
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48 min
April 25, 2019
How Joe Biden Could Win
Former Vice President Joe Biden announced his candidacy for president on Thursday. The crew discusses the reasons he could win the nomination or come up short.
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33 min
April 22, 2019
We Have The Mueller Report. Now What?
The crew discusses how the various players are positioning themselves now that the Mueller report is public. Plus, the Democratic primary field expanded again.
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50 min
April 18, 2019
Emergency Podcast: The Mueller Report
The podcast team reacts to the release of the redacted Mueller report.
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45 min
April 15, 2019
The State Of The Democratic Primary
As the first quarter of 2019 comes to a close, the crew gives an assessment of state of the 2020 Democratic primary.
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47 min
April 11, 2019
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts?
Our "Model Talk" series returns briefly to discuss the performance of FiveThirtyEight's forecast models over the past decade. We crunched the numbers and the results are in!
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30 min
April 8, 2019
Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?
The crew debates the appeal of a political outsider for Democrats in 2020. They also look at the class divide among white voters how that affects their political behavior.
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54 min
April 4, 2019
The Electoral College Episode
Julia Azari and Seth Masket join the podcast to discuss the arguments for and against the Electoral College and how likely it is to actually change.
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41 min
April 1, 2019
What Will Biden Do?
Joe Biden has been accused of inappropriately touching a former legislator at a campaign event. Will that change his calculus about whether to get in the race?
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43 min
March 28, 2019
Can Statistics Solve Gerrymandering?
Mathematician Moon Duchin joins Nate Silver and Galen Druke to discuss a method for spotting partisan gerrymandering that the Supreme Court considered Tuesday.
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57 min
March 25, 2019
Life After The Mueller Report
The crew reacts to the principal findings of the Mueller report, according to Attorney General Bill Barr.
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50 min
March 22, 2019
Emergency Podcast: Mueller Has Filed His Report
In this emergency podcast, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins Galen Druke to discuss what comes next now that Special Counsel Mueller has filed his report.
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13 min
March 21, 2019
Live From NY: It's A 2020 Draft!
In a live taping of the podcast, the crew competes in a draft of the 2020 primary candidates. They also play "Good Use of Polling or Bad Use of Polling?"
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64 min
March 18, 2019
Ranking 2020 Rollouts
The crew takes stock of which candidates have done the best job introducing themselves in the early months of the primary.
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42 min
March 15, 2019
The Moment Of Truth For Brexit
David Runciman and Helen Thompson from the British "Talking Politics" podcast discuss the week in Brexit and what comes next.
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38 min
March 14, 2019
How Beto O'Rourke Could Win
Former El Paso congressman Beto O'Rourke is running for president. The crew discusses how he could win -- or lose -- the Democratic primary.
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34 min
March 11, 2019
How Divided Are Democrats?
The podcast crew analyzes the divisions within the Democratic Party and makes sense of why potential 2020 candidates like Sherrod Brown decided not to run.
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51 min
March 7, 2019
Iowa And New Hampshire Can Go To Hell
Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. Why do those four states vote first and does the lineup make sense?
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30 min
March 4, 2019
Should We Cancel The Electoral College?
The podcast crew discusses the latest candidate announcements, whether party endorsements matter, and the merits of the Electoral College.
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49 min
February 28, 2019
What We Learned From Cohen's Testimony
The podcast team reacts to a day of testimony from President Trump's former lawyer Michael Cohen.
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30 min
February 25, 2019
Our Best (Or Worst) Show
The podcast crew discusses absentee ballot fraud in North Carolina and the threat of a primary challenge to Trump. They also play a round of "Guess What Americans Think."
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45 min
February 22, 2019
All The President's Investigations
The word is that Mueller will wrap up his investigation next week. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux shares an overview of the legal troubles that will continue to follow the president.
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28 min
February 19, 2019
How Bernie Sanders Could Win
Sen. Bernie Sanders is running for president. The team describes both his path to success and failure in the primary. They also follow up on Trump's emergency declaration.
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47 min
February 14, 2019
National Emergency Podcast
The crew reacts to the news that President Trump plans to declare a national emergency at the southern border. Vox's Dara Lind also joins to discuss the border security deal.
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45 min
February 11, 2019
How Amy Klobuchar Could Win
The crew discusses the arguments for and against Sen. Amy Klobuchar winning the Democratic nomination. They also assess the politics of the Green New Deal.
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47 min
February 7, 2019
The Mess In Virginia
Democratic politics in Virginia are in upheaval. The team reacts to the scandals facing each of the top three Democrats in the state -- the governor, lt. governor and AG.
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29 min
February 4, 2019
The Politics Of Taxing The Rich
Some Democrats are floating new taxes on the super rich. The crew discusses the politics of those proposals. They also assess Cory Booker's path to the nomination.
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36 min
February 2, 2019
The Perot Effect
What effect do third party candidates have in a two party system? This is an audio documentary about Ross Perot and the 1992 election that originally aired in October 2016.
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40 min
January 31, 2019
Do Americans Want A Candidate Like Howard Schultz?
In light of Howard Schultz's possible presidential run as a "centrist independent," the crew discusses the appetite for such a candidate among Americans.
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34 min
January 28, 2019
Shutdown Lessons (And 2020 Announcements)
The crew discusses the political repercussions of the government shutdown and considers two Democratic presidential contenders -- Pete Buttigieg and Tulsi Gabbard.
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52 min
January 25, 2019
What To Make Of Roger Stone's Indictment
In this installment of Mueller Talk, Amelia Thomson-Deveaux discusses the implications of longtime Trump adviser Roger Stone's indictment.
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15 min
January 22, 2019
How Kamala Harris Could Win
The crew analyzes what Harris's path to the nomination could look like. They also react to Mueller's statement on the Buzzfeed report and discuss the role of the young left.
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53 min
January 18, 2019
Emergency Podcast: The Suborn Identity
In this emergency installment, the crew reacts to a Buzzfeed News report that President Trump directed his lawyer, Michael Cohen, to lie to Congress.
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29 min
January 16, 2019
How Kirsten Gillibrand Could Win
New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is the latest in the Democratic field to make official moves toward running for president. The crew discusses her case for the nomination. Note: At 17:40, Nate Silver's audio may be a bit unclear. He says, "It's not that logical because, number one, a lot of Democrats are concerned about senators who allegedly grope people."
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37 min
January 14, 2019
How Julian Castro Could Win
The crew discusses what Julian Castro's path to the Democratic nomination could look like. They also lay out a rubric for evaluating candidate strengths and talk shutdown.
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46 min
January 10, 2019
Will Trump Face A Primary Challenge?
Is Trump in danger of a serious challenge for the Republican nomination in 2020? Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss.
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29 min
January 7, 2019
How Elizabeth Warren Could Win
The crew discusses the paths to Elizabeth Warren winning -- and losing -- the 2020 Democratic nomination. They also look at the political repercussions of the shutdown.
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54 min
December 31, 2018
The Gerrymandering Project: Arizona
In 2018, more states decided to put independent commissions in charge of redistricting. Arizona serves as an example of some of the challenges those commissions can face.
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38 min
December 24, 2018
Our 2018 Politics Awards
The crew looks back on the year in politics and gives out made up awards. They also share resolutions for 2019.
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56 min
December 21, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Mattis Is Out, Shutdown Is On (?)
In an emergency episode of the podcast, the crew discusses Defense Secretary Jim Mattis's departure and the looming government shutdown.
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28 min
December 17, 2018
Should Democrats Play Dirty?
Democrats backed off a plan that would gerrymander New Jersey, while Republicans went ahead with a power grab in Wisconsin. The crew discusses why the parties play differently
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50 min
December 13, 2018
The Brexit Episode
Two political science professors from the University of Cambridge join the podcast to explain what happened in Britain this week and what comes next.
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28 min
December 10, 2018
Trump's Turbulent Week
President Trump is continuing to face possible legal trouble over campaign finance violations, meanwhile the White House is in the middle of another staffing shakeup.
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42 min
December 3, 2018
Something Is Fishy In North Carolina
The crew reflects on how politics have changed since President H. W. Bush's time in office. They also speak with Prof. Michael Bitzer about possible election fraud in NC-09.
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54 min
November 29, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Cohen Is Cooperating With Mueller
In an emergency installment, the crew reacts to news that Michael Cohen pleaded guilty for lying to Congress about the details of a potential Trump project in Moscow.
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21 min
November 29, 2018
This Is Mueller Talk!
After months of silence, the Mueller investigation is making news again. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to make sense of a big week of revelations.
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30 min
November 26, 2018
Can A Democrat Win In Mississippi?
The final Senate election of 2018 is scheduled for Tuesday in Mississippi. The crew discusses the fault lines at play of race, geography and class.
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52 min
November 19, 2018
Will Pelosi Be Replaced?
The Democrats have a majority in the House, now they need a Speaker. The crew discusses whether Nancy Pelosi will be re-elected and what the vote says about the party.
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54 min
November 15, 2018
How Our Model Did
In this post-mortem episode of "Model Talk," Nate discusses how our forecasts did and how we can improve them going forward.
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42 min
November 12, 2018
A Post-Midterms 2020 Draft... Live!
Live from New York, the team ranks the politicians most likely to win the 2020 Democratic primary. They also debrief on the latest results from the midterms.
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52 min
November 8, 2018
Midterms Review
The team looks at some the underlying data from the 2018 midterms to understand the trends at play.
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34 min
November 7, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Sessions Is Out
President Trump has fired Attorney General Jeff Sessions and is replacing him with someone who may curtain the Mueller investigation. The crew reacts.
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26 min
November 7, 2018
Election Night Wrap-Up: Write Your Own Narrative
Clare Malone, Micah Cohen, and Jody Avirgan gather in the podcast studio at the end of a long election night to talk about what we learned and what's next.
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30 min
November 6, 2018
A Guide To Election Night
We walk you through the key races to watch, hour by hour, as the polls close on election night.
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21 min
November 5, 2018
The Final Countdown
The crew reviews the forecasts and other indicators for a final time before Election Day. They also ask whether Trump's appeals on immigration will help Republicans.
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51 min
November 2, 2018
How To Judge The Model's Performance
In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver explains how to judge the model's performance, given that we expect the less likely scenario to happen sometimes.
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36 min
November 1, 2018
Debating Our Own House Forecast
We throw caution to the wind and debate whether to "buy, sell, or hold" the odds in our House forecast.
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22 min
October 31, 2018
Debating Our Own Senate Forecast
We throw caution to the wind and debate whether to "buy, sell, or hold" the odds in our Senate forecast.
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31 min
October 30, 2018
The Most Important Races You Aren't Watching
There are over 6,000 state legislative races on the ballot this fall and they'll play a big role in Americans' lives. Over a hundred ballot measures are also up for a vote.
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36 min
October 29, 2018
Do Toxic Politics Lead To Violence?
The crew reacts to the spate of violence over the past week and asks whether toxic politics are to blame.
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46 min
October 26, 2018
The Early Vote Is Not In The Model
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver explains why he doesn't use the early vote to help forecast election results. He also answers questions from listeners.
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32 min
October 25, 2018
The Campaign Ads Dominating 2018
The parties are spending billions on advertising this cycle. The team looks at which topics are mentioned the most in order to understand the parties' priorities.
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37 min
October 23, 2018
How Voting Laws Will Affect The Midterms
New voting laws in Georgia and North Dakota are under the spotlight in the run up to Election Day. We discuss how those and other voting laws can affect elections.
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37 min
October 22, 2018
These Fundraising Numbers Are Unprecedented
House Democrats have about a two to one advantage over Republicans in individual contributions. The crew debates how to make sense of that historic advantage.
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49 min
October 17, 2018
The Governors Forecast Is Live
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver discusses key races in the newly released governors forecast and answers listener questions.
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37 min
October 15, 2018
Early Indicators Of Who Is Running In 2020
The team considers whether Democrats can perform well in the Midterms based on their advantages among women alone. The also look at early indicators of who is running in 2020.
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54 min
October 11, 2018
The Forecasts Are Diverging
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver explains the hypotheses for why the House and Senate forecasts are diverging and answers questions from listeners.
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27 min
October 9, 2018
Live: Are Any Of The Post-Kavanaugh Narratives Right?
At a live show in DC, the crew debates the political consequences of the Kavanaugh episode. They also weigh the importance of tipping point Senate races and play a game.
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58 min
October 5, 2018
Collins Says Yes On Kavanaugh
The crew discusses how Brett Kavanaugh's all-but-certain confirmation to the Supreme Court might affect the midterms.
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27 min
October 3, 2018
The Ultimate Romney-Clinton District
Galen Druke heads to a traditionally Republican district in Houston, Texas that swung 23 points towards Hillary Clinton in 2016. The district is rated as a toss-up in 2018.
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32 min
October 1, 2018
We Have New Polling On Kavanaugh
The first batch of polls is out since Judge Brett Kavanaugh's testimony last Thursday. The crew discusses how the public is reacting.
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51 min
September 28, 2018
Flake News!
The podcast crew reacts to Senator Jeff Flake's call for an FBI investigation into allegations against Brett Kavanaugh.
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16 min
September 28, 2018
The Ford/Kavanaugh Testimony
The podcast team reacts to the Judiciary Committee testimony of Professor Christine Blasey Ford and Judge Brett Kavanaugh.
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36 min
September 25, 2018
Fire Rosenstein? Withdraw Kavanaugh? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
In a special live taping of the podcast, the crew discusses the future of Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein and Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.
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60 min
September 20, 2018
The Model Is 7,000 Lines Of Code
In this installment of Model Talk Nate discusses how unexpected events affect the model and answers listener questions about how long the model is and where it's stored.
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29 min
September 17, 2018
Kavanaugh's Confirmation Is In Trouble
The crew discusses the political response to an accusation from a woman who says Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her in high school.
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48 min
September 14, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Manafort Is Cooperating
President Trump's former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, is cooperating with the Mueller investigation. The crew reacts to the news.
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33 min
September 12, 2018
The Senate Forecast Is Live
In the latest installment of Model Talk, Nate discusses why the FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast favors Republicans.
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30 min
September 10, 2018
Stop Catering To Idiots
The crew reacts to the latest news about the inner workings of the Trump administration and explores the Upshot's foray into live polling.
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47 min
September 7, 2018
How Useful Are SCOTUS Confirmation Hearings?
After three days of Supreme Court nomination hearings, Perry Bacon Jr. and Oliver Roeder discuss what, if anything, they learned.
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28 min
September 3, 2018
Is The Path Of Trump's Presidency Set?
The crew is using the Labor Day holiday to take a step back from the news of the moment and assess how President Trump is faring after more than a year and a half in office.
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51 min
August 30, 2018
Debugging The Model
In this episode of Model Talk, Nate talks about debugging the model and answers questions from listeners, including one surprise listener by the name of Rush.
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29 min
August 27, 2018
Impeachment: A FiveThirtyEight Debate
The crew discusses the legacy of Senator John McCain. They also debate how Democrats should approach the question of impeachment.
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58 min
August 23, 2018
What Does It Mean To Be 'Electable'?
Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari discuss what "electability" means and consider whether it's a useful term for assessing candidates.
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34 min
August 21, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Cohen + Manafort = !!!
The podcast crew reacts to a guilty plea from Michael Cohen and a guilty verdict for Paul Manafort on the same day.
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19 min
August 20, 2018
Democrats Are Competing Everywhere
The crew discusses their takeaways from the new 2018 House forecast. They also sort through new data on how Trump voters' views have evolved or not since 2016.
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45 min
June 28, 2018
The Upset Of The Season
In the heat of the news of Justice Kennedy's retirement, this podcast might have been lost forever. The team reacts to a major primary upset in New York's 14th district.
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23 min
June 27, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Kennedy Is Retiring
The podcast team reacts to the news that Justice Anthony Kennedy is retiring from the U.S. Supreme Court.
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25 min
June 25, 2018
Is Immigration The Issue of 2018?
The team discusses the continuing fallout from Trump's policy of separating families that illegally cross the border. They also ask why there aren't more GOP women in Congress
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52 min
June 21, 2018
Bonus Episode: Masculinity In 2018
FiveThirtyEight partnered with WNYC's Death, Sex & Money podcast to do a survey asking what men think about being a man in 2018.
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42 min
June 18, 2018
The Immigration Flashpoint
The team discusses the separation of children and parents at the border and the role that immigration plays in the GOP. They also react to a SCOTUS decision on gerrymandering.
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53 min
June 14, 2018
Emergency Podcast: The Inspector General's Report
Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr. discuss the political implications of the inspector general's report on the 2016 FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton.
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20 min
June 4, 2018
The Super Tuesday Of The Midterms
Eight states are holding primary contests on Tuesday, including California, where the top two primary system could create some interesting results.
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42 min
May 31, 2018
The Polls Are All Right
FiveThirtyEight has updated its pollster ratings for the first time since before the 2016 election. Nate and Galen discuss the state of polling and what to expect in 2018.
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29 min
May 29, 2018
Things Look Less Good For Dems
Democrats' advantage in generic ballot polling has declined in recent months. The crew debates what that tells us about their prospects this fall.
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47 min
May 21, 2018
A Year Of Mueller
The team takes stock of where the Mueller probe stands one year on. They also discuss Democrats' debate over reducing the role of superdelegates in presidential primaries.
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49 min
May 17, 2018
A Democratic Squabble In Texas
Does the fault line in the Democratic Party really run through Texas's 7th district? Clare and Galen compare the candidates in what's become a contentious Democratic primary.
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28 min
May 14, 2018
Partisanship Is A Hell Of A Drug
The team discusses partisanship in the first of a series of conversations about the midterms called "Priors." They also look at Americans' views of Trump's foreign policy.
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54 min
May 10, 2018
Special Episode: Chasing Hillary
Nate Silver and Clare Malone sit down Amy Chozick, the author of "Chasing Hillary: Ten Years, Two Presidential Campaigns, and One Intact Glass Ceiling."
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34 min
May 7, 2018
Primary Season Begins
Tuesday is the fist big primary Election Day of the 2018 midterms. The team discusses the most important races to watch. They also debate whether Trump deserves more credit.
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55 min
May 4, 2018
The Giuliani Rampage Podcast
President Trump's new lawyer Rudy Giuliani contradicted the president about payments to Stormy Daniels during a two-day long media rampage.
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36 min
April 30, 2018
How Much Trouble Is Manchin In?
Joe Manchin is one of ten Democrats defending a Senate seat in a state Trump won. The team looks at the Republicans vying to challenge him in West Virginia.
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50 min
April 23, 2018
About That Texas Poll
The team debates whether the Texas Senate race is actually winnable for the Democrat. They also discuss the special election in Arizona and how to responsibly cover polls.
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47 min
April 16, 2018
The Comey Episode
The crew debates the significance of former FBI Director James Comey's new tell-all book. They also look at public opinion of the recent U.S. airstrikes in Syria.
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48 min
April 11, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Ryan To Retire
House Speaker Paul Ryan announced Wednesday morning that he will not seek reelection in 2018. Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari react to the news.
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23 min
April 10, 2018
The Nightmare Midterms Hack
The team describes what a nightmare elections hack scenario would look like, based on reporting by Clare Malone. They also discuss the continuous scandals at the EPA.
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51 min
April 9, 2018
Emergency Podcast: FBI Raids Trump's Lawyer's Office
The podcast crew responds to the news that the FBI raided the office and home of President Trump's personal lawyer Michael Cohen.
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18 min
April 3, 2018
FiveThirtyEight Family Feud
The team plays a round of "FiveThirtyEight Family Feud" to help determine Trump's strengths and weakness. They also debate the merits of census's new citizenship question.
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55 min
March 29, 2018
Special: Cambridge Analytica, Facebook, and Political Data
Clare Malone and Jody Avirgan speak with Daniel Kreiss of UNC about the use of FB data in the 2016 election -- and beyond. Listen to the history of data and politics series here: https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/political-data
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31 min
March 26, 2018
How Do We Cover Stormy Daniels?
The team debates how to cover the alleged coverup and affair between Stormy Daniels and President Trump. They also dive into new data showing Americans are as divided as ever.
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54 min
March 19, 2018
What If Trump Fired Mueller?
President Trump tore into the investigation by special counsel Robert Mueller this weekend. The team discusses what would happen if Trump fired Mueller.
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53 min
March 14, 2018
The GOP Should Be Freaking Out, PA Edition
Democrat Conor Lamb looks poised to win in a Pennsylvania district that voted for Trump by 20 points. The podcast team discusses what the results mean for the midterms.
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31 min
March 13, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Rexit
President Trump announced Secretary of State Rex Tillerson's firing on twitter Tuesday morning. The podcast team reacts.
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25 min
March 12, 2018
The Most Special Special Election Yet
The crew discusses the candidates and environment heading into Tuesday's special election in Pennsylvania's 18th district - a district that Trump won by 20 points.
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48 min
March 5, 2018
Does Trump's Mood Matter?
The team makes sense of a week of chaos at the White House and what it says about Trump's decision making. They also discuss how academics rank presidential achievement.
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55 min
February 26, 2018
A Turning Point On Guns?
The team discusses whether the high school shooting in Parkland, FL is a turning point in the gun debate. They also play a round of political "would you rather?"
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51 min
February 20, 2018
The Gun Debate
This episode is dedicated entirely to discussing the gun debate. The crew looks at public opinion, political strategy and what is likely to happen next.
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50 min
February 16, 2018
Emergency Podcast: 13 Russians Indicted
The team responds to news that 13 Russians and 3 companies have been indicted in the special counsel investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election.
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25 min
February 12, 2018
What's So Wrong With Nancy Pelosi?
The crew debates why Nancy Pelosi is such a target for Republican attacks and whether those attacks will actually move voters.
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59 min
February 5, 2018
Has Trump Remade The GOP?
The team debates whether the Nunes memo was much ado about nothing, and discusses Trump's effect on the Republican Party.
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44 min
January 29, 2018
Which Version Of Trump's Presidency Is Happening?
One year in, the day before Trump's first (proper) State Of The Union address, we revisit the "14 Paths" and discuss what version of President Trump we ended up with.
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45 min
January 22, 2018
The Three-Day Shutdown
The Senate voted to end the shutdown less than three days after it began. Did Democrats get what they wanted? The team also discusses the uptick in Trump's approval rating.
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52 min
January 19, 2018
Emergency Podcast - Government Shutdown
The politics team discusses the repercussions of the government shutdown after the Senate failed to pass a stopgap spending bill Friday night.
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15 min
January 16, 2018
Immigration Showdown
With a government shutdown looming, Democrats and Republicans have hit an impasse over immigration policy. The crew discusses what's at stake.
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54 min
January 11, 2018
The Gerrymandering Project: Conclusion
In the final episode of our gerrymandering series we consider some more radical electoral reforms and look back on the lessons we've learned.
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46 min
January 8, 2018
Oprah, Palace Intrigue And Nuclear War
The crew discusses the possibility of an Oprah presidential run, a new book about the Trump White House and Trump's behavior towards North Korea.
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62 min
January 4, 2018
The Gerrymandering Project: California
California took significant steps to try to rid redistricting of partisan politics. Politicians still sought to influence the process. Did they succeed?
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40 min
January 1, 2018
Our Political Journalism Resolutions
2018 is here! We discuss our political reporting resolutions -- both for ourselves and the media in general -- as we head into a big new year.
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39 min
December 25, 2017
Who's Running In 2020?
The crew throws caution to the wind and debates which Democrats are best positioned to do well in the 2020 presidential primary.
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42 min
December 21, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Arizona
The number of competitive congressional elections has fallen dramatically in recent decades. Arizona tried to combat that trend.
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39 min
December 18, 2017
Lessons From Alabama
The politics team sorts through the hot takes from last week's Senate election in Alabama. They also discuss the political implications of the proposed GOP tax overhaul.
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44 min
December 14, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: North Carolina
A decades long debate has raged over how to ensure minorities have a voice in America. In the third installment of our series, we look at racial gerrymandering.
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43 min
December 12, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Doug Jones Wins
Doug Jones became the first Democrat to win a Senate race in Alabama in a quarter century. The team discusses the factors that converged to make that possible.
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30 min
December 11, 2017
The Alabama Election Is Here
The Alabama special Senate election is Tuesday. The polls have varied significantly in an election where turnout is hard to predict. The team weighs in on what to expect.
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52 min
December 7, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Wisconsin
Is partisan gerrymandering illegal? In the second installment of our gerrymandering series we look at a Supreme Court case that could reshape how we draw political boundaries.
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38 min
December 4, 2017
Are Taxes A Pyrrhic Victory?
The Senate passed a tax overhaul bill Friday night. The team weighs the political and policy implications and follow up on the fallout from Michael Flynn's guilty plea.
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53 min
December 1, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Flynn Flips
A quick conversation in reaction the big news that Michael Flynn pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about conversations with Russian officials.
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15 min
November 30, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Intro
What is gerrymandering? This is the first episode in a six-part series exploring the effects of gerrymandering and how reformers hope to change the system.
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30 min
November 27, 2017
Congress's Broken Culture
Lawmakers return to Washington under pressure to confront sexual harassment by their own ranks. The podcast team also looks at the latest in the Alabama special Senate race.
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44 min
November 20, 2017
Alabama Is Tied
The Alabama special Senate race is now tied, after numerous accusation that Republican Roy Moore molested and assaulted teenage girls. The podcast team reacts.
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47 min
November 16, 2017
Franken Is Accused Of Harassment
Leeann Tweeden accused Senator Al Franken of kissing and groping her without her consent while on a USO tour in the Middle East. The podcast team reacts.
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22 min
November 13, 2017
Alabama's Senate Race
Five women have accused Roy Moore, Republican candidate for Senate from Alabama, of sexual misconduct. The team assesses how this will affect the final month of the campaign.
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42 min
November 8, 2017
2016 Anniversary Talk
A year after the 2016 election, Nate & Micah sit down to discuss what it was like to cover the race - from the mistakes FiveThirtyEight made to the emotions of the final weeks
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49 min
November 7, 2017
A Good Night For Democrats
The podcast team responds to strong showing by Democrats across the board on Election Day 2017
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19 min
November 6, 2017
Election Day 2017
Will Democrats begin their comeback on Election Day 2017? The podcast team shares advice on which races to watch and what the margins mean.
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51 min
November 4, 2017
Sexual Harassment In Media And Politics
Major figures in political journalism are alleged to have been serial sexual harassers. What does it mean to have those men in charge of the way political news gets made?
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32 min
October 30, 2017
Mueller's First Strike
Ex-chairman of the Trump campaign Paul Manafort was indicted along with two other campaign aides as part of Bob Mueller's special investigation. The team weighs in.
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44 min
October 24, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Flake Is Out
GOP Sen. Jeff Flake from Arizona, a repeated Trump critic, announced he will not seek reelection in 2018. The podcast team discusses what that means for Arizona and the GOP.
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31 min
October 23, 2017
Could Alabama Go Blue?
The 2017 elections are not far off. The team looks at the candidates and polling in the Virginia governor's race and Alabama's special Senate race.
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48 min
October 16, 2017
Steve Bannon's War
Steve Bannon declared "war" on the GOP establishment at the Values Voter Summit last week. The podcast team discusses what that will mean for the 2018 midterms.
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47 min
October 9, 2017
Corker Uncorked
GOP Senator Corker and President Trump went at each other over the weekend. The podcast weighs in on how Corker's criticism of Trump could affect GOP politics.
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51 min
October 2, 2017
Trump's Response To Maria
The Trump administration is facing multiple crises: a mass shooting in Las Vegas, Puerto Rico recovering from hurricane Maria and rising tensions with North Korea.
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49 min
September 28, 2017
Is Partisan Gerrymandering Illegal?
The Supreme Court is hearing a partisan gerrymandering case that could reshape how our democracy works. FiveThirtyEight brings you a deep dive into what is at stake.
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34 min
September 25, 2017
Trump vs. The NFL
Over the weekend, President Trump targeted the NFL for player protests and was rebuked by owners, players and the players union. The podcast team weighs in.
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56 min
September 22, 2017
Emergency Podcast: McCain Is A No
Sen. McCain is a no on the latest ACA repeal effort. The team debates what comes next.
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14 min
September 18, 2017
Democrats Divided
As the Democratic Party increasingly embraces single payer healthcare and Clinton weighs in on her primary race against Sanders, the team discusses where the party is headed.
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54 min
September 11, 2017
What Happened
Hillary Clinton is releasing a book this week chronicling what went wrong during her 2016 campaign from her perspective. The podcast team sizes up her assessment.
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56 min
September 5, 2017
Immigration Politics
The White House has decided to end the DACA program. The podcast team weighs in on how voters view DACA and what Congress's options are for replacing it.
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46 min
August 28, 2017
Harvey Tests Trump
Amid historic flooding in East Texas, the team talks about the political challenges natural disasters can pose to local officials, governors and the president.
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57 min
August 21, 2017
How Trump Talks About Race
The team talks to political science professor Vincent Hutchings about the way Donald Trump spoke about race in the aftermath of Charlottesville.
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49 min
August 18, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Bannon Out
In this emergency podcast, the team talks about what Steve Bannon's departure from the White House means for the people who remain.
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16 min
August 14, 2017
Trump's Response To Charlottesville
President Trump did not condemn white supremacy by name in his initial response to the violence in Charlottesville. The team discusses the reasons and repercussions.
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56 min
August 7, 2017
Enter The Grand Jury
The team weighs the significance of Bob Mueller empaneling a grand jury in the Russia investigation. They also look at persisting rifts in the Democratic Party.
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46 min
August 5, 2017
Special Presentation: 30 for 30 Podcasts
A break from politics with an excerpt of a new audio documentary from 30 for 30 Podcasts, which our very own Jody Avirgan heads up. We present "The Fighter Inside," reported by Andrew Mambo. More at 30for30podcasts.com
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17 min
July 31, 2017
White House Chaos
The team breaks down the latest White House staffing shakeups and asks how Chief of Staff John Kelly might correct course amid the chaos.
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51 min
July 28, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Senate Repeal Fails
The podcast team breaks down the final votes and weighs who is most responsible for the Republican failure: Trump, McConnell or Ryan.
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23 min
July 24, 2017
The GOP's Last(?) Ditch Health Care Push
The podcast team considers the options for Senate Republicans as they face a last ditch effort to repeal the ACA. Plus, how different would a Clinton presidency have been?
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40 min
July 17, 2017
Six Months In
The podcast team digests the Senate's latest health care bill and debates which path Trump's presidency is on six months in.
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44 min
July 13, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Don Jr.'s Emails
The podcast team reacts to emails in which Donald Trump Jr. accepts a meeting with a Kremlin-linked lawyer offering dirt on Hillary Clinton.
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25 min
July 10, 2017
Why Trump Wants Voter Data
The crew discusses the Trump administration's request for voter data and why states are pushing back. Plus, with another good jobs report, can Trump claim to own the economy?
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48 min
July 6, 2017
Trump Goes Global
Ahead of the G20 summit, the podcast team looks at changes in global perceptions of American leadership since Trump took office.
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38 min
June 26, 2017
The Health Care Episode
The podcast team discusses the policies in the Senate GOP health care bill and debates whether it's likely to pass.
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50 min
June 20, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Georgia And South Carolina Specials
The podcast team responds to the results of the special elections in Georgia's 6th district and South Carolina's 5th district.
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29 min
June 19, 2017
The Most Special Special Election
The special election in Georgia's 6th district has become the most expensive House election in American history. The podcast team debates how much it matters.
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50 min
June 15, 2017
Trump Under Investigation
The podcast team responds to new reports that President Trump is under FBI investigation for obstruction of justice.
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19 min
June 12, 2017
The Base
The podcast team debates who actually makes up the base in each party and what role they will play in upcoming elections.
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50 min
June 9, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Hung Parliament
No party won a majority in the U.K. election, resulting in a hung parliament. The podcast team reacts.
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27 min
June 8, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Comey's Testimony
The podcast team reacts to former FBI Director James Comey's testimony about the events that lead up to his firing by President Trump.
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28 min
June 7, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Comey's Prepared Testimony
The podcast team discusses former FBI Director James Comey's prepared testimony to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.
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22 min
June 5, 2017
Pittsburgh vs. Paris
The podcast team debates the political savvy of Trump's exit from the Paris climate agreement. Nate takes a look at what's going on in the crazy world of UK elections polls.
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49 min
May 30, 2017
Do Democrats Need A Win?
The podcast team debates whether a Democratic loss in Montana's special election means challenges ahead for the party. They also parse smoke from fire in the Russia scandal.
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53 min
May 22, 2017
What Now?
After the appointment of a special counsel to investigate possible ties between Trump's campaign and Russia, can the White House return to business as usual?
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52 min
May 17, 2017
Emergency Podcast - The Comey Memo
The podcast crew assesses the fallout from reports of a memo by former FBI Director Comey in which he detailed conversations with President Trump.
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24 min
May 15, 2017
The Scandal Meter
The podcast team sizes up how big of a scandal Comey's firing actually is. They also discuss how the census director's departure could affect the upcoming census.
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46 min
May 9, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Trump Fires Comey
News broke late on Tuesday that President Trump fired FBI Director James Comey. We hop in the studio to discuss.
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13 min
May 8, 2017
Health Care Winners And Losers
The podcast team talks to Anna Barry-Jester about how the GOP health care bill will affect real people. They also discuss the sizable polling miss in the French election.
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48 min
May 5, 2017
Emergency Health Care Podcast II
The podcast team talks about the political implications of the AHCA health care bill passing the House.
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32 min
May 1, 2017
99 Trial Balloons
The podcast team makes sense of Trump's one page tax plan with Ben Casselman. They also debate how the media has performed 100 days into the Trump presidency.
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45 min
April 24, 2017
100 Days
The team assesses Trump's legislative agenda as he ends his first 100 days. They also discuss the Earth Day protests and gauge populism's appeal after the French election.
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52 min
April 19, 2017
Georgia's 6th - Live From New York
The podcast team responds to GA-6 results live from the Comedy Cellar in New York. They also discuss upcoming European elections, play trivia and answer audience questions.
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67 min
April 17, 2017
Trump's Paths, Revisited
The podcast team assesses the special elections in Kansas and Georgia and takes stock of President Trump's governing style as his administration approaches 100 days.
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48 min
April 10, 2017
The Trump Doctrine (Maybe?)
The podcast team talks about Trump's decision to authorize airstrikes against Assad's regime in Syria and tracks who in Trump's circle is gaining and losing influence.
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46 min
April 8, 2017
Sparks: Why Health Care Costs So Much
Our science team discusses Elizabeth Rosenthal's "An American Sickness." To catch part two, subscribe to What's The Point in iTunes or fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts
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50 min
April 3, 2017
Filibuster Time
The podcast team discusses the political calculus of Democrats filibustering Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch. The crew also plays a new game: Smoke or Fire?
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43 min
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